Speedball Deluxe wrote:For anyone who is looking at I.Liu vs/or S.Taukeiaho, I'm going to copy paste from my notes I've just written up (stats on Milchy's awesome excel sheet). I should be right, but I've had a few beers.
ISAAC LIU:
2016 Stats at lock:
Rounds 1, 4, 5, 6, 7, 9, 10, 13, 11, 18, 20. (11)
score: 24, 48, 23, 51, 48, 52, 31, 28, 9, 38, 35 = 387
Mins: 31, 49, 37, 59, 63, 64, 36, 56, 10, 43, 50 = 498 (48min avg without the 10min)
AVG: 35.1
PPM: 0.7 PPM
2017:
Rounds: 18, 20-26 ( 8 )
Score: 47, 59, 59, 55, 28, 27, 45, 36. = 385 (avg 48)
Mins: 49, 56, 47, 49, 47, 51, 42, 44. = 385 (avg 48min pgame)
AVG: 48
PPM: 1
SIO SIUA TAUKEIAHO:
2016 Stats @ lock (comparable to prop?)
Rounds 2, 3, 17, 19, 21, 22, 23, 24 ( 8 )
Score: 52, 67, 48, 45, 45, 47, 42, 63 = 409
Mins: 73, 80, 49, 49, 47, 45, 44, 49 = 436 (avg 54)
AVG per game: 51
PPM: 0.93
2017 Stats: @ Lock:
Rounds: 8,9,10,11,13,14 ( 6 )
Score: 44, 47, 41, 37, 42, 31 (242)
Mins: 44, 69, 53, 39, 51, 43 (299, avg mins 49)
AVG per game: 40
PPM: 0.8
My takeout from that (BASED ON 2017 stats), I've no idea which one to pick lol. Liu PPM from last year means he is the better value (only if he gets the mins). Taukeiaho stats are from lock (is that comparable to prop, I think so?), even if SST get goal kicking, and avg 2 conversions (4points) while he is on pitch, which bumps his avg to 44 ppg, I still have a feeling Liu is the better buy. EG. Napa avg 47mins last year per game, if SST avg 47 mins, based on last year he gets 37.6 (@0.8ppm) + 4 (for conversion) = 41.
If Liu gets 48mins per game (like he did last year), he avg 48points.
Anyway take what you will from this, I'd done the research for myself and thought I'd paste it here. I know someone already did a write up of Liu (i think) a couple of pages back, sorry if I'm rehashing stuff.
I'd prob focus on Taukeiaho's 2016 stats. Coming back from a serious knee injury last season.