Moose wrote:Remember a few years ago when Sandow threw up a massive score so a fair percentage of players (myself included) jumped on as a quick cash grab. The following week he scored shithouse and only ended up making a small amount of cash.
I can see the same thing happening with Maloney.
I feel people are looking at this the wrong way.
The big score is great but importantly there has been a change in Maloney's role that most are banking on to continue and will elevate him above where he is priced at now. It's not like trading in Josh Hoffman after his big rd 1 score as a cash grab.
- He will kick more (5-10 pts)
- He will be more of an attacking focus with good damaging players running off him such as Kikau and Edwards (more ball = more runs and TBs potential ~ 2-7pts and more big score potential - LB, LBAs, TAs, Ts)
- He gained goal kicking duties (4-8pts)
- As a key playmaker maybe hes targeted a bit more in defence (5-10 more tackles + 4-5 more missed tackles ~ net 0)
All of these points (10-25) happened due to the changing team dynamic with Cleary out and no true half next to him. No-one is banking on another outlier big score (although we'd like them) and we know hes fundamentally a guy who will rack up a few Paul Carter awards.
It's definitely a risk that he explodes with 15-20 missed tackles, penalties and errors (boy that'd be devastating and more negatives than anyone ever I think) but with a low BE, low price and potential I've outlined above I can't think of a half that gives better value right now.
Plus people have Doueihi, Croker, JMK, Carty as their 2nd half (or starters if they've gone cheap/been burned by Croft) and I'm sure Maloney will be more consistent than all of them as the dominant half on his team. Note that if you already had two good halves (i.e. SJ, DCE, Koro, Milf etc.) then Maloney is not as valuable. Plenty of cash cows will make more money than him. Point is he's likely good for some upgrade money and good value for a starting half that lets me strengthen other areas of my team first.
I'd gladly take an Avatar bet on this for all the Maloney doubters. For the length of time Cleary is out name any half I can trade in now that people think will give more points/$spent and total $s to fuel further upgrades than Maloney.