2018 NRL.com Fantasy thread part 48

Loomer wrote:I can do 3 trades for 13 players with 334k itb with 15 trades left. CS9 and Olive in next week for 2 from Gosi Murray Watson Thompson and plenty trades left for 17 players while getting close to final 17

RFM>Fifita
Tohu>Lolo
Hiku>Doueihi

Very similar to me.

JFH -> Fifita
RFM -> Lolo
Kikau -> Olive

Also all this debate about Taupau, Matterson, Surgess, Koro, Ect. But no one talking about Taumalolo. Does everyone own him?

Graham peaking my interest. Would mean holding  off on Fifi

I don't really see the interest in Graham at all. Seems quite injury prone too.

wolfking wrote:I don't really see the interest in Graham at all. Seems quite injury prone too.

Priced at 30pts

Loomer wrote:

Priced at 30pts

Meh. I dont think I can spend two trades on mid range guys getting them in and out unless I think there is a chance they will get back to gun status eg. Gallen, Friend. Will need those trades later I think.

I need someone to make 100k over the next month since I've decided to spend big on Taupau. Just the way it is.

Random wrote:

Very similar to me.

JFH -> Fifita
RFM -> Lolo
Kikau -> Olive

Also all this debate about Taupau, Matterson, Surgess, Koro, Ect. But no one talking about Taumalolo. Does everyone own him?

Things that put me off are high BE and 3 of worst scores in 3/5 away games and next 3/4 are away

pm888 wrote:surgess also got sin binned last week so hes 41 couldve been a 48. im leaning towards him over gallen at the moment, means i need to find some money elsewhere though

His 41 could easily have been 60, given the points he lost for the bin and the points he didn’t get for 10 minutes.

Both Taupau & Taumalolo are boom/bust type players. It's not surprising they have quite a few scores below their average as this will be offset by scores way above their average. If you're buying them to be a consistent 50-60 point player every week then they will let you down. Rather you will mainly get scores 40-50 & 60+.

SI wrote:

I would say less than 1% of Cleary's ownership is still playing the game.  He generates 170k less in the transaction as well which makes it less attractive.  I would say around the same chance of backing up though (less than most guys).

I’ve always been a 1%er.

White Lightning wrote:Origin players usually back up for their clubs unless injured. These players are extremely fit & 2 games in a week is no problem. Past origin players have said they felt better playing a couple of days after origin because the pain & bruises from origin start kicking in after 3 or 4 days.

Correct. 4 days later hurts more.

White Lightning wrote:Both Taupau & Taumalolo are boom/bust type players. It's not surprising they have quite a few scores below their average as this will be offset by scores way above their average. If you're buying them to be a consistent 50-60 point player every week then they will let you down. Rather you will mainly get scores 40-50 & 60+.

I'm pumped for the Taupau / Taumalolo match up on Thursday. I'm hoping they dont take too many points off each other (TB/MT) to cancel out.

0rangejuiced wrote:Getting in Taupau at his current price scares me

Rightly so.

FYI - just pinching a poll update from Rogues. Not sure if anyone keeps an eye over there. Helps with some context of r13 numbers

Noting any stupid answers, no consideration of 'quality' plus mix of pre/post trades etc. 200+ votes

46% fielding less than 10
18% with 11
10% with 12
11% with 13
4% with 14
3% with 15
2% with 16
4% with 17

I think @mattnz was planning to have 17 this week?

Verbal Kint wrote:FYI - just pinching a poll update from Rogues. Not sure if anyone keeps an eye over there. Helps with some context of r13 numbers

Noting any stupid answers, no consideration of 'quality' plus mix of pre/post trades etc. 200+ votes

46% fielding less than 10
18% with 11
10% with 12
11% with 13
4% with 14
3% with 15
2% with 16
4% with 17

Seeing this makes me feel better after a failed bye planning attempt this year. Keeping cash cows (Rochow, Gosiewski and Thompson) and under performers (like thurston) and passing up good cash cows (Su'a and Martin) because they don't play round 13 is not recommended. Then have players you are sure won't play origin but then get selected. I'm not Robinson Crusoe however.

Krump wrote:I think @mattnz was planning to have 17 this week?

I've not seen him for a while. I would be good to get an update and to see how things go through the byes/origin. Always interesting to see how other approaches work out.

Loomer wrote:

Things that put me off are high BE and 3 of worst scores in 3/5 away games and next 3/4 are away

I think looking into home/away scoring is a little bit of a stats over read, in the past he is generally a proven 1 PPM player, and isn't too far off that this season @ 0.89. With only 1 big game under his belt this season, I'm thinking he might get on a bit of a run if the Cows can become competitive.. His BE of 70 isn't great, but I can't see him dropping more than $20k next week regardless (a score of 50). With the extra trades this week, and the fact he's playing the bye, I'm willing to get him at a marginally higher price than I can next week.

The dudes a gun any way you look at it, and is far better value for cash than Taupau IMO.

Verbal Kint wrote:FYI - just pinching a poll update from Rogues. Not sure if anyone keeps an eye over there. Helps with some context of r13 numbers

Noting any stupid answers, no consideration of 'quality' plus mix of pre/post trades etc. 200+ votes

46% fielding less than 10
18% with 11
10% with 12
11% with 13
4% with 14
3% with 15
2% with 16
4% with 17

I'm fielding

Fifita, Tlolo, Nbrown, Murray, Guerra, DCE, Matterson
MCK, Fonua, Ponga, Thomo

Plus two players that count for 1/2
Gosie and Cogger

So that's 11 +1/2 +1/2 = 12 players

Not really mentioned here, anyone considering Hodkinson as a cashout?

$262k not far above base price. Unlikely to provide good scores, but is it worth going over base price for him?

Just 9 points in his only start for Manly, but that did include a sinbin, so you'd think his base would be a bit above that, especially if he retains goal kicking