NRL Fantasy 2020 Part 5

MTBs Site - Stats, BE, Match Centre, Interchange Times, Price Predictor[/b]
http://www.footystatistics.com/

MTB's team builder
http://footystatistics.com/team_planner_2020.php


Excel links

Milchcow's excel solver
https://www.mediafire.com/file/kcuwhduwp4n227e/2020_Fantasy_Solver_v1.0.xlsm/file

Milchcow's team planner
https://www.mediafire.com/file/pj9xsl5oxf2rgwd/2020_Team_Planner_v0.1.xlsx/file

arsen's excel
http://www.mediafire.com/file/3tr3at0u11gg7mo/NRL_Fantasy_2020.xlsx/file

mattnz's excel sheet
https://www.mediafire.com/file/ez4a4ipfe11s4h5/2020_players_updated.xlsx/file

Steve Nicholls (RNGD Analytics) excel database
https://www.mediafire.com/file/mxuesns6qcmu9qc/RFS_2014-19_Data_%28v1.0%29.xlsm/file


2020 BYE PLANNER


Player Prices  

https://www.nrlfantasyfanatics.com/t1127-2020-prices

Price change formula

New Price = 0.75 * old price + 0.25 * Weighted average * MN

Weighted average = (5*G1 + 4*G2 + 3*G3 + 2*G4 + G5) ÷ 15

G1 = most recent game
G2 = game before that
G3 = game before that
Etc

Before a player has played 4 games, they are assumed to have scored their priced average for the missing games from the weighted average

Oh man, 2 seconds late to post some gifs

Thoughts on RTS as a POD? I feel like he'll come out firing, all the Warriors attack goes through him

LB is back!!

Rabbits21 wrote:
If the Storm are leading comfortably though they may pull him off with 11-12mins left in some games.

Goodnight Kiwi wrote:Quite the window you have there

Does anyone have a list of the players who’s prices have been seemingly subjectively increase? The ‘fanhub tax’ ?

Titans 9's Squad: Brimson, Don, Peachey, Pearson, Sami, Boyd, Taylor, Whitbread, Rein, Stone, Cartwright, Joliffe, Arrow, Leleisiuao, Spry, Clark, Farmer, Gordon

Cowboys 9's Squad: Bell, Clifford, Drinkwater, Dunn, Feldt, Granville, Hess, Hola, Lemuelu, Marsters, McGuire, Opacic, Robson, Russell, Tabuai-Fidow, Taulagi, Taumalolo, Wright

Bethany_B wrote:Thoughts on RTS as a POD? I feel like he'll come out firing, all the Warriors attack goes through him

Warriors will suck again, which makes his life very hard.

I also think the fact he has had to play so many home games hurts his scoring, always so wet and slippery. If he played in Sydney or QLD, more dry home games.
Every time I tune into a Warriors home game, it looks like he will be lucky to keep his feet planted.

So in short, I see very little upside, and there is plenty of value down back this year.

Bethany_B wrote:Thoughts on RTS as a POD? I feel like he'll come out firing, all the Warriors attack goes through him

He's improved on every season he's played with the Warriors, both with consistency and with averages.

Interestingly, when playing alongside CHT, his low scores were 32, 33, 33 and 35 (one coming back from injury). Including those scores, he averages 58.1 when playing with CHT. Slightly underpriced if CHT gets the gig

pingu lives in our hearts wrote:Does anyone have a list of the players who’s prices have been seemingly subjectively increase? The ‘fanhub tax’ ?

mattnz's excel sheet (see above in the first post) should give you what you need there.

lukeaye wrote:

Warriors will suck again, which makes his life very hard.

I also think the fact he has had to play so many home games hurts his scoring, always so wet and slippery. If he played in Sydney or QLD, more dry home games.
Every time I tune into a Warriors home game, it looks like he will be lucky to keep his feet planted.

So in short, I see very little upside, and there is plenty of value down back this year.

He averaged 51 regardless. Warriors sucking won't be an issue. Them sucking is probably an advantage as he's forces to create

@ Rapture - I'd rather go Ponga over RTS because he'll be gk plus the Knights play the Warriors (h) in round 1 so Ponga will go boom.

With John Bateman’s recent shoulder surgery being fit for Rd1 is a best-case scenario, but there are fears he is more likely to miss several weeks (reports of up to 5wks via @Super_Couch). Bateman himself is aiming for a Rd1 return at this stage.
https://twitter.com/nrlphysio/status/1226731889773252610?s=19

Mulvy wrote:

mattnz's excel sheet (see above in the first post) should give you what you need there.

Ok thanks

Unless I've effed something up, list of players who have received the highest fanhub tax:

Blayke Brailey 137550
Aidan Guerra 76050
Shaun Johnson 64350
Peni Terepo 57550
Joseph Tapine 54350
Jamayne Isaako 53400
Daniel Alvaro 51900
Herman Ese'ese 51300
Ryan Papenhuyzen 46100
Coen Hess 43250
Raymond Faitala-Mariner 38950
Ben Hampton 36950
Jaydn Su'A 33550
Ashley Taylor 32450
Blake Ferguson 31750
Isaah Yeo 30700
Apisai Koroisau 30450
Tino Faasuamaleaui 30300
Waqa Blake 29850
Robert Jennings 29200
Damien Cook 28850
Sione Katoa 28800
Reuben Garrick 27300
Jazz Tevaga 26650
Nick Cotric 26450

Warriors 9s Squad: Leeson Ah Mau, Rocco Berry, Jackson Frei, Blake Green, Chanel Harris-Tavita, Temple Kalepo, Adam Keighran, Edward Kosi, Sam Lisone, Ken Maumalo, Taane Milne, Agnatius Paasi, Isaiah Papalli (c), Hayze Perham, Leivaha Pulu, Selesitino Ravutaumada, Jamayne Taunoa-Brown, Paul Turner

Haven't thrown up a draft for a while so this is what I'm currently on

Cook
McGuire, Knight/Mofo/Merrin
Taumalolo, Lowe, Su'a
Moses, Mann
Best, Watkins
Papenhuyzen, Brimson, Nuff

Friend, Koroisau, Brailey, Stimson

Grant, Luai, Nuff, Nuff

Currently I have Saab, Musgrove and Kepaoa filling those spots but TLT dependent

multiple.scoregasms wrote:Haven't thrown up a draft for a while so this is what I'm currently on

Cook
McGuire, Knight/Mofo/Merrin
Taumalolo, Lowe, Su'a
Moses, Mann
Best, Watkins
Papenhuyzen, Brimson, Nuff

Friend, Koroisau, Brailey, Stimson

Grant, Luai, Nuff, Nuff

Currently I have Saab, Musgrove and Kepaoa filling those spots but TLT dependent

Nicely balanced I say. Haven't seen many Cook teams but I think he'll score just as well this year. I have four out of five of your guns. You could put Grant up to starting to fund a midrange upgrade but not sure it would really help that much tbh. I'd still prefer Lomax over either of your centres, but you know that already.

Mulvy wrote:

Nicely balanced I say. Haven't seen many Cook teams but I think he'll score just as well this year. I have four out of five of your guns. You could put Grant up to starting to fund a midrange upgrade but not sure it would really help that much tbh. I'd still prefer Lomax over either of your centres, but you know that already.

Yep the extra cash from Watkins instead of Lomax funded the upgrade to McGuire so now I only need to find one FRF

White Lightning wrote:@ Rapture - I'd rather go Ponga over RTS because he'll be gk plus the Knights play the Warriors (h) in round 1 so Ponga will go boom.

Can't really go wrong with either but RTS doesn't play origin so he'll play an extra 2 games at least