NRL Fantasy 2023 Part 61 - Picking origin reps for bye planning

Krump wrote:
43 from a hopeful tigers fan.

easytiger wrote:

Tigers fans are like pendulums that seeing between the two states of Hopefulness and Depression (at least that's my experience.)
I'm glad you are still in the hopeful place

easytiger wrote:On Jake no-S, in my opinion based on no evidence, I'm tipping he plays 50 odd minutes, with highly rated Tallyn Da Silva to get 20+ minutes.  I know Tim Sheens is a huge fan

Between that and the R17 complications, I'm not seeing him as a must have trade

Krump wrote:
I think it comes down to team value and trades left. I was planning on getting him but have changed my mind.

Finger Puppet Mafia wrote:Hey guys. Before what round do we receive those extra trades? How many was it?

Finger Puppet Mafia wrote:Hey guys. Before what round do we receive those extra trades? How many was it?

easytiger wrote:On Jake no-S, in my opinion based on no evidence, I'm tipping he plays 50 odd minutes, with highly rated Tallyn Da Silva to get 20+ minutes.  I know Tim Sheens is a huge fan

Between that and the R17 complications, I'm not seeing him as a must have trade

Shady2K wrote:

8 trades after R19/before R20

Krump wrote:
Im due. I hit my worst state of Tigers depression early this year and couldn’t even watch games. So long as there’s effort I’ll stay hopeful.

BCT05 wrote:

Trust the guy in first with all the good luck to say that 

Liverpool_Bulldog wrote:
Can I tell you a secret?

my tv broke wrote:

Is everyone else planning to burn through to zero before the replenish?

I suppose that gives me 11 trades for the next four weeks

my tv broke wrote:

Is everyone else planning to burn through to zero before the replenish?

I suppose that gives me 11 trades for the next four weeks

Weiland wrote:

I like secrets.

Milchcow wrote:

This is how I see it going

R16
Most serious coaches have 11+ this week and probably don't need to make many trades.  The biggest hurdles will be Robson and Moses getting origin callups. Turpin/Simpkin are ideal cashouts to cover hooker if you need to.
Many people won't have 3 MIDs, and not many worth trading in just for this week so that will be the most common cause of people playing short. Maybe Matterson/Hopgood if you want one. If you don't have Hynes then good time to spend a trade on him (and then hope he doesn't get recalled for origin 3)

R17
Will be tough, especially if a few of Teddy, Cook, Haas, Walsh fail to back up. This could be a heavy trading week - probably biggest trade week between now and the r20 boost.
Problem is for most it won't be worth trading out guys like Hynes, Bateman, iPap just for a week. So its a matter of if its appropriate to cash out guys like Preston or hold them for a bit
Guys like Harrison Edwards will be prime for the cutting room floor, Titans have finished their byes if you want any non origin players from there.
I think it won't be uncommon for some of the top teams to play with less than 17 players this week.

R18
Unless you are over-subscribed to Parra players, or there are a bunch of injuries, many will have this pegged as a no trade week (some will have no choice in the matter). Sharks and Tigers will have finished their byes, so any non-origin guns you want from there are prime trade in candidates (if you want both iPap and Bateman for example), and maybe injuries will force something, but trades here will be reacting to circumstances, rather than planning something.

R19
I think a lot have decent cover here. There's a lot of very good MID/EDG available. If Hynes doesn't play game 3 then him and SJ are a halves pairing. I think most people will be OK to field a team of 11+ here, even if they have no trades left. Obviously origin selection/injuries will stuff Camo up, but hopefully everyone else can cope.

R20/21
Race time. I suspect most of the top teams will use 4 of their 8 trades straight away. Certainly by round 21 pending origin backups, and the fitness of Cleary/Bird
If you don't have Hynes, Cleary, Haas, Fifita they are probably the top 4 to bring in this week if they are fit and playing. Fifita/Cleary you may be able to wait a week pending BE/fitness.
Then its guys like Grant, Yeo, Bird (if fit), fixing up WFB. That will be a bit of pot luck whether you go for Latrell, Turbo, Edwards or stick with the likes of Bula. Probably have to pick a cheapie or 2 to fund these upgrades, so everyone will be hoping for a playable $250k player to enable final teams
For those who can't afford the best they'll be looking for guys like Cam Murray, Angus Crichton (if he ever gets a start back) Koroisau as discount options
R22.

R22 to the end
I suspect by the time R22 starts, most top teams will have a gun, or close to gun, top 17, and most of them will have finished their byes
SJ, Tohu, Haas, Cook, Preston, Robson, Hopgood, Haas, Walsh, Cook are some of the main popular players with bye remaining. A bunch of these will have been traded out/upraded in the previous couple of weeks.
A lot will only have 2-3 trades left, but they'll just sit on them and only use them for injuries, and have an 18th man good enough to cover most byes.
Injuries of 2+ weeks will use a trade, and in the final 3 weeks potentially just trading out fit players on a bye to get 3 weeks of scores rather than 2.

Camo123 wrote:

What guns are people looking at next round

It seems a lot of the targets for keepers I have in my tracker are post Origin buys (Fifita losing cash, Cleary returning from injury)

Wonder if it’s worth jumping on Origin guys going up in price (Yeo, Grant), though running risk of Origin 3 injury/poor backup mins

Not a whole lot of non Origin pickups to ditch all the Dogs players for

Contrastinghobby wrote:

Hey the mood has been good in here this week, lets not wreck it