HomeShame on you. Did you not learn anything from seeing the Tigers "super difficult, predicted losses" in the first 5 rounds. You can't predict fantasy scores from the perceived difficulties of a draw. It happens so many times on here only for that prediction to be very wrong. Go stand in the corner for 30 min and think about your actions young man.StormTrooper96 wrote:
I think Tigers are set for a big downslide. Meaning Marsters stats will go with them too. They have Warriors, Cows, Panthers, Bulldogs and Roosters. 3 maybe 4 of those games will be very tough. If they can string a couple losses together (well they already have but a couple more) heads will go down, confidence will be gone. I think they will be 3L and 2W next 5 weeks.
NRL Fantasy 2018 Thread Part 37
bluetige- Posts : 2235
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StormTrooper96- Posts : 9974
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Cap'n Ranta wrote:I know with Dugan going down and Hiku, Isaako and Kennar all peaked we are throwing CTRs around but can someone explain the Ramien trade to me?
He's at $457k currently. (priced at a 30 ish average)
The best centres are around 600k so we are effectively banking on him becoming a keeper or to make enough cash for the trade (which he'd need to be a keeper to get)?
I must admit I haven't seen the lad a lot but:
- He makes around 15 tackles and 100m per game. Base of 25.
- Misses just under two tackles a game and makes slightly over 1 error. New base of 19.
- Attacking stats aren't huge in his first 3 games but have been great in the last two games. Probably too soon to know which is the anomaly.
- Is his spot secure? Know with Dugan from CTR to FB it opened a spot but can a helpful Sharks supporter tell me if he's got that CTR spot secured?
Just not seeing where all the love for the guy is coming from. I'd personally rather trust injury reports and play Capewell @ 338k as a cheap CTR for 3 weeks, 1 dud week (Lewis/Gallen returns) and 1 origin week. He's cheaper, has a better floor short term at least and is available at CTR. I'm waiting for team confirmation before pulling the trigger on this though.
At least with Marsters he has the goalkicking providing a solid floor (for now with Lolohea out) and while he might only make 10 tackles and run for 120m the attacking stats on the guy are huge (multiple TBs (3/game and Offloads 3/game). He does have more MTs and Errors in him too but I can see a boom bust CTR potential with the guy and his bust games should be okay while he's kicking goals.
I know Marsters isn't cheap and other keeper possibilities like Croker, Cotric, Fergo, Roberts, Gagai, Aitken and Latrell may break your bank but I'd look at any of them as well as cheaper guys like Aubbs, Bird, C.Scott, D.Walker, Capewell and even keeping Isaako/Hiku over trading Ramien in. Just keep seeing his name this week and wondering what I'm missing (other than two good CTR scores)? Just feels like its too late to take a punt on him.
TLDR: Got multiple guys I'd rather at CTR over Ramien. Why the love?
You would think when Dugan fit and if Katoa were to get a spot it would be
Dugan
Holmes
Ramien
Leutele
Feki/Katoa
WT Winfield- Posts : 9639
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Tigers draw doesn't look that tough.
Warriors coming back down after losses to Broncos and smashed by Storm, a team we beat twice already.
Cows and Dogs have been out of sorts. Panthers copping a lot of injuries and Roosters we beat already at full strength and will be without Teddy and whoever else for origin that week.
Warriors coming back down after losses to Broncos and smashed by Storm, a team we beat twice already.
Cows and Dogs have been out of sorts. Panthers copping a lot of injuries and Roosters we beat already at full strength and will be without Teddy and whoever else for origin that week.
TheWeapon- Posts : 935
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StormTrooper96 wrote:
You would think when Dugan fit and if Katoa were to get a spot it would be
Dugan
Holmes
Ramien
Leutele
Feki/Katoa
I was a bit surprised Katoa wasn't named this week. Surely he's better than Feki, and is back to 100% by now?
Rapture_NRL- Posts : 3293
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Ramien has a low of 25 which is higher than any of the other centres low bar Marsters at 22. Also, Ramien came off mid 30s before he hit 40s so the love would be stable centre scores rather than Roulette.
Cake Tiger- Posts : 1216
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Anyone bringing in Mannering this week?
Cap'n Ranta- Posts : 701
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Thanks @Rapture_NRL, @StormTrooper96 and @SI. Makes a lot more sense now.
I guess its one of those guys where the guy looks the goods and is a CTR. Probably one of those spots where we don't ask a lot from.
So the deal is kinda cut price keeper esque - $457k for decent to good scores and the bonus that he's actualy a decent/good upcoming player IRL.
I can get behind that logic but I probably need to watch more sharkies games and even then I'm not certain I'd buy in. Just a gut feeling that the trade is a week or two late (if he was a bit cheaper I'd be more tempted).
I guess its one of those guys where the guy looks the goods and is a CTR. Probably one of those spots where we don't ask a lot from.
So the deal is kinda cut price keeper esque - $457k for decent to good scores and the bonus that he's actualy a decent/good upcoming player IRL.
I can get behind that logic but I probably need to watch more sharkies games and even then I'm not certain I'd buy in. Just a gut feeling that the trade is a week or two late (if he was a bit cheaper I'd be more tempted).
Loomer- Fanatic
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Rapture_NRL wrote:@hymenbustas Remember to factor in that D Walker won't be kicking goals though which he was in 2016.
For mine, buy the gun centres if you've already upgraded everywhere else.
He only kicked 10 goals at 5/8 last half of season so 12 game average drops from 36 to 34 when removed
Milchcow- Moderator
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Cake Tiger wrote:Anyone bringing in Mannering this week?
Really want him to go back to lock before I'd consider him a final 17 keeper
Loomer- Fanatic
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TheWeapon wrote:
I was a bit surprised Katoa wasn't named this week. Surely he's better than Feki, and is back to 100% by now?
Katoa not setting reserves alight. Not sure why people assuming he's definitely coming back
Claytron- Posts : 18
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Claytron team this week.
Cook
Arrow fifita
Harris rfm murray
Dce mbye
Aitken mitchell
Ted ponga thompson
Rein lane kikau jfh
Jmk isakko gos cogger
Traded kenner for mitchell and rochow for lane...see how we go.
Cook
Arrow fifita
Harris rfm murray
Dce mbye
Aitken mitchell
Ted ponga thompson
Rein lane kikau jfh
Jmk isakko gos cogger
Traded kenner for mitchell and rochow for lane...see how we go.
Rapture_NRL- Posts : 3293
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Cap'n Ranta wrote:Thanks @Rapture_NRL, @StormTrooper96 and @SI. Makes a lot more sense now.
I guess its one of those guys where the guy looks the goods and is a CTR. Probably one of those spots where we don't ask a lot from.
So the deal is kinda cut price keeper esque - $457k for decent to good scores and the bonus that he's actualy a decent/good upcoming player IRL.
I can get behind that logic but I probably need to watch more sharkies games and even then I'm not certain I'd buy in. Just a gut feeling that the trade is a week or two late (if he was a bit cheaper I'd be more tempted).
Exactly. Low expectations, pleasant surprise!! haha I feel like comparatively, he might be the Murray/JFH of centre where he's slightly undervalued, safe, but wouldn't really be worth it once he reaches full value. I have to miss him this week (for Tolo) so I'm hoping for a 30 from him to grab him next week
@Claytron Solid enough team with decent cash generation. Here's hoping Lane keeps those minutes up!
StuDogg101- Posts : 4359
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Anyone considering cashing out Isaako to Fonua? That cash will be handy in the next couple of weeks
RNGD Analytics- Posts : 72
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SI wrote:
Welcome to the forum you legend!
You will never truly know what this means to Milchy to be praised by you- he has a serious man crush on your statistical prowess.
Thanks man. I'm just a man with a spreadsheet and too much time. I've hovered round here before and Milchcow always gives great advice, as do others.
RNGD Analytics- Posts : 72
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Boozecluez wrote:
Hey Mr Analytics, just wanted to share some love back your way, for your work on some of the stats and prospectus over the years.
Big effort for anyone to invest that much time each year
The recent article on 'keepers' was great too, was 1/2 way through my own spreadsheet when i came across it today...
So literally hit the delete button after seeing it haha
It's a good read for people interested, helps put perspective on the points gain potential of bringing some players in or if they are worth of an upgrade.
Even helps just give you an understanding of bringing in say a 16 game origin player vs a 17 game non origin player.
Not counting players who may get rested after origin, but it may allow you to buy the same points output for less
So worth a read
Cheers
Thanks and no problem. I'd probably do it all if no one read it but it is nice people find some stuff useful.
Rapture_NRL- Posts : 3293
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RNGD Analytics needs a profile picture now
Suggestion
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Guest- Guest
One trade planned this week. Gosie to Cogger
Very tempted to cash out Isaako as well. Will wait and see
The Usual Suspects this week
Smith
Arrow Fifita(c)
Jurbo RFM JFH
Matterson DCE
Mitchell Cotric
Ponga Tedesco JMK
Cook Rein Kikau Thompson
Nicholls Cogger Isaako Crich10
21 trades 104k bank
Very tempted to cash out Isaako as well. Will wait and see
The Usual Suspects this week
Smith
Arrow Fifita(c)
Jurbo RFM JFH
Matterson DCE
Mitchell Cotric
Ponga Tedesco JMK
Cook Rein Kikau Thompson
Nicholls Cogger Isaako Crich10
21 trades 104k bank
RNGD Analytics- Posts : 72
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Rapture_NRL wrote:RNGD Analytics needs a profile picture now
Suggestion
Dude is way handsomer than me
danseels1985- Posts : 3592
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Gosiewski to Haas
Thompson to Norman
Cook
Fifita TPJ
Matterson Arrow RFM
DCE Norman
Mitchell Isaako
Tedesco Ponga Mbye
Smith
Murray
Kikau
JFH
Sua
JMK
Haas
Fine
Just posting my team up again as I'm worried that if I bring in Norman over Watson/Cogger I won't have any bank left and only really Sua and JMK as genuine cows left for generating cash. Or should I just go with my instinct that Norman is about to hit a purple patch and just pray for no injuries? The only player needed upgrading ASAP is Isaako and TPJ can wait a few weeks at least. Thoughts people? Please put my mind at ease
Thompson to Norman
Cook
Fifita TPJ
Matterson Arrow RFM
DCE Norman
Mitchell Isaako
Tedesco Ponga Mbye
Smith
Murray
Kikau
JFH
Sua
JMK
Haas
Fine
Just posting my team up again as I'm worried that if I bring in Norman over Watson/Cogger I won't have any bank left and only really Sua and JMK as genuine cows left for generating cash. Or should I just go with my instinct that Norman is about to hit a purple patch and just pray for no injuries? The only player needed upgrading ASAP is Isaako and TPJ can wait a few weeks at least. Thoughts people? Please put my mind at ease
TheWeapon- Posts : 935
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Capewell vs. Aubo for a stop-gap CTR cover?
Leaning towards Aubo, as you would think he goes to 2RF to cover Cordner at origin time, making him a reasonable option for a rd 13 CTR. Capewell I think is more of a risk - scoring well currently, but with Lewis and Gallen to come back, he may not even make the side in rd 13....
Leaning towards Aubo, as you would think he goes to 2RF to cover Cordner at origin time, making him a reasonable option for a rd 13 CTR. Capewell I think is more of a risk - scoring well currently, but with Lewis and Gallen to come back, he may not even make the side in rd 13....