by Milchcow Tue Apr 16, 2019 5:04 am
Camo123 wrote:Thoughts on Nathan Cleary. Is he a gun who's fallen in price ripe for the picking soon at 667k with BE 55 or is he someone who might be overshadowed for final 17 in terms of being a keeper
Personally think he won't make the origin side so would be a good R12 prospect. On a related note why do Panthers miss so many tackles (67 last week!!!) - was looking at Panthers players for R12 and Kikau also stands out as an option
Was talked about briefly earlier.
Someone mentioned DCE is scoring 10 points a game better than the next best half. Which is true. DCE is scoring at 65.8 and next best is Hunt/ARey/Munster at around 56.
Lats 5 years DCE has averaged 55, 49, 49 54, 52
So the question you have to ask is if the current scoring is how he will perform this year, or whether long term he will drop back to his historical average.
With Cleary he is currently averaging 45
His last 3 years average are 52, 56, 53.
So with Cleary currently $669k and dropping, and DCE $880k and rising, there are genuine questions about who is better value for the rest of the season.
Its certainly possible that DCE is going to average well the entire season, and Cleary is going to drop a bit on past highs. In which case jump on DCE as soon as you have the funds/trades available.
My personal opinion (and I get things wrong a lot) is that Cleary can improve on his current average, and DCE will drop a bit, so I'm looking at bringing in Cleary when he is cheap and betting on him picking things up.