NRL Fantasy 2019 part 73

Teddy for me at the moment.

White Lightning wrote:There's a lot of quality captains choices this week...Taumalolo, Tedesco, Mitchell, Cook, Haas, Ponga, Smith, even McInnes. I'm liking the recent trend re greater captaincy options available because if you're chasing it's gives you more of a chance to gain ground. I'm on Cook atm but Tedesco is the kind of captaincy option if he carves up the Bulldogs he'll probably outscore Cook.

This silly dungeons and dragons like analogy slipped into end of last FPL season;

SHIELDS (Protecting a lead or consolidating position)
Cook
Smith
Taumalolo
Haas
... every week

This week’s SWORDS (those chasing, attacking, differential weapons)
Tedesco
Mitchell
Murray
Ponga
RTS
Munster

BUMP (VOTING IS CLOSE)

Hi everyone, please vote for this weeks trade (or no trade)

Trade for this week? Please vote once for each poll.

Please read and understand the implications of this vote. We have only two trades left and if we decide to make the trade there are implications depending on who is traded out.

Thanks for voting.

Revraiser wrote:

Cheers pal, and by all means when I posted that joke, I paused and thought - would it annoy anyone as it's probably a well seen joke by now, and will it offend in terms of discrimination, sexuality etc etc... but I thought nah it will be all G, light hearted and harmless.

Johnny has it in for Rev.

I thought it was hilarious as well mate, a light heated joke.

Revraiser wrote:

Cheers pal, and by all means when I posted that joke, I paused and thought - would it annoy anyone as it's probably a well seen joke by now, and will it offend in terms of discrimination, sexuality etc etc... but I thought nah it will be all G, light hearted and harmless.

Johnny has it in for Rev.

I don't know about any JBG/Rev rivalry, but I thought the joke was funny and upvoted it. (yeah but I do lame Dad jokes frequently)

rhinoceroo wrote:

Yeah, if only Wests ever had a Taupau-type player.

Yeah or an Ado-Carr or Korobeite type

my tv broke wrote:Maloney signed a 3 year deal with Catalan starting next season.

Penrith #6 in everyones EMG's round 1 2020

Would it not be Luai?

White Lightning wrote:There's a lot of quality captains choices this week...Taumalolo, Tedesco, Mitchell, Cook, Haas, Ponga, Smith, even McInnes. I'm liking the recent trend re greater captaincy options available because if you're chasing it's gives you more of a chance to gain ground. I'm on Cook atm but Tedesco is the kind of captaincy option if he carves up the Bulldogs he'll probably outscore Cook.

GreenMachine wrote:
This silly dungeons and dragons like analogy slipped into end of last FPL season;

SHIELDS (Protecting a lead or consolidating position)
Cook
Smith
Taumalolo
Haas
... every week

This week’s SWORDS (those chasing, attacking, differential weapons)
Tedesco
Mitchell
Murray
Ponga
RTS
Munster

I like the D&D analogy!

My current captaincy ranking:
Haas
Cook
DCE
Taumalolo 
Smith

And this week's wildcard: Teddy

StormTrooper96 wrote:

Would it not be Luai?

I like Luai. Great energy

I think the Dragons will improve slightly from here, having Graham back now and Widdop/Hunt back this week they will surely only improve. I think Rabbitohs are slightly struggling without the Burgess bro's, they're winning but I feel the Burgess boys just add some heart and give the team this strong aura. I think Ponga is a sneaky POD captain this weekend. Will most likely go with Taumololo - no Morgan so it is all on his shoulders, up against a depleted Sharks squad and desperate for a win to keep their season alive!!

Chewie wrote:


I like the D&D analogy!

My current captaincy ranking:
Haas
Cook
DCE
Taumalolo 
Smith

And this week's wildcard: Teddy

Might have to pick a Sword this week!!!

My swords are -
Burns
Bateman
Ponga
Teddy
McInness

StormTrooper96 wrote:

Yeah or an Ado-Carr or Korobeite type

A Tedesco type player would be even more amazing for them.

wolfking wrote:

A Tedesco type player would be even more amazing for them.

Yes. They are different to many other teams. Most teams would greatly suffer from Teddy’s inclusion.

wolfking wrote:

A Tedesco type player would be even more amazing for them.

Pretty sure Papenhuyzen was under their system and Storm took him from them as well.

I think they really suffered once Blair left.

Ben Marlin wrote:I promised that I will do an in-depth post explaining why Cook is the best captaincy option, here it is. I will go through the other captaincy options later (Smith, McInnes, Haas, Taumalolo)

Cook is up against Dragons this week.
In 2019, starting hookers PPM against the dragons is 0.719
The same hooker’s seasonal PPM averages out to be 0.697
That means that starting hookers PPM increases by 3.44% when playing against the dragons.
If Cook’s PPM increased by 3.44% then it would become 0.82, giving him a score of 67 over 80. minutes

The last 5 games, starting hookers PPM has been 0.854
The same hookers seasonal PPM averages out to be 0.672
That means that in the last 5 weeks, starting hookers PPM increases by 28% when playing against the dragons.
If Cook’s PPM increased by 28% then it would become 1.02, giving him a score of 82 over 80 minutes

In the last 3 games, starting hookers PPM has been 0.957
The same hookers seasonal PPM averages out to be 0.677
That means that in the last 5 weeks, starting hookers PPM increases by 43.08% when playing against the dragons.
If Cook’s PPM increased by 43.08% then it would become 1.14, giving him a score of 91 across 80 minutes

If I weight the games so that the more recent a game the high the weight and the earlier the game the less the weight (there are too many numbers to fully explain, if you want to know how I did it than I can tell you later) hookers PPM increases by 4.33% when playing against the dragons

Here is a graph of the progression is the percentage higher (or lower) a players PPM is against the dragons compared to their seasonal PPM. If the difference is positive then their PPM against the dragons was higher than their seasonal PPM. If the difference is negative than their PPM against the dragons was lower than their season average

The equation of this graph is y = 1.3241x - 10.833
The X axis is the number of games. This week is the 18th game. If I substitute 18 into that equation it comes out as y = 23.8338 - 10.833
That means y = 13.0008
If Cook’s PPM increased by 13% then it would become 0.899, giving him a score of 72 over 80 minutes

In conclusion.
Hookers PPM increases by 3.44% against the dragons over the season
In the last 5 games there is an increase of 38%
In the last 3 games there is an increase of 43.08%
The weighted average for hookers against the dragons is 4.33%
The equation of the graph predicts that there will be an increase of 13%

In other words, the Dragons defence is shit. Thanks for that.

Clark starting prop I thought he’d get another run after his last game. Been sitting in my team at #18 for a few weeks, now offers some FRF depth. Niiiice.

my tv broke wrote:


Just seems like a waste of a season to persist with Farah and Benji imo. I've got nothing against the two of them, but they aren't taking the team anywhere.

Completely true. At the start of the season they were FIRE! Farah was in everything, Benji was creating all sorts of space and had the ball on a string but I think their age is really showing as the season goes on. They should've given Jrey a run but now at least give Madden some experience or see how Liddle handles the full 80. Teams are slowly going away from the two hookers nowadays because they find it more beneficial having a utility player with all these HIA's.

Now that I think about it, 5 day turnaround for the cows... May be feeling the fatigue a little? Tolo may have a quiet one.