NRL Fantasy 2023 Part 72 - Crazy Trade Time

L-Jimmy wrote:Chin is coming back from a famously-recurring injury.

He wants to play finals.

He wants to walk off to applause at his 150th game.

He's playing the easybeats.





I reckon he'll phone it in a bit - not risk the explosive acceleration, tackle-chases and really long kicks that earn him point and risk the hammy.


He can come in next week, after a cheeky 45k price drop.

I’m also wondering if they are up by 30 at half time will they be able to give him a early shower or will he want to stay out there?

Liverpool_Bulldog wrote:I’m also wondering if they are up by 30 at half time will they be able to give him a early shower or will he want to stay out there?

Milchcow wrote:

I'll happily take 55 from Cleary this week. You can have the cash

For me it's timing around bringing in DFifi. Cleary is a much less urgent buy than big Davey.

I’m looking forward to Cleary’s 125

I'm not sure waiting a week is a thing at this stage of the season....unless you need the $$ to make it happen

robelgordo wrote:

Assuming this is the guy at 21, I’d go Luke. Will play every week and is an injury away from being a 45pt player. Actually, could be that player in R27 if Panthers rest guys

I'm still looking at Russel if he remains starting tonight.

Aardvark wrote:I'm not sure waiting a week is a thing at this stage of the season....unless you need the $$ to make it happen

It's totally a thing, because averages are only informative over a period of time.


Like, this weekend I could swap Robson for Cleary - as many others are (Inc Community).


Robson is up against a Parra team who play up the middle a lot, and who leak tries around the ruck. He could well score 60-odd and none would be surprised.

Chin, returning from injury and against a bunch of also-rans, is trying to make sure he lasts the season. He could well score 45 and no one would be surprised.

Playing the odds, on average, Cleary outscores Robson maybe 8 times in 10. At this stage of the season, maybe that 20% is worth the risk

Aardvark wrote:I'm not sure waiting a week is a thing at this stage of the season....unless you need the $$ to make it happen

I do, $50k from going Boyd to Cleary and don't want to downgrade Piakura yet.

I have enough money for NAS and Kris to Cleary and Murray. No reason not to pull trigger I can see. Garrick made CTR makes Kris more expendable. Even though NAS has DPP and no more byes I think he's done his job or should I hold?

L-Jimmy wrote:

It's totally a thing, because averages are only informative over a period of time.


Like, this weekend I could swap Robson for Cleary - as many others are (Inc Community).


Robson is up against a Parra team who play up the middle a lot, and who leak tries around the ruck. He could well score 60-odd and none would be surprised.

Chin, returning from injury and against a bunch of also-rans, is trying to make sure he lasts the season. He could well score 45 and no one would be surprised.

Playing the odds, on average, Cleary outscores Robson maybe 8 times in 10. At this stage of the season, maybe that 20% is worth the risk

Got me thinking now.

Is Robson to Murray worth the trade? Maybe worth holding and seeing if an injury/suspension rises that makes a more obvious trade out target instead?

Shady2K wrote:

Got me thinking now.

Is Robson to Murray worth the trade? Maybe worth holding and seeing if an injury/suspension rises that makes a more obvious trade out target instead?

I dunno dude, I suck at Fantasy. FWIW I Think that it is a strong upgrade.

But maybe check with one of the acronyms (MS, MTB, MC, BZ, ET, GS....)and get a better view?

L-Jimmy wrote:

It's totally a thing, because averages are only informative over a period of time.


Like, this weekend I could swap Robson for Cleary - as many others are (Inc Community).


Robson is up against a Parra team who play up the middle a lot, and who leak tries around the ruck. He could well score 60-odd and none would be surprised.

Chin, returning from injury and against a bunch of also-rans, is trying to make sure he lasts the season. He could well score 45 and no one would be surprised.

Playing the odds, on average, Cleary outscores Robson maybe 8 times in 10. At this stage of the season, maybe that 20% is worth the risk

Maybe but also maybe not.....getting Cleary is also a hedge against all of the teams in front of you who will pick him up this week (plus taking the chance that he goes big to get a leg up on all the teams who don't). Getting Cleary is probably a conservative play which is in keeping with 90% of my game.

Like everyone else my views are clouded by my own egocentric view of what's in front of me so the statement was flippant. It's a relatively easy swap from Tohu to Cleary because I have 3 Warriors and I have chosen to keep AFB as my 20% play.

As you say,there are more than one way to skin a cat.

RandomSil wrote:

I do, $50k from going Boyd to Cleary and don't want to downgrade Piakura yet.

Yeah that's what I meant by 'need the $$'

L-Jimmy wrote:

I dunno dude, I suck at Fantasy. FWIW I Think that it is a strong upgrade.

But maybe check with one of the acronyms (MS, MTB, MC, BZ, ET, GS....)and get a better view?

You've cracked the code. Starting a new account now "Filth Ridden"

L-Jimmy wrote:

It's totally a thing, because averages are only informative over a period of time.


Like, this weekend I could swap Robson for Cleary - as many others are (Inc Community).


Robson is up against a Parra team who play up the middle a lot, and who leak tries around the ruck. He could well score 60-odd and none would be surprised.

Chin, returning from injury and against a bunch of also-rans, is trying to make sure he lasts the season. He could well score 45 and no one would be surprised.

Playing the odds, on average, Cleary outscores Robson maybe 8 times in 10. At this stage of the season, maybe that 20% is worth the risk

There's also the other risk in terms of not having Cleary to captain. Will be interesting to see the captaincy % though, maybe it will be pretty close between him and Hynes.

Decided not to go Tohu to Murray.

Looked good among another 3 trades but when singled out doesn`t make heaps of sense for my team.

Really torn on captaincy this week, Hynes seems safer while having the sense Cleary could go 100+.

Will be really enjoyable to own both of them and Fifita, Haas at the same time. No more hiding behind the couch.

filthridden wrote:

You've cracked the code. Starting a new account now "Filth Ridden"

Nice.
I personally going with SJ but could get confused with the other SJ .

Other than Turbo* have we seen any other player doing their hammy again in the first game back?

* Not 100% sure about Turbo either

I really want Cleary but im struggling to find a move that works. im H2H so dont need him untill finals but If just go Robson to Murray and leave 6 trades that might close off the avenues for Cleary unless a gun gets injured.

1. Fainu Munro Sandon Robson to Cleary Colq Burpo Skelton Completely sack my bench and go down to 3 trades: so would have those 3 and Kris as my 18-21.

2. Robson Gagai to Cleary Averillo and then run a Kris Averillo Center 2

3. Manu Sandon Robson to Cleary Penisini 280k guy so basically 1 more trade than option 1 but a "weaker" Center.

after all this its pointing towards just Robson to Murray

BCT05 wrote:


There's also the other risk in terms of not having Cleary to captain. Will be interesting to see the captaincy % though, maybe it will be pretty close between him and Hynes.

Hope so. Having Hynes at 98% captaincy or whatever it's been recently almost makes it redundant, it's a bit more fun when it's closer to a 50/50 split (plus whatever random POD captains the risk-takers chuck in on a given week).

Holzman wrote:I really want Cleary but im struggling to find a move that works. im H2H so dont need him untill finals but If just go Robson to Murray and leave 6 trades that might close off the avenues for Cleary unless a gun gets injured.

1. Fainu Munro Sandon Robson to Cleary Colq Burpo Skelton Completely sack my bench and go down to 3 trades: so would have those 3 and Kris as my 18-21.

2. Robson Gagai to Cleary Averillo and then run a Kris Averillo Center 2

3. Manu Sandon Robson to Cleary Penisini 280k guy so basically 1 more trade than option 1 but a "weaker" Center.

after all this its pointing towards just Robson to Murray

I like option two, but would trade Manu rather than Gagai. Does the extra 70k let you stretch to someone like Ramien?

sajjos wrote:Other than Turbo* have we seen any other player doing their hammy again in the first game back?

* Not 100% sure about Turbo either

NRL Physio had some stats last week with hamstring reinjury rates being 10-15% but not necessarily first game back.