2018 NRL.com Fantasy thread part 1

Trent Merrin's minutes went down by 10 per game last year from the year before. I can't recall if there was any particular reason for this. Any thoughts?

Milchcow wrote:Top 30 underpriced players based on their 2016 averages
(some of these guys only played 1-2 games in 2016)

   

Name	Price	Team	Priced at	2016
Jackson Hastings	$228,000	MAN	15.57	45
Bryce Cartwright	$325,000	PEN	22.19	50.33333
Reimis Smith	$212,000	CBY	14.48	40
Robbie Rochow	$312,000	WST	21.30	44
Jahrome Hughes	$403,000	MEL	27.52	49
Jaydn Su'a	$255,000	BRI	17.41	38.75
Taane Milne	$228,000	WST	15.57	33
Jack Cogger	$256,000	NEW	17.48	34.8
Mitch Rein	$448,000	GLD	30.59	47.75
Joseph Leilua	$486,000	CAN	33.19	48.77273
Richard Kennar	$228,000	SOU	15.57	31
Sam McKendry	$212,000	PEN	14.48	29.83333
Cameron Cullen	$228,000	MAN	15.57	30.4
Benji Marshall	$305,000	WST	20.83	35.3125
Jesse Bromwich	$534,000	MEL	36.46	50.70833
Robbie Farah	$486,000	SOU	33.19	47.11111
Shaun Fensom	$475,000	NQL	32.43	45.84615
Dylan Napa	$445,000	SYD	30.39	43.52174
Greg Eastwood	$317,000	CBY	21.65	34.05882
Leilani Latu	$328,000	GLD	22.40	34.72727
Ryan James	$700,000	GLD	47.80	60.125
Solomone Kata	$388,000	WAR	26.49	38.28571
Michael Lichaa	$533,000	CBY	36.39	47.85714
Peni Terepo	$305,000	PAR	20.83	32.17391
Trent Merrin	$654,000	PEN	44.66	55.95652
Pat Mata'utia	$228,000	NEW	15.57	26.85714
Josh Reynolds	$493,000	WST	33.66	44.75
Hymel Hunt	$310,000	SOU	21.17	32.23077
James Fisher-Harris	$296,000	PEN	20.21	31.09524
James Graham	$671,000	SGI	45.82	56.625

Elliott Whitehead must have been close to making that list. Does he come good this year?

mulvy wrote:Trent Merrin's minutes went down by 10 per game last year from the year before. I can't recall if there was any particular reason for this. Any thoughts?

I recall him looking lazy out there but his stats don't really reflect that. A part of it is the injury in Round 19, because up until then he was averaging 58 minutes. You also had Corey Harawira-Naera come onto the scene and play big minutes. Personally I wouldn't pick him up until you see the minutes breakdown. Because even in the finals series last year Merrin averaged 36 minutes a game while CHN picked up 80 minutes. You also have Cartwright potentially starting and taking up minutes in the 2RF after a return from a season filled with injury and scandal. So he could fire up. Isaah Yeo also played a lot more games last year in the 2RF than he did the previous year and played 80 minutes most games.

Interestingly James Fisher Harris returned the round that Merrin got injured. So whether they were playing it safe with Merrin to see out the year, and the finals series or when he returned that is a better reflection of his minutes is a possibility. All an all there is too much question marks over his playing minutes and too many 2RFs at the Panthers to make a case for him. You have James Fisher-Harris, Bryce Cartwright. Corey Harawira-Naera, Isaah Yeo, and Tyrone Peachey.

@Milchcow is there a reason the PPM list isn't in the 2018 Team Planner on the look up feature.

Random wrote:
@Milchcow is there a reason the PPM list isn't in the 2018 Team Planner on the look up feature.

Because the team planner is primarily for my benefit, and I don't give a shit about PPM.
I'll add it in at some point for those that want it.

Random wrote:

I recall him looking lazy out there but his stats don't really reflect that. A part of it is the injury in Round 19, because up until then he was averaging 58 minutes. You also had Corey Harawira-Naera come onto the scene and play big minutes. Personally I wouldn't pick him up until you see the minutes breakdown. Because even in the finals series last year Merrin averaged 36 minutes a game while CHN picked up 80 minutes. You also have Cartwright potentially starting and taking up minutes in the 2RF after a return from a season filled with injury and scandal. So he could fire up. Isaah Yeo also played a lot more games last year in the 2RF than he did the previous year and played 80 minutes most games.

Interestingly James Fisher Harris returned the round that Merrin got injured. So whether they were playing it safe with Merrin to see out the year, and the finals series or when he returned that is a better reflection of his minutes is a possibility. All an all there is too much question marks over his playing minutes and too many 2RFs at the Panthers to make a case for him. You have James Fisher-Harris, Bryce Cartwright. Corey Harawira-Naera, Isaah Yeo, and Tyrone Peachey.

@Milchcow is there a reason the PPM list isn't in the 2018 Team Planner on the look up feature.

Nice analysis

Milchcow wrote:

Because the team planner is primarily for my benefit, and I don't give a shit about PPM.
I'll add it in at some point for those that want it.

+1
Gotta be the most overrated stat for picking a player

Bulldogs are hoping to get one of either Cogger or Sezer apparently.

If Sezer goes to the dogs i'll put him straight in my team. Also Sam Williams would come into consideration for me if he's the right price.

Yeah i'm still struggling with these prices

Mighty Fishes wrote:Bulldogs are hoping to get one of either Cogger or Sezer apparently.

If Sezer goes to the dogs i'll put him straight in my team. Also Sam Williams would come into consideration for me if he's the right price.

Yeah i'm still struggling with these prices

Me too, I'm just converting all prices into points and it makes a lot more sense.

Prices are basically 3/2 from last year, so a 450k player would have been about 300k, a 600k one about 400k etc. That's not exact but it's an easy approximation.

I'm like "i'll put Ryan James in.. 700k!!??!! fuck that"

Pookus McFly wrote:I think he is priced at 34 points. J-J-Juicy!!

Im struggling to look past teddy, turbo and ponga.
Will see how GI looks in preseason. Shame he doesnt have dpp ctr status

West Tigers for the spoon this year?

Chewie wrote:West Tigers for the spoon this year?

Yep

Valentine to be goal kicker with Maloney gone?

Chewie wrote:West Tigers for the spoon this year?

Titans for me, Cleary will get so much more out of the Tigers, some good signings as well

JRey is a great signing for them, think Benji will help develop TLolo, Matulino and he development of Twal who is a beast!

multiple.scoregasms wrote:

Milchcow wrote:

Because the team planner is primarily for my benefit, and I don't give a shit about PPM.
I'll add it in at some point for those that want it.

+1
Gotta be the most overrated stat for picking a player

I mean I agree to an extent, it is overrated. But for players who consistently play 60+ minutes it is a decent analysis tool. Like last year it showed the capped potential of Jarrod Wallace (Who got lucky with injuries early on.)

But I do agree when using it from impact players and who are in short stints.

Random wrote:

multiple.scoregasms wrote:

Milchcow wrote:

Because the team planner is primarily for my benefit, and I don't give a shit about PPM.
I'll add it in at some point for those that want it.

+1
Gotta be the most overrated stat for picking a player

I mean I agree to an extent, it is overrated. But for players who consistently play 60+ minutes it is a decent analysis tool. Like last year it showed the capped potential of Jarrod Wallace (Who got lucky with injuries early on.)

But I do agree when using it from impact players and who are in short stints.

Agreed. Although that means we are disagreeing with 2 of the most reputable stats blokes on the forum

The ppm stat doesn't take into consideration the context of the game. A starting prop for example is on the field in a period in the game where a lot of Run Meters and Tackles are being made. They might do the same minutes as an Interchange prop, but their role on the field is very different

I got a player in mind.

Foggy wrote:I got a player in mind.

Gonna need to think of about 20 more to make up a squad