HomeCamo123 wrote:Talking about weird ownership percentages after watching NRL Fantasy Podcast on nrl.com
Haas highest owned in the game (should obviously change)
Jack Bird second highest owned
Did they forget Lomax ?
NRL Fantasy 2019 thread part 6
my tv broke- Fanatics Immortal
- Posts : 28416
Reputation : 21075
Join date : 2016-01-08
Did they forget Lomax ?
Camo123- Fanatic
- Posts : 13186
Reputation : 9530
Join date : 2019-01-30
Yeah I forgot, I was looking on the site and it doesn't account for those already in your team
Though Lomax is the only one that overtakes them (with D Brown just behind on 34%)
Though Lomax is the only one that overtakes them (with D Brown just behind on 34%)
my tv broke- Fanatics Immortal
- Posts : 28416
Reputation : 21075
Join date : 2016-01-08
Fairly pointless, but this is the current total count of player selections in fantasy, sorted by team:
Obviously Broncos are getting alot of interest in the forwards (and Jack Bird), but in general, it doesn't look too far off a fairly common top 8 prediction for 2019.
Obviously Broncos are getting alot of interest in the forwards (and Jack Bird), but in general, it doesn't look too far off a fairly common top 8 prediction for 2019.
Guest- Guest
my tv broke wrote:Fairly pointless, but this is the current total count of player selections in fantasy, sorted by team:
Obviously Broncos are getting alot of interest in the forwards (and Jack Bird), but in general, it doesn't look too far off a fairly common top 8 prediction for 2019.
Confirms what I was asking about earlier in the fact I kept ending up with so many Broncos in my team. I’m clearly NOT the only one lol. There’s so much potential value however it can all come undone by TLT. Haas already has.
Krump- Posts : 8454
Reputation : 4770
Join date : 2015-07-31
Location : Your mums room
It looks like the teams at the top have a bit more certainty with what we’ll see tlt. I wonder if it will even out when those teams at the bottom reveal who their cows will be?
Milchcow- Moderator
- Posts : 25395
Reputation : 17817
Join date : 2015-07-31
No Worries wrote:Drinkwater
Milchy dropped the mic on him earlier
B Moz
link between team success and his fantasy scores
Year win % Fantasy average
2014 39 26
2015 62 42
2016 55 36
2017 44 29
2018 35 26
Rooster's win % last year was 68% - so expecting them to win the same amount of games he should average 42 - 45
In 2015, Brett Morris played fullback - that probably had more to do with his increase in scores than win percentage
Milchcow- Moderator
- Posts : 25395
Reputation : 17817
Join date : 2015-07-31
Chewie wrote:Thanks lads for that feedback. +1 all round. It looks like Lomax has the biggest upside as a cow. The others are a bit of wait and see.
I think Edwards and Watson will probably be more consistent in their output.
I've gone a bit cold on Drinkwater after Milchy's sobering feedback. (only 3 wfb's avg over 45)
Will Drinkwater be a WFB gun from the get go?!
It's also true that there are plenty of WFBs that average 40-44.
I don't think its unreasonable to expect Drinkwater to fall in this range. Unless he pulls out a massive score in the first week or 2, you should be able to get him in for not much ore than his current price. Just depends how much of a risk you are willing to take.
I still haven't ruled Drinkwater out of contention for my team, just that he is not the autopick that some people think.
VSDT and Supercoach however - he can get in my team and stay there.
Guest- Guest
I'm not surprised re the Broncos player ownership is so high because they always are the most owned players on the whole. Have you ever noticed that after a Broncos game your live rank drops. There's always fantasy teams that own 2-4 Broncos.
No Worries- Moderator
- NRL FF Survivor Champion : I'm like the waterboy.
Posts : 10521
Reputation : 7274
Join date : 2015-07-31
Milchy wrote:
In 2015, Brett Morris played fullback - that probably had more to do with his increase in scores than win percentage
Why do I feel like I'm being accused of manipulating data to show a pre-determined outcome ? Next you'll make some outlandish claim like he's scores drop year on year as his age increases and he gets slower.
You just don't want people knowing the truth
BMOZ IS MILCHY'S POD COW
mattnz- Fanatic
- Posts : 19887
Reputation : 7191
Join date : 2018-03-11
Location : Your pool
White Lightning wrote:I'm not surprised re the Broncos player ownership is so high because they always are the most owned players on the whole. Have you ever noticed that after a Broncos game your live rank drops. There's always fantasy teams that own 2-4 Broncos.
And they tend to play early each round, was always playing catch up each week last season.
wolfking- Fanatics Immortal
- Posts : 34157
Reputation : 14195
Join date : 2016-04-26
Age : 40
Location : Brisbane
Hopefully Drinkwater isn't the Croft of last year.
I'm also wondering who the LAM, Saifiti or alpha prop is this year. I'm actually really tempted to start with LAM this year. I think he will rip at the Warriors.
I'm also wondering who the LAM, Saifiti or alpha prop is this year. I'm actually really tempted to start with LAM this year. I think he will rip at the Warriors.
Last edited by wolfking on Wed Feb 20, 2019 5:44 pm; edited 1 time in total
churg- Posts : 1556
Reputation : 521
Join date : 2019-02-12
Cook(C)
Fifita (VC) Tolman
Arrow Murray Stimson
Morgan Drinkwater
Capewell Holland
CNK Edwards Meany
Mahoney Egan Nikor Burr
Bird Lomax Brown Keighran
Thoughts on the team. If both Hughes and Drinkwater start round 1 for the storm ill look to downgrade cook to mclnnes/macca to fund the switch, but i also like the look of meaney. Also got 54kITB so any improvements to the bench would be nice to hear. Cheers
Fifita (VC) Tolman
Arrow Murray Stimson
Morgan Drinkwater
Capewell Holland
CNK Edwards Meany
Mahoney Egan Nikor Burr
Bird Lomax Brown Keighran
Thoughts on the team. If both Hughes and Drinkwater start round 1 for the storm ill look to downgrade cook to mclnnes/macca to fund the switch, but i also like the look of meaney. Also got 54kITB so any improvements to the bench would be nice to hear. Cheers
Mulvy- Moderator
- Posts : 22374
Reputation : 13731
Join date : 2016-01-26
Location : Mulvania
Milchy wrote:Lomax (BE 15)
Averaged 42 in ISP last year (mix of centre and wing)
Scored 29 in his only NRL start last year
Drinkwater (BE 39)
Scored 57 in in his only NRL game.
Averaged 56 in ISP last year
Edwards (BE 38)
Averaged 45 before injury last year
Averaged 48 in 2018
Watson (BE 40)
Averaged 50 in 4 games in fullback in 2017
CNK (BE 25)
Averaged 30 on the wing for the Warriors
Predicted (hoped?) to play fullback in 2019
Bmoz (BE 25)
Scofed 93 in the WCC on Monday (at centre)
Averaged 28 on the wing in 2018 and 2017
Averaged 35 on the wing in 2016
He is very boom bust - lots of sub 20 scores, with a few big ones in there
Allan (BE 14)
Averaged 32 in ISP last year
Stats. Pffff. My argument is:
Milchcow- Moderator
- Posts : 25395
Reputation : 17817
Join date : 2015-07-31
wolfking wrote:Hopefully Drinkwater isn't the Croft of last year.
I'm also wondering who the LAM, Saifiti or alpha prop is this year. I'm actually really tempted to start with LAM this year. I think he will rip at the Warriors.
As someone with Croft currently in his team, I just hope Croft isn't the Croft of this year.
I don't have LAM but am worried he will do what Vaughan did and exceed expectations with the change of club.
GreenMachine- Posts : 4549
Reputation : 2208
Join date : 2016-02-07
Age : 43
Location : Isle of Man
Iron Mike wrote:What happens to everyone's teams if:
1) Lowe leaves Cowboys and starts 2Rf for Rabbits
2) JDB is rubbed out of the game, Friz goes to lock and Leilua starts.
3) David Fifita gets the start in 2RF and plays 80
4) Both Capewell and Nikora start (I guess they are centres)
5) Lachlan Burr starts at lock
6) Tapine starts at 2RF (80 mins)
There could be a plethora of second row forward options to peer with Stimson, Murray and Arrow/Chricton
I’m already doing my best to fit in Stimson as a number 18. The above will just make that so much easierhe’s starting. Stimson is starting for everyone and I’m expecting money making but no more. Will get 30pts most matches
Guest- Guest
No Worries wrote:Drinkwater
Milchy dropped the mic on him earlier
B Moz
link between team success and his fantasy scores
Year win % Fantasy average
2014 39 26
2015 62 42
2016 55 36
2017 44 29
2018 35 26
Rooster's win % last year was 68% - so expecting them to win the same amount of games he should average 42 - 45
Now do one for correlation between age and score.
Guest- Guest
@ nrlphysio - R. James is in major doubt for round 1 after suffering a mcl injury 3 weeks ago. Could be good for Cartwright if you're game but also Arrow & Fotuaikaaaaaaaaaaaaaa
GreenMachine- Posts : 4549
Reputation : 2208
Join date : 2016-02-07
Age : 43
Location : Isle of Man
+16-21 (if starts)Chewie wrote:What is the expected ROI on these WFB? I'm just after some forums opinions
Lomax (BE 15) +5-10
Drinkwater (BE 39) +3-8
Edwards (BE 38) +2-7
Watson (BE 40)+10-15
CNK (BE 25) 0- +5
Bmoz (BE 25)+10-15
Allan (BE 14)
Guest- Guest
GreenMachine wrote:
I’m already doing my best to fit in Stimson as a number 18. The above will just make that so much easierhe’s starting. Stimson is starting for everyone and I’m expecting money making but no more. Will get 30pts most matches
I would think trying to fit in Stimson as an 18th man would compromise your starting 17. Just get your best 17 & if you don't think Stimson is worth a spot in your 17 then just pass on him. By having a 416k player in your npr's it's diluting the funds available to spend on your best 17.
GreenMachine- Posts : 4549
Reputation : 2208
Join date : 2016-02-07
Age : 43
Location : Isle of Man
White Lightning wrote:
I would think trying to fit in Stimson as an 18th man would compromise your starting 17. Just get your best 17 & if you don't think Stimson is worth a spot in your 17 then just pass on him. By having a 416k player in your npr's it's diluting the funds available to spend on your best 17.
It actually worked ok and protects me if I get it wrong. only 400k but a tough pricepoint to upgrade a rookie to (quickly), and there’s 4 x 212k I’m happy to have