by RandomSil Sat Feb 02, 2019 12:46 pm
I think I am being too hard on Tolman and Papalii.
Like my breakdown of both guys.
Tolman- Last year in the four games that he got 80 minutes he averaged 63.75 points a game. Which is amazing, the problem is there is steady regression in his stats in 2014 his PPM was 0.90ppm, 2015 - 0.83ppms, 2016 - 0.80, 2017 - 0.77, 2018 - 0.73. So last year while averaging 7 minutes less than the year before his work rate was even less.
Realistically he will be around the 0.70ppm - 0.80ppm. So then it comes down to his minutes. Surely he wont be an out and out 80 minute player with the quality of 2RFs that they have so what 60 minutes is best case scenario. I think he averages close to 48 points a game. Which isn't enough for a keeper and is borderline as a cash maker. The last time he averaged more than 50 points a game was back in 2015.
Papli'i He is averaging about 47 points which is still almost 10 points higher than what he is priced at, I just think you are paying for a mid-range guy, who can potentially turn into a higher range mid-tier guy. Unless you expect a big jump performance wise (As he has shown what he can do in 80 minutes) I am not saying the potential isn't there but he had 3 games over 60 points and 3 games below 40 points from his 10 games were he played 80 minutes.
Like he isn't a bad pick or stepping stone I just like guys like Whitehead and Murray more than him because they could be keepers. But knowing my luck Papali'i will string together 3 games with a 60+ average and make me upset I am missing out.