2016 NRL.com Fantasy thread part 13

mulvy wrote:
Already have Walker and Jaifiti and I wish I got Garvey but I think too risky now. Might only play 50 mins if no more concussions and might only get two weeks and the guys I would trade out to get him are making money anyway.

Random wrote:

Oh that is definitely fair an in 5/6 weeks Gavet could earn $100k but that is when he also caps out. (If he jags a big game this could change or averaged more than 35 points.) So do you think potentially $100k is enough to warrant trading him in and then trading him out?

Welshy wrote:
If you have guys like CWN/Musgrove Bhana/Green/Henry (if dpp swaps available) then 100% yes

get him in now to avoid paying an extra $20,000 though and thus decreasing his cash making skills

Welshy wrote:

If you have guys like CWN/Musgrove Bhana/Green/Henry (if dpp swaps available) then 100% yes

get him in now to avoid paying an extra $20,000 though and thus decreasing his cash making skills

Random wrote:

I have T. Grant and L. Ah Mau that I plan to trade out. (I am trading out 1 this week leaning towards trading out L. Ah Mau.) I want to bring in B. Lawrence, do you think J. Gavet is a better option for one of them and then I can trade in B. Lawrence next week? 

Okay my options are..

Option 1:

This Week - 
L. Ah Mau -> B. Lawrence ($233 000 spare)

Next Week -
T. Grant -> S. Burgess ($30 000 - $35 000 spare)

Option 2 - 
This Week - 
L. Ah Mau -> J. Gavet ($283 000 spare)

Next Week - 
T. Grant -> B. Lawrence ($325 000 Spare)

I could go Gavet + Gun, but I think long term Lawrence will make more cash. Just unsure if I should hop on the Gavet train for a few weeks.

Random wrote:

I have T. Grant and L. Ah Mau that I plan to trade out. (I am trading out 1 this week leaning towards trading out L. Ah Mau.) I want to bring in B. Lawrence, do you think J. Gavet is a better option for one of them and then I can trade in B. Lawrence next week? 

Okay my options are..

Option 1:

This Week - 
L. Ah Mau -> B. Lawrence ($233 000 spare)

Next Week -
T. Grant -> S. Burgess ($30 000 - $35 000 spare)

Option 2 - 
This Week - 
L. Ah Mau -> J. Gavet ($283 000 spare)

Next Week - 
T. Grant -> B. Lawrence ($325 000 Spare)

I could go Gavet + Gun, but I think long term Lawrence will make more cash. Just unsure if I should hop on the Gavet train for a few weeks.

Welshy wrote:

I would probably say BLawrence has better job security but Gavet looks like finally getting near to that potential that he has carried over the last 2 years, both should be decent picks going forward

Okay just done a bit of research

Gavet's current average 33 he will eventually end up @ $295,000 that is $127,000 made from his current price tag of $168,000

Personally I don't believe its sustainable for Blaw to average 42 over the season so lets say he goes at the achievable and impressive 38

He will eventually end up @ $340,000 that is $122,000 made from his current price tag of $218,000

$340,000 - $295,000 = $45,000 extra based on BLaw averaging 38 and Gavet averaging 33
$218,000 - $168,000 = $50,000 the extra expense of selecting BLaw over Gavet this week

pretty much the same expense selecting Blaw or Gavet, Gavet is cheaper now but Blaw should cover that in the long run by returning more cash

The key will be if one can outperform those 2 averages

IF BLaw can maintain a 42 average he will end up at around $378,000 and make you an extra ~$40,000

hopefully that makes sense

badbetter wrote:There was a fantasy coach who traded in Peats
Rnd 2 got injured & likely missing for a few weeks
With Lichaa & Seggy already busted the coach was notably flustered
Decided to Captain Smith every week & trade in Mybe the freak

Pain wrote:What's the top 10 cows so far this year?

Welshy wrote:

Can Blaw maintain 40 points in 40 minutes though? I'd say 35 is more reasonable which is what Gavet is nearing so the price difference counteracts that?

Warriors wrote:

I disagree Welshy, to me Blaw is a 45 point player and Gavet is a 30 point player. Gavet will be lucky to score 30 this week against the Storm. If Vete performs well when Lisone comes back from injury Gavet aint a sure thing to even stay in the team. Blaw is Manly's best prop and will work up to 45-50 minutes now. If I had to choose I know which one I'd go.

Liverpool_Bulldog wrote:If you had to choose one, which would you go?

Grant > Gavet or
Green > Scott

Have already gone Leuluai > BLawrence

??

Welshy wrote:
You really think he will be a 45 point player this year? I'd be more than happy to be wrong mate, if I get Graham over Taupau I will be able to afford CWN-BLaw next week as long as BLaw doesn't go above $242,000. Worth it?

Finch wrote:

I raised this last week or so, and one of the old timers backed me up, GreenMachine maybe?

2-3 years ago, BLaw was one of the best in the game. His PPM was nearly 1 (IIRC?) and would get you 45 minimum week in, week out.

Random wrote:

HOK: A. McCullough is a concern, although he will hopefully improve as the year progresses so I wouldn't say he is an option to trade out yet. (Although bleeding the cash hurts.) M. Cherrington definitely needs upgrading as he could be dropped in the coming weeks however he isn't losing you cash so you don't have to force a trade there just yet.

FRF: J. Bromwich, A. Woods and J. Trbojevic are all holds at the moment. While J. Bromwich and A. Woods aren't posting up world beating scores they will still be decent each week and you have nothing to worry about from them. R. Campbell-Gillard is not going to make you any cash but he shouldn't be losing any cash either.

2RF: M. Taupau, P. Carter and S. Burgess should all be solid for now while P. Carter is still making you cash. Although it is a good sign that A. Paasi is starting again I am not entirely sold on him making too much cash or being that great. But he is definitely worth holding this week. 

HLF: Nothing worth of note. D. Cherry-Evans bleeding cash but he is doing that for everyone.

CTR: Green and Henry are trades, I would lean towards Scott as he seems to have better security in the CTR position but after Hunt's performance last week it should hopefully keep Auva'a at bay. Sadly the Storm play before the Rabbitohs so you will have to go with your gut here. (It definitely is a good idea to make this trade if you have no faith in Green before either Hunt or Scott rise in price.)

WFB: If you find a good cheap option I would dump Wighton for sure. Ferguson also but I think you can hold him longer. Either way I guess you can wait a week for them.

Regarding your trades I would go with Lawrence in for RGC, it is a risk reward issue.
Then as I said and I agree with Green out for one of the CTR's you are looking at is a good idea to get them before price rises.

Other few people I would look at in future weeks depending on your cash. A. Paasi, J. Wighton, and M. Cherrington (May need to be traded in next couple weeks so try and save cash for that.)