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    2017 NRL.com Fantasy thread part 19

    Feline
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    Post by Feline Fri Mar 17, 2017 3:42 pm

    Feline wrote:

    Got a source for this?

    I still think this is bigger news than Hess starting in the 2RF. Tempted to bring them both in and keep Elgey another week.

    Got it NRL.com;

    OK, here is to go. Sam Hoare is a better cash cow prospect the Hess with this news. He is a permanent addition to the side for Scott, and as said he may start in the future.

    So I have decided that Iapalii to Hoare is the priority trade.

    Which is better to stick with as the 2nd

    Moeroa to Hess

    or

    Elgey to Lamb
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    Post by Guest Fri Mar 17, 2017 3:46 pm

    Feline wrote:

    Got it NRL.com;

    OK, here is to go. Sam Hoare is a better cash cow prospect the Hess with this news. He is a permanent addition to the side for Scott, and as said he may start in the future.

    So I have decided that Iapalii to Hoare is the priority trade.

    Which is better to stick with as the 2nd

    Moeroa to Hess

    or

    Elgey to Lamb

    Lamb the sensible trade but Hess is very tempting.
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    Post by Feline Fri Mar 17, 2017 3:58 pm

    White Lightning wrote:

    Or Moeroa to Hoare and Elgey to Lamb, leaving 255k for other upgrades next week


    Lamb the sensible trade but Hess is very tempting.
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    Post by Honeysett Fri Mar 17, 2017 4:02 pm

    Pulled the trigger on I Papalil -> Hoare
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    Post by Loomer Fri Mar 17, 2017 4:04 pm

    How much will Hoare rise in 2 weeks that it's not worth waiting to see what happens when Lolo back?
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    Post by Guest Fri Mar 17, 2017 4:10 pm

    Honeysett wrote:Pulled the trigger on I Papalil -> Hoare

    Not surprised you went for a cheap Hoare.
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    Post by Honeysett Fri Mar 17, 2017 4:11 pm

    Loomer wrote:How much will Hoare rise in 2 weeks that it's not worth waiting to see what happens when Lolo back?

    Does he not come into the picture for Scott? Hoare was named on the bench even with Lolo named right?
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    Post by pm888 Fri Mar 17, 2017 4:16 pm

    yeah, but fensom might also feature in the 17. i think thats the other factor
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    Post by WT Winfield Fri Mar 17, 2017 4:17 pm

    Honeysett wrote:

    Does he not come into the picture for Scott? Hoare was named on the bench even with Lolo named right?

    I guess people think Fensom's going to stick around? He's only ever played lock though right? Considering it took a lock to get suspended before he even made the team, and isn't even going to start, I'd be willing to gamble on Hoare getting to keep his spot.
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    Post by Feline Fri Mar 17, 2017 4:26 pm

    Loomer wrote:How much will Hoare rise in 2 weeks that it's not worth waiting to see what happens when Lolo back?

    i reckon about 40 to 50k potentially more than Hess

    My expectations are something like this


    Bolton 50 minutes

    Paufusi 50 minutes

    Cooper 80 minutes

    Hess 50 minutes (and no try this week)

    Lowe 60 minutes

    Asiata 30 minutes

    Hoare 50 minutes

    Fensom 30 minutes
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    Post by Loomer Fri Mar 17, 2017 4:37 pm

    Feline wrote:

    i reckon about 40 to 50k potentially more than Hess

    My expectations are something like this


    Bolton  50 minutes

    Paufusi 50 minutes

    Cooper 80 minutes

    Hess  50 minutes (and no try this week)

    Lowe 60 minutes

    Asiata 30 minutes

    Hoare 50 minutes

    Fensom 30 minutes

    Respectfully I think you're dreaming if you think Hoare will get 50 mins. This smacks of an optimistic Hoare buyer

    P.S. That's the weirdest forward minute spilt I've ever seen
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    Post by pm888 Fri Mar 17, 2017 4:39 pm

    i dont think its too far off. ive got lowe at 80 and take 10 off pkaufs and hoare
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    Post by Feline Fri Mar 17, 2017 4:40 pm

    Loomer wrote:

    Respectfully I think you're dreaming if you think Hoare will get 50 mins. This smacks of an optimistic Hoare buyer

    Could well be, but that is what Kaufusi was close to getting before Matt Scott got injured.

    Only 3 props named. I reckon all 3 are in for at least 40 to 50 minutes. I actually dont think I am dreaming at all
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    Post by Guest Fri Mar 17, 2017 4:40 pm

    Feline wrote:

    i reckon about 40 to 50k potentially more than Hess

    My expectations are something like this


    Bolton  50 minutes

    Paufusi 50 minutes

    Cooper 80 minutes

    Hess  50 minutes (and no try this week)

    Lowe 60 minutes

    Asiata 30 minutes

    Hoare 50 minutes

    Fensom 30 minutes

    I can see Hess playing 80 mins. Fensom will rotate with Lowe. Asiata & Hoare will spell the props.
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    Post by Rippin and Tearin Fri Mar 17, 2017 4:41 pm

    Feline wrote:

    i reckon about 40 to 50k potentially more than Hess

    My expectations are something like this


    Bolton  50 minutes

    Paufusi 50 minutes

    Cooper 80 minutes

    Hess  50 minutes (and no try this week)

    Lowe 60 minutes

    Asiata 30 minutes

    Hoare 50 minutes

    Fensom 30 minutes

    What points are you predicting Hess and Hoare to go at over the next two rounds? It's only some pretty out there numbers that would support that 40 to 50k figure you've said!

    I don't think there is any reasonable scenario you can paint that would support that to be honest mate - any chance there is a bit of confirmation bias going on here??

    Try having a crack with the price predictor.
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    Post by Feline Fri Mar 17, 2017 4:48 pm

    White Lightning wrote:

    I can see Hess playing 80 mins. Fensom will rotate with Lowe. Asiata & Hoare will spell the props.

    and his smacks of a optimistic Hess owner. The only reason Hess played big minutes last week was because Scott got injured, took about 20 minutes of him plus extra time

    Asiata is not a prop

    Hess will score about 40 points this week

    Roughly on par with Hoare

    Thats what I am seeing. Totally a prediction and I could be wrong of course. Let us see

    30 to 40k / 40 to 50k. It is all just numbers really. Point is, I suspect Hoare will score much better than Paufusi and rise quickly


    Last edited by Feline on Fri Mar 17, 2017 4:56 pm; edited 1 time in total
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    Post by Rippin and Tearin Fri Mar 17, 2017 4:54 pm

    Feline wrote:

    and his smacks of a optimistic Hess owner. The only reason Hess played big minutes last week was because Scott got injured, took about 20 minutes of him plus extra time

    Asiata is not a prop

    Hess will score about 40 points this week

    Roughly on par with Hoare


    Thats what I am seeing. Totally a prediction and I could be wrong of course. Let us see

    Right, that's more like it.

    So what that equates to bro (if Im working the price predictor correctly) is:

    Hess rises $50k to $370k
    and Hoare $46k to $197k

    So you actually get slightly more from Hess than with Hoare (not 40k to 50k in the other direction).

    And one would think that over the next two weeks given the state of the Cow's pack Hess is way more likely to score more than 40 than Hoare is.... so those price changes are likely to be the worst case (for Hess owners) relative to Hoare ones.

    Just my thoughts - don't own either and unlikely to by tonight.
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    Post by Feline Fri Mar 17, 2017 4:58 pm

    Rippin and Tearin wrote:

    Right, that's more like it.

    So what that equates to bro (if Im working the price predictor correctly) is:

    Hess rises $50k to $370k
    and Hoare $46k to $197k

    So you actually get slightly more from Hess than with Hoare (not 40k to 50k in the other direction).

    Sorry for the confusion. I did not mean to say 40 k more than Hess. I meant that possibly it could be a few k more than Hess (perhaps on about par)
    Grammar is so important sometimes

    and yes you are right, Hess will rise quickly the next two weeks but Fensom gonna eat some minutes during that time,and Taumalolololo will eat his minutes after that and 370k will be his peak.

    Hoare will score about 35 to 40+ for the forseeable future. That is the difference


    Last edited by Feline on Fri Mar 17, 2017 5:04 pm; edited 1 time in total
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    Post by Guest Fri Mar 17, 2017 5:04 pm

    @ Feline. I'm a non Hess owner but edge forwards can easily play 80 mins. Hess essentially did last week.
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    Post by Rippin and Tearin Fri Mar 17, 2017 5:04 pm

    Feline wrote:

    Sorry for the confusion. I did not mean to say 40 k more than Hess. I meant that possibly it could be a few k more than Hess (perhaps on about par)
    Grammar is so important sometimes

    No worries. I'm not convinced either is worth it at this stage given the uncertainty. To make enough cash both players would have to get significant increased minutes over more than just the next 2 weeks. It sounds like Hess may get those over the next 2 rounds but after that Im not convinced. Too much uncertainty with Hoare as well for me.

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