NRL Fantasy 2020 Part 1 - Offseason Edition

my tv broke wrote:Foxsports are reporting that Billy Smith is having scans on a knee injury at training, they suspect he has done an ACL

Who becomes relevant?

Backs as per their site are;
Asu Kepaoa
BMoz
Tupou
Manu
Ikuvalu
Hall

You would think it would be
Tupou
Ikuvalu
Manu
Bmoz

maybe Maubbs gets a gig at Ctr for a while? Crichton gets 80?

So from the Lone scout article:

"Fotuaika averaged 40.3 points across 21 games last season but his game time increased as the year went on, playing at least 50 minutes seven times and averaging 52.5 in those matches."

Seems like BS to me unless I'm missing something. Using MTB's site it seems to me Mofo played more than 50 minutes on ten occasions for an average of 46. If he meant starting at prop, then it was eight occasions for an average of 45.8. Not quite keeper numbers unless he steps it up. Thoughts?

StormTrooper96 wrote:Trying to add a price predictor into my spreadsheet. What is the best formula to use?

For example I will have - Current Price, Predicted Score, Predicted Price

What formula should be used to calculate the predicted price by formulating the current score, the predicted score and the MN (14500). Not sure where to start.

Price change formula is

New Price = 0.75 * old price + 0.25 * Weighted average * MN

Weighted average = (5*G1 + 4*G2 + 3*G3 + 2*G4 + G5) ÷ 15

G1 = most recent game
G2 = game before that
G3 = game before that
Etc

Before a player has played 4 games, they are assumed to have scored their priced average for the missing games from the weighted average


Note that given they have changed the initial pricing it's possible they may have changed the formula for price changes too, although I assume it will work basically the same.

If true, it would be Billy Smith's 2nd ACL injury. Best of luck to his recovery

I really hope they add points for successful strips and error-causing tackles but it's probably asking too much of them

Camo123 wrote:I really hope they add points for successful strips and error-causing tackles but it's probably asking too much of them

They'll have to add points for 1 on 1 strips surely! it has become part of the game now. Obviously they'll have to add 20/40's also.

Levi has been granted leave by the Knights to go and join Manly. Manly signing expected to be announced shortly.

StormTrooper96 wrote:

Who becomes relevant?

Backs as per their site are;
Asu Kepaoa
BMoz
Tupou
Manu
Ikuvalu
Hall

You would think it would be
Tupou
Ikuvalu
Manu
Bmoz

maybe Maubbs gets a gig at Ctr for a while? Crichton gets 80?

hall is a quality international that was coming back from serious injury last season. Could play bmoz at center and hall on the wing.

Milchy wrote:

Price change formula is

New Price = 0.75 * old price  + 0.25 * Weighted average * MN

Weighted average = (5*G1 + 4*G2 + 3*G3 + 2*G4 + G5) ÷ 15

G1 = most recent game
G2 = game before that
G3 = game before that
Etc

Before a player has played 4 games, they are assumed to have scored their priced average for the missing games from the weighted average


Note that given they have changed the initial pricing it's possible they may have changed the formula for price changes too, although I assume it will work basically the same.

Can we sticky this post somewhere?

Adrian Proszenko (SMH) reporting that Shaun Lane is meeting with other clubs this week. He is still contracted to the Eels for 2020 but wants to sort his future and apparently has not heard anything from the Eels for 2021 and beyond.

I guess that means there is an off chance that the dominos fall and he moves clubs before this season starts.

KingTeddy wrote:Whats everyone's halves plan? Gun and a mid range?

Most likely Cleary and Luai/Burton or possibly play Brimson in the halves if there is a lot of WFB options

my tv broke wrote:Adrian Proszenko (SMH) reporting that Shaun Lane is meeting with other clubs this week. He is still contracted to the Eels for 2020 but wants to sort his future and apparently has not heard anything from the Eels for 2021 and beyond.

I guess that means there is an off chance that the dominos fall and he moves clubs before this season starts.

Niukore next in line?

mattnz wrote:

Niukore next in line?

Probably the most likely next in line, they also have Taka (although he is listed as a CTR on their books) and Gower

StormTrooper96 wrote:

Probably the most likely next in line, they also have Taka (although he is listed as a CTR on their books) and Gower

Moses should be going right (I assume) all day to Matterson in any event.

Any love for Nathan Brown? Should be a low 50's player priced at high 40's?

Can an admin set up a locked thread with just the teams and prices in it?

Mulvy wrote:Any love for Nathan Brown? Should be a low 50's player priced at high 40's?

Mulvy wrote:Any love for Nathan Brown? Should be a low 50's player priced at high 40's?

I still have PTSD from the end of last season

Mulvy wrote:

Moses should be going right (I assume) all day to Matterson in any event.

I am considering Matterson and Moses as two of my first picked!

Also I agree Brown is high on my watch list too

Any requests for footystatistics.com ?

I know some people have suggested things but I didn't note them at the time.

Also @Blindside, I will look into the grid stuff you mentioned