NRL Fantasy 2024 Part 12 - No need for a restart

Milchcow wrote:
If Galvin starts , you almost have to grab him, even if he ends up just a 1 week cover for Sezer

I think Levi might be my only sell at this stage unless of course Toops is out

If teams are named as expected, looking at:
Kini > Sullivan
Strange > Burbo

Strange isn't an urgent sell, but no one else is putting their hand up and looking like a slow burn cow.

Would mean I am down to just 3 Raiders and 3 Bulldogs, so much more manageable for their future byes.

Sullivan has scored pretty well as primary half when Hunt hasnt been in the game.

Liverpool_Bulldog wrote:

I think Levi might be my only sell at this stage unless of course Toops is out

Levi got 57+ minutes at HOK. Definitely not a sell for me.

Lemmy KGB wrote:Was Belamy not happy with Jacky? I thought he looked OK.

I think he just said he is probably more suited to the middle. Which I agree. Seems like the less he has to think about, the better he will be.

mickspicks wrote:

I think he just said he is probably more suited to the middle. Which I agree. Seems like the less he has to think about, the better he will be.

Also said he wasn't very active.

mattnz wrote:

Levi got 57+ minutes at HOK. Definitely not a sell for me.

Agreed. Should average around 32 points in 60 minutes if he keeps the minutes. Gets him to $450k. Slow burn but there is your +$150k.

mattnz wrote:

mickspicks wrote:

I think he just said he is probably more suited to the middle. Which I agree. Seems like the less he has to think about, the better he will be.

Also said he wasn't very active.

Yeah, but that was before he got an extra 4 TBs in the stats

OB wrote:

Agreed. Should average around 32 points in 60 minutes if he keeps the minutes. Gets him to $450k. Slow burn but there is your +$150k.

Tweaked his hammy and scored a try for 31. Not sure about that.

OB wrote:

Agreed. Should average around 32 points in 60 minutes if he keeps the minutes. Gets him to $450k. Slow burn but there is your +$150k.

I’m not so convinced. Without the try he’s low to mid twenties. Plus he plodded and looked like doing nothing for the majority of that game.

I’m struggling to find someone to trade out, so Levi might be the one that has to go.

kamikamicameleons wrote:

Milchcow wrote:

https://www.nrlfantasyfanatics.com/t128-fantasy-resources#14123

Awesome, cheers. Gonna take a few re reads to take any of that in I think.

Was wondering how hard it would be to predict price changes with guessing scores for 5 rounds out. After reading that it feels like it wouldn't be accurate enough to bother

Its fine to predict multiple weeks out. If you find its going to come down to a difference of a couple of thousand dollars to make your proposed trades, you are more likely to have your prediction stuffed up by predicting their scores wrong, rather than getting the wrong BE

mickspicks wrote:

Tweaked his hammy and scored a try for 31. Not sure about that.

Thought I heard it was just a cork.

mattnz wrote:

Liverpool_Bulldog wrote:

I think Levi might be my only sell at this stage unless of course Toops is out

Levi got 57+ minutes at HOK. Definitely not a sell for me.

His scoring wasn't great without the try, but the other plus in his favour is that he was subbed due to injury.

He may have been due for a sub around that time anyway, but early signs are he'll be OK for decent minutes

mickspicks wrote:

Tweaked his hammy and scored a try for 31. Not sure about that.

Was just a cork, will be back next week. Who knows what minutes he gets without it.

mickspicks wrote:

Tweaked his hammy and scored a try for 31. Not sure about that.

I'm basing this on his career PPM of 0.57 which stays about the same no matter how you filter his scores. He also was out for most of last year so always gonna be a bit of rust. With a shortage of genuine cows around I'm not going to panic with a low score saved by a try.

Finch wrote:Is the site loading super slow for anyone else..?

White Lightning wrote:

yes

I think its more likely you two have been put on restricted minutes so no other forum poaches you

Levi averages in 50+ minutes at HOK:
2021 55 in 75 minutes (2 games)
2020 35 in 64 minutes
2019 39 in 63 minutes
2018 40 in 68 minutes

When Raiders are playing well, he likely picks up some attacking stats, when they are on the back foot, he should have a higher tackle count. Looks like 35-40 points is a reasonable expectation for his role. Hard to beat that at his price point for value.

8 weeks for Spencer.

mattnz wrote:

Was just a cork, will be back next week. Who knows what minutes he gets without it.

The trouble is that Sticky has historically rode his hookers based on game flow and feel.
Raiders dominating, no need to pull Levi. Next game if the Raiders go down two quick tries, what’s to say he doesn’t get pulled after 20 mins?

Point being, he is by no means a lock to get high mins or average 30+.
I’d be quite happy not having to worry about the headache.

GreenSchist wrote:

The trouble is that Sticky has historically rode his hookers based on game flow and feel.
Raiders dominating, no need to pull Levi. Next game if the Raiders go down two quick tries, what’s to say he doesn’t get pulled after 20 mins?

Point being, he is by no means a lock to get high mins or average 30+.
I’d be quite happy not having to worry about the headache.

Not sure what people were expecting in picking Levi, with Starling on the bench. He gets 57 minutes straight, before going off with a minor injury and still not happy and want to trade him out.