NRL Fantasy 2024 Part 23 - End the season now, Tigers are in the 8

Chucky wrote:
Turbo for the bounce back, in torrential rain, against the Panthers.

Turbo's last 3 games vs the panthers = scores of 16 (2023), 35 (2022), 50 (2021)

Some decisions come down to team balance, I'll trade in DBrown this week as I don't want to play Strange in my halves. Unlike some of you I didn't start the season with either Hutch or Flanno, so my halves cover was pretty thin, losing Cleary to injury and now Galvin to suspension kind of makes the decision for me.
Gutho would have been a consideration if I needed a WFB

multiple.scoregasms wrote:

Think Tupouinua is a much bigger problem than Tatola. Tatola is still making a little bit of cash, all be it quite slowly, while Tupouinua is set to plummet. Understandable if it's needed for cash to make the ins work but I'd try to find a way to ditch Tupouinua this week

i wanna get rid of tups, but I'd have to get another shitto or pass on KPP.

Since I've been playing fantasy, maybe 20 years now??, I've prioritised trading out red dots rather than focusing on underpriced guns. That strategy hasn't helped.

Tups will lose some cash this week, but I want a stronger 17 while possible and can probably dump Tups for JBrails (hopefully).

I have 18 green dots this week so thinking of going Lussick and Tupouniua to Gutho and Crichton - means I have to play Strange but he's probably one of my top 17 scorers anyway, and I don't really fancy any of the cheapies to come in for Chan.

Grant
Hoppy May Smithies
KPP Crichton
Hutcho Strange
Kiraz Talagi
Teddy Gutho Papy

Rapana Salmon Burbo Levi
Hughes Cleary Galvin Chan

Basically almost a team of mid rangers at this point though haha

kamikamicameleons wrote:

Another comment I'm too new to understand

One of the older posters captained Isaako while coming 2nd overall

Chewie wrote:
So the question is Hynes or Cleary for the pre-origin period?

I've ended up with both but if I didn't own either it's a tough choice. Cleary seems to be able to put up monster scores without needing attacking stats, where Hynes requires Sharks to score some points. Hynes gets a lot of attacking stats because he is really good but I feel like it makes him slightly less consistent than Cleary.

If I didn't own either you have to weigh up return from injury risk vs inconsistency of relying on attacking stats. I'd probably go with Hynes

Community team captaincy poll

https://www.nrlfantasyfanatics.com/t2423-r5-captaincy

multiple.scoregasms wrote:

One of the older posters captained Isaako while coming 2nd overall

So you're saying the answer is trade Isaako in as captain

Captain Patty
Vice Captain Papy

Chewie wrote:Captain Patty
Vice Captain Papy

Is fog able to per(form) in wet weather?

multiple.scoregasms wrote:

Last year Cleary went 90+ 6 times and Hynes 5 times. Throw in a bunch of 80s and it can really hurt not captaining. You are also paying for a much higher floor as you can pretty much  bank a 50 unless something goes horribly wrong. The second tier options aside from maybe Haas don't have the same floor or ceiling

No one has a better floor than my big minute McInnes - Sadly doesn't have the ceiling though

Speaking of McInnes, I remember in the preseason we were all talking about his scoring with/without Finucane. I was doing some digging and while yes, it's a change maker, it's not the only player issue McInnes faces.

As a starting lock, here are McInnes' averages (minutes) with/without Finucane:

With: 50 (54)
Without: 61 (66)

As a starting lock, here are McInnes' averages (minutes) with/without Rudolf:

With: 56 (59)
Without: 64 (69)

I'm using only the powers of the footystats website, and without manually running the numbers (spoiler: I'm not going to), I'd be very curious as to how McInnes' averages change with both in the side, or with just one. Like is Finucane's impact really just Rudolf's impact when they've both been in the team? Is it the other way around? Does McInnes only really struggle when both are in the team?

White Lightning wrote:

Turbo's last 3 games vs the panthers = scores of 16 (2023), 35 (2022), 50 (2021)

50 > 35 is a drop of 30%
35 > 16 is a drop of 54%

30% > 54% is an increase of 80%

If we increase 54% by 80% (to follow the trend) we get 97%

Therefore logically Turbos score will drop by this rate and hence

16 > 0.5

So I’m predicting Turbo will score a point.

Liverpool_Bulldog wrote:

Is fog able to per(form) in wet weather?

Canberra forecast is no rain on Sunday. He’s my Captain and Papy is VC

Snatchpato wrote:Speaking of McInnes, I remember in the preseason we were all talking about his scoring with/without Finucane. I was doing some digging and while yes, it's a change maker, it's not the only player issue McInnes faces.

As a starting lock, here are McInnes' averages (minutes) with/without Finucane:

With: 50 (54)
Without: 61 (66)

As a starting lock, here are McInnes' averages (minutes) with/without Rudolf:

With: 56 (59)
Without: 64 (69)

I'm using only the powers of the footystats website, and without manually running the numbers (spoiler: I'm not going to), I'd be very curious as to how McInnes' averages change with both in the side, or with just one. Like is Finucane's impact really just Rudolf's impact when they've both been in the team? Is it the other way around? Does McInnes only really struggle when both are in the team?

Rudolf was out most of last year so 2023 stats potentially had both out

Is it worth going Chan to Talagi, in order to field 17 players, if it meant 1)you keep Cleary(already have Hynes), but 2)you have play Tups? It leaves your bank at $32k and the usual shittos to deal with in the near future, however a trade has been saved.

Originally was going after points. Cleary and Tups out for Api and Brown. $31k left
Then, I considered going after points and cash. Cleary and Tups out for Tohu and Blaize. $330k? left

Hey guys , wondering if anyone can help me understand where matto sits in this parra team for position and minutes? BA seems to use him as a stop gap in different positions. Reason I ask is I have an opportunity to pick him up in my draft comp ?

Cheers

Brookzy wrote:Hey guys , wondering if anyone can help me understand where matto sits in this parra team for position and minutes? BA seems to use him as a stop gap in different positions. Reason I ask is I have an opportunity to pick him up in my draft comp ?

Cheers

Yeah he's just a reliable middle forward for BA tbh.

I'd definitely pick him up though, two main reasons:

1) Matto has a good PPM so can score decent even in limited minutes
2) If Hopgood/Lane/Tuilagi go down, he could pick up a big minute role and be a steal.

If he was on my wavers I'd pick him up in a heartbeat

multiple.scoregasms wrote:



English weather

KPP is from London. You'll be needing to captain Smithies or better still Bateman to be getting full Yorkshire mud and glory effects

Snatchpato wrote:

I'm using only the powers of the footystats website, and without manually running the numbers (spoiler: I'm not going to), I'd be very curious as to how McInnes' averages change with both in the side, or with just one. Like is Finucane's impact really just Rudolf's impact when they've both been in the team? Is it the other way around? Does McInnes only really struggle when both are in the team?

Last year, when Finucane was in the team, he started, and McInnes was on the bench almost every time

R10, Finucane's first game back from injury, was the only time he was benched when McInnes started.

That probably was a bigger determinant of minutes played than whether Rudolf was in the team or not.