2016 NRL.com Fantasy thread part 40

Pookus McFly wrote:I have a dilemma. I can afford to trade Mitchell to Leilua and complete my team this week, but then I obviously miss out on this weeks score when I only have 10 playing as it is. If I play Mitchell and he loses 3k (which seems likely with his be of 58), then i can no longer afford to do this in one trade and would need a cashout (and I cannot afford to lose anymore trades). Think I gotta be the numnuts who sells Mitchell in round 15 :/

I vote to complete your team while you can, so you avoid the risk of having to make an extra trade.
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This will be my 'final' team. Only Tedesco trade left to do next week and a few trades left for season enders (though have plenty of cover)

Smith/JFriend
Fifita/JGraham/Jtrbo                                                 Tolman
Surgess/Whitehead/Merrin/Harris/Cartwright
Norman/DCE                                                             Cleary
Lolohea/Leilua                                                         Hurrell/Copley
Munster/Tedesco/Aitken                                          Mitchell

Boozecluez wrote:This will be my 'final' team. Only Tedesco trade left to do next week and a few trades left for season enders (though have plenty of cover)

Smith/JFriend
Fifita/JGraham/Jtrbo                                                 Tolman
Surgess/Whitehead/Merrin/Harris/Cartwright
Norman/DCE                                                             Cleary
Lolohea/Leilua                                                         Hurrell/Copley
Munster/Tedesco/Aitken                                          Mitchell

That's a very very strong looking team, plus plenty of cover if need be. How many trades left and what's your team value?

Pookus McFly wrote:I have a dilemma. I can afford to trade Mitchell to Leilua and complete my team this week, but then I obviously miss out on this weeks score when I only have 10 playing as it is. If I play Mitchell and he loses 3k (which seems likely with his be of 58), then i can no longer afford to do this in one trade and would need a cashout (and I cannot afford to lose anymore trades). Think I gotta be the numnuts who sells Mitchell in round 15 :/

Pretty much answered your own question mate, but it is still good to vocalise these things.

EvenSteeden wrote:

That's a very very strong looking team, plus plenty of cover if need be. How many trades left and what's your team value?

Team value is slowly dropping due to keepers, but around 9.5mil once Tedesco is brought in
Trades will be at 4 next week, trying something different by trading hard and getting the team set early with as many POD's as possible.
Any season enders will be 'like for like' so won't need the gun/npr double trade to bring them in (should/when they arise).

Risky but where is the fun otherwise, and want to see if it is possible

Was going to get rid of Benry for that Souths 2RF fella playing Centre this week but you guys have convinced me to not waste the trade when I'm not getting any cash, but do we think he might keep his spot for a few weeks with Goodwin out?

Archer wrote:
It's listed on the 1st page isn't it? Looks to be 36, don't think I can see him scoring that, last weeks team will have Boyd returning definitely and possibly Fenno. I guess best case scenario he knocks out 40-45, worst case 15-20? Whether that's worth the gamble for you I don't know. Whitehead & Bateman for JDB though will mean losing 2 Rd18 players to gain 1 Rd16 player, do you care?

I care not for bye rounds, just want the best team as soon as I can

Pookus McFly wrote:I have a dilemma. I can afford to trade Mitchell to Leilua and complete my team this week, but then I obviously miss out on this weeks score when I only have 10 playing as it is. If I play Mitchell and he loses 3k (which seems likely with his be of 58), then i can no longer afford to do this in one trade and would need a cashout (and I cannot afford to lose anymore trades). Think I gotta be the numnuts who sells Mitchell in round 15 :/

I have a similar dilemma. With Claw and Holland going well last week and Hurrell not named at centre I'm thinking of holding Holland and Claw for now so I'll have less cash available. I can go Mitchell to Tedesco now (and miss rd 15 score) but if I keep Mitchell and he loses more than 15k (quite possible) I won't be able to do it. At least then Mitchell's price won't change in rd 16 but Ted may drop and I could grab him the following week maybe. Might be worth the risk in my case?

Edit: Forgot to say, agree with SI, complete your team imo

Honeysett wrote:

I care not for bye rounds, just want the best team as soon as I can

Look like two solid upgrades to me then.

Boozecluez wrote:

Team value is slowly dropping due to keepers, but around 9.5mil once Tedesco is brought in
Trades will be at 4 next week, trying something different by trading hard and getting the team set early with as many POD's as possible.
Any season enders will be 'like for like' so won't need the gun/npr double trade to bring them in (should/when they arise).

Risky but where is the fun otherwise, and want to see if it is possible

4 trades?

I think we have a new winner!

Mulvy wrote:
I have a similar dilemma. With Claw and Holland going well last week and Hurrell not named at centre I'm thinking of holding Holland and Claw for now so I'll have less cash available. I can go Mitchell to Tedesco now (and miss rd 15 score) but if I keep Mitchell and he loses more than 15k (quite possible) I won't be able to do it. At least then Mitchell's price won't change in rd 16 but Ted may drop and I could grab him the following week maybe. Might be worth the risk in my case?

Edit: Forgot to say, agree with SI, complete your team imo

Yeah your case is a little different in that Mitchell and Tedesco are both going down in price. I have calculated that Mitchell needs to score above 37 to decrease by less than 15k. But even if he misses this, you can still rely on Teddy becoming more affordable. And since he plays the Storm next up, I think that for you it would be a safe bet to run with Mitchell this week and trade in round 16/17.

Pain wrote:
4 trades?

I think we have a new winner!

Oooh what do i win ? Could be 6 trades going into this bye but trying to settle my team asap.

So how would you rank these 3 players . Barba/Mitchell/Gutherson?

Barba has job security, plays in a good attacking team but relies on scoring tries to score well.

Mitchell is new to the job, medium job security (with talk of Gordon) but can fend and score alright off that but Roosters are struggling

Gutherson is in between in regards to the above, but plays on the wing. Eels have the whole salary cap scandal over them and with losing points who knows how they will score fantasy wise going forward

Its a hard one to choose a keeper out of these 3 but would look at keeping the one. Perhaps the way they are priced is a fair reflection of their ranking at the moment? Thoughts?

Pookus McFly wrote:

Yeah your case is a little different in that Mitchell and Tedesco are both going down in price. I have calculated that Mitchell needs to score above 37 to decrease by less than 15k. But even if he misses this, you can still rely on Teddy becoming more affordable. And since he plays the Storm next up, I think that for you it would be a safe bet to run with Mitchell this week and trade in round 16/17.

Cheers Pookus, I spent half the day working this out, have an upvote

whats the go with taupau being named up front - god damn i am kinda regretting holding all this time. and pls god bellyache just start tohu at centre just once more, none of this 5/8 charade shit.
edit: does it make a difference to dpp status whether he starts at 5/8 or half...? not that dpp half would be of any use

Boozecluez wrote:So how would you rank these 3 players . Barba/Mitchell/Gutherson?

Barba has job security, plays in a good attacking team but relies on scoring tries to score well.

Mitchell is new to the job, medium job security (with talk of Gordon) but can fend and score alright off that but Roosters are struggling

Gutherson is in between in regards to the above, but plays on the wing. Eels have the whole salary cap scandal over them and with losing points who knows how they will score fantasy wise going forward

Its a hard one to choose a keeper out of these 3 but would look at keeping the one. Perhaps the way they are priced is a fair reflection of their ranking at the moment? Thoughts?

I'm not sure if this can be answered without knowing what's happening with Gordon.
If he goes to the Roosters, Mitchell becomes less attractive, whereas Guthersons value increases. Btw, Gutherson is playing in the centres recently.
Barba had a poor game last round, but he was up against the Cowboys.
In my opinion, it goes Barba, Mitchell, Gutherson. But there's not a lot in it.
Guthersons DPP is also worth considering.

Boozecluez wrote:So how would you rank these 3 players . Barba/Mitchell/Gutherson?

Barba has job security, plays in a good attacking team but relies on scoring tries to score well.

Mitchell is new to the job, medium job security (with talk of Gordon) but can fend and score alright off that but Roosters are struggling

Gutherson is in between in regards to the above, but plays on the wing. Eels have the whole salary cap scandal over them and with losing points who knows how they will score fantasy wise going forward

Its a hard one to choose a keeper out of these 3 but would look at keeping the one. Perhaps the way they are priced is a fair reflection of their ranking at the moment? Thoughts?

I change my mind a lot, but as of right now Barba's your keeper. Yes needs attacking scores but as others have said decent run home, byes out of the way, fully fit, in a top four team. Mitchell is starting to look like Inglis, in a bad way, always looks injured, strapped like a mummy in a shit team who won't make the eight, even if Gordon doesn't arrive. Guth I want to keep as long as I can, good byes, heaps of potential, and if Gordon leaves you'll look like a twat for trading him out, I'm gonna try and hold until rd 19.

Chucky wrote:

Boozecluez wrote:So how would you rank these 3 players . Barba/Mitchell/Gutherson?

Barba has job security, plays in a good attacking team but relies on scoring tries to score well.

Mitchell is new to the job, medium job security (with talk of Gordon) but can fend and score alright off that but Roosters are struggling

Gutherson is in between in regards to the above, but plays on the wing. Eels have the whole salary cap scandal over them and with losing points who knows how they will score fantasy wise going forward

Its a hard one to choose a keeper out of these 3 but would look at keeping the one. Perhaps the way they are priced is a fair reflection of their ranking at the moment? Thoughts?

I'm not sure if this can be answered without knowing what's happening with Gordon.
If he goes to the Roosters, Mitchell becomes less attractive, whereas Guthersons value increases. Btw, Gutherson is playing in the centres recently.
Barba had a poor game last round, but he was up against the Cowboys.
In my opinion, it goes Barba, Mitchell, Gutherson. But there's not a lot in it.
Guthersons DPP is also worth considering.

This.

Interesting thoughts. for me they are all the same player worth 350k tops. I have wanted to trade them out the whole time but can't justify it without screwing up my byes.

I would get rid of barba first simply because he has hit his ceiling first and i can make a swap to a gun that much easier.

Some good chat above , wanted to get a discussion going as guessing most are in the same boat.
Everytime I think I have worked it out I remember the whole 'Gordon' out rumour which stuff's up things alot.

Great point on Gutherson at Centre, didn't actually pick that up and I watch most games so amazed that it slipped by me (though I watched the All Blacks game last week so actually missed that game)
Changes things a bit