2018 NRL.com Fantasy thread part 48

Chewie wrote:

I'm fielding

Fifita, Tlolo, Nbrown, Murray, Guerra, DCE, Matterson
MCK, Fonua, Ponga, Thomo

Plus two players that count for 1/2
Gosie and Cogger

So that's 11 +1/2 +1/2 = 12 players

Haha, funny that I nearly posted about '1/2' players when someone else was counting up their numbers. Gosie is more like 1/4 though

Ranked 149 so thinking of going all in this week and trading Cook.

Thinking Cook, JFH and Lamb to Friend, MCK and TMM.

Leaves me with 791k, 13 trades and the following:
Friend
Fifita Taupau
Lolo Murray
Arey Gutherson
MCK
Ponga Thompson

TMM Katoa*

Smith Arrow TPJ Martin Mitchell Cotric Tedesco Havili Isaako

With the big bank I can then concentrate on bringing in rd17 guns ASAP and hopefully make some ground.
Trading Cook could easily backfire but can't see any other way of possibly making up ground on the teams in front of me.

Thoughts?

Krump wrote:I think @mattnz was planning to have 17 this week?

Up to a few weeks ago I was, thanks Critchton, Rochow and Cookie. Cook has been expected to plat origin for a while but those other 2 I was relying on and selected them especially for this week.

The one positive I can take out of this is at least now I can get rid of the bald shit truck and with extra trades I can do it this week. Bye bye Rochow thanks for nothing

Verbal Kint wrote:

Haha, funny that I nearly posted about '1/2' players when someone else was counting up their numbers. Gosie is more like 1/4 though

I stand corrected, I've got 11 and 3/4 players

Decided to go RFM ---> Surgess

Now have 11 for the round with 12 trades remining.

Chewie wrote:

I stand corrected, I've got 11 and 3/4 players

Or in Starwars terms, I've got 2 Wookiees, 9 Jedi, 1 Padawan, and 1 Porg

Milchcow wrote:
Not really mentioned here, anyone considering Hodkinson as a cashout?

$262k not far above base price. Unlikely to provide good scores, but is it worth going over base price for him?

Just 9 points in his only start for Manly, but that did include a sinbin, so you'd think his base would be a bit above that, especially if he retains goal kicking

In that range I'd rather Doueihi now that we don't have AE's to worry about. At worst he's a cashout, at best he makes plenty if there's another Reynolds injury.

11 players making 530 on averages but a few of those should go a fair bit higher than average this week.

Milchcow wrote:
Not really mentioned here, anyone considering Hodkinson as a cashout?

$262k not far above base price. Unlikely to provide good scores, but is it worth going over base price for him?

Just 9 points in his only start for Manly, but that did include a sinbin, so you'd think his base would be a bit above that, especially if he retains goal kicking

Answering my own question, Doueihi probably a better bet. Cheaper, and will score better this week. Possibly not a valid AE for future rounds.

edit: Krump beat me to it

Krump wrote:11 players making 530 on averages but a few of those should go a fair bit higher than average this week.

623 on averages from my 12 (Captain Kapow)

790 based on averages with 16 playing this week. Hoping to make a good jump in the standings!

Might max trade this week and bring in Doueihi as a cashout (and Reynolds insurance)

TheWeapon wrote:790 based on averages with 16 playing this week. Hoping to make a good jump in the standings!

I scored less than that last week with 16 teams to choose from

Fraser wrote:Ranked 149 so thinking of going all in this week and trading Cook.

Thinking Cook, JFH and Lamb  to  Friend, MCK and TMM.

Leaves me with 791k, 13 trades and the following:
Friend
Fifita  Taupau
Lolo  Murray
Arey  Gutherson
MCK
Ponga  Thompson

TMM Katoa*

Smith Arrow TPJ Martin Mitchell Cotric Tedesco Havili Isaako

With the big bank I can then concentrate on bringing in rd17 guns ASAP and hopefully make some ground.
Trading Cook could easily backfire but can't see any other way of possibly making up ground on the teams in front of me.

Thoughts?

I'd rather sell Arrow over Cook

TheWeapon wrote:790 based on averages with 16 playing this week. Hoping to make a good jump in the standings!

If you score that you’ll just about win the Round you’d think!

I’ve got 10 playing and would be happy to score 500 including captain Tolo

White Lightning wrote:

I'd rather sell Arrow over Cook

I'm inclined to agree, with that rib injury I'll be surprised if he backs up. If I'd known he'd play origin he would have been a sell weeks ago.

Krump wrote:
I scored less than that last week with 16 teams to choose from

So did I....over 100 less

I think I'm going to go all out. I'll probably run out of trades or money or more likely both, this year can suck a big one, but might as well give it a good shake.

Cook -> Kapow (c)
RFM -> Friend
Kennar -> Doughy
JFH (or Brown if he doesn't play) -> Fonua

Gives me 15 this week. 11 trades left and $485k. Smith and one of Harris/McInnes/SJ etc next week probably for Lane and Murray. Fonua gives me cen/wfb cover but will probably make my third wfb over the next few weeks instead of Brimson.

Averages give about 708 but Murray and Lane starting lock, Doughy at FB and TMM starting should do significantly better. Round 17 will be quite dire but it will be for everyone, there isn't as many round 17 guns anyway and bringing in the guns sooner maximizes their effectiveness. That's my theory anyway.

If you take out Arrow's injury affected score of 19 then Cook & Arrow have an identical last 3 game average of 65.7 points per game.

Liverpool_Bulldog wrote:So the only top keepers (Avg 50+) to play Rd17 are:

SJ
Harris (adjusted for injury)
McInnes
Smith

These are the only guys I'd wanna spend a trade on at that end of the season when things are getting tight trades wise.

Just makes me wanna get my final team put together and just bring those guys in before 17.

Make sense?

Bringing in anyone else just for points just seems unwise.

My brain is frazzled

I think it makes sense, but what you need to look at (IMO) is (1) can you afford that team, if so great, if not then you have to plan to make that money in the mean time, and (2) figure out how many trades you will need to get you that team vs how many you have left, and therefore how many extra trades you can use between now and then simply for adding to your bye totals. The later point is really about making sure you don't end up with 6 trades left over at the end of the season. The way Im looking at it currently is that each trade is worth ~50 points. So using the previous example you end up 300 points short of what you could have got overall if you had of used those trades in the bye rounds. Of course this has to then be balanced against the risk of using trades now and not holding for injury cover later.