NRL Fantasy 2024 Part 23 - End the season now, Tigers are in the 8

I'm following suit with the Hosking to Fog trade.

Got the cash to go Cotric to Ponga as my second trade.

GreenSchist wrote:Hosking straight OUT, Fogarty IN.
Bit late to the party but needs to happen to cover the hole I have in the halves.

Hoping Chan gets named so I have 17 green dots this weekend (Smithies and Burbo buy themselves a week or two reprieve).

I expect Brown will outscore Fog for less, and is 1 less Raider to worry about for their upcoming bye. Most teams have 3 to as many as 6 Raiders.

Honey Badger wrote:Hosking +6?

That's one other I think

Just realised that in 3 consecutive rounds, the teams on bye are:
Bulldogs
Eels
Raiders

After this round they probably typically make up 9 or 10 members of most teams. Could be some real carnage through that period if popular players from other teams are also out for short term injuries and suspensions.

I have 9 myself, 3 in each team.

mattnz wrote:
I expect Brown will outscore Fog for less, and is 1 less Raider to worry about for their upcoming bye. Most teams have 3 to as many as 6 Raiders.

Dyl definitely better value, but won't be a season long proposition (Moses eventually back) so will need to be a sell.

If Green needs cash gen, DBag definitely better.
If he needs a season long halves keeper, Fog better (and still undervalued by 7 points based on current scoring)

Other Raiders will be the trade-outs when it's their bye

Trades look fairly straightforward this week, which is how you know TLT is going to spark chaos.

Sitili -> Brown
Hughes/Chan -> Talagi

Depending on whether Chan is named.

All aboard the Eels halves.

mattnz wrote:
I expect Brown will outscore Fog for less, and is 1 less Raider to worry about for their upcoming bye. Most teams have 3 to as many as 6 Raiders.

Its a valid consideration, I'll go back and have a look.
Cheaper option might be the go if I need to make another trade.

Will need another new captain this week with McInnes on the bye.

Going to be quite hard to go past May vs the Dogs. Will be either him or Grant.

Snatchpato wrote:
Dyl definitely better value, but won't be a season long proposition (Moses eventually back) so will need to be a sell.

If Green needs cash gen, DBag definitely better.
If he needs a season long halves keeper, Fog better (and still undervalued by 7 points based on current scoring)

Other Raiders will be the trade-outs when it's their bye

If Fog can average 55 he has 2 points of value.
Don't think we have ever  seen a half average his current kick meters across a season, even guys like Cleary and Moses. As dominant kicker at Titans he was still only low 300s km per game in his best season there, half of what he is averaging this year, which is likely 7-10 points a game difference from here when that drops.

kamikamicameleons wrote:I'm considering going Lussick > Wayde Egan

Someone talk me off the ledge

Also considering Egan, the bloke is always injured though or HIA

May take the gamble, but have other priorities first.

Snatchpato wrote:
Dyl definitely better value, but won't be a season long proposition (Moses eventually back) so will need to be a sell.

If Green needs cash gen, DBag definitely better.
If he needs a season long halves keeper, Fog better (and still undervalued by 7 points based on current scoring)

Other Raiders will be the trade-outs when it's their bye

Until Moses is unable to make a return and Brown becomes a season long keeper...

Thanks Fiona for adjusting Hosking's score so I'm featuring on yafss par chart again

JfC. Not only did I back myself into the corner, I violently threw myself against it. I should have 17 green dots, 12 of whom could score 30 or less. I’ve also got a cool $2.993million riding the pine this round(I was firmly in Camp hold Cleary).

Option A: continue to hold and take the score and rank hit this round. I was 76k two weeks ago, I’m pretty sure I’ll make back any lost ranks over the following weeks. Also, one trade to get some cash gen going again.

Option B: double trade and focus on getting Cleary back post Origin, and have confidence Hynes can match him or come close to his average.

Chewie wrote:Thanks Fiona for adjusting Hosking's score so I'm featuring on yafss par chart again

He only lost 7k, brilliant

Trade choices this week looking pretty straight forward for the diligafs.

No access to my team. So just save trades and hope genius sports sort their lives out soon

mattnz wrote:
If Fog can average 55 he has 2 points of value.
Don't think we have ever  seen a half average his current kick meters across a season, even guys like Cleary and Moses. As dominant kicker at Titans he was still only low 300s km per game in his best season there, half of what he is averaging this year, which is likely 7-10 points a game difference from here when that drops.

Highest KM average for Cleary is 508 in 2021. Highest for Moses and DCE is 450-ish, and I couldn't find anyone else higher. You're right, Fog's KMs probably come back to earth at some point.

ForanAgainst wrote:JfC. Not only did I back myself into the corner, I violently threw myself against it. I should have 17 green dots, 12 of whom could score 30 or less. I’ve also got a cool $2.993million riding the pine this round(I was firmly in Camp hold Cleary).

Option A: continue to hold and take the score and rank hit this round. I was 76k two weeks ago, I’m pretty sure I’ll make back any lost ranks over the following weeks. Also, one trade to get some cash gen going again.

Option B: double trade and focus on getting Cleary back post Origin, and have confidence Hynes can match him or come close to his average.

You have Cleary, Hynes, Mcinnes and Galvin? That's harsh. Personally I would wait it out. Saves you trades this week and in future weeks getting Cleary back. Doubt you get enough points in 1 week to make it worth an extra 3 trades

Looks like Schiller's spot to lose now.

mattnz wrote:
If Fog can average 55 he has 2 points of value.
Don't think we have ever  seen a half average his current kick meters across a season, even guys like Cleary and Moses. As dominant kicker at Titans he was still only low 300s km per game in his best season there, half of what he is averaging this year, which is likely 7-10 points a game difference from here when that drops.

He's also averaging well under RM for a half, 0 offloads for a half which is well unders, 0 tries, and only 0.5 TA/game. Not saying you're wrong about KM, but assuming that's the only factor in his scoring is too narrow-minded. Fair chance his KM drop off in more open/flowing games, but his offloads/tries/TAs/TBs etc make up for it.

In any case he's currently averaging 60 through 4 games this season, and unless given more information I'm going to run with that for now.

Khany wrote:Looks like Schiller's spot to lose now.

Not partial to a BBQ ?