NRL Fantasy 2020 Part 7

MTBs Site - Stats, BE, Match Centre, Interchange Times, Price Predictor[/b]
http://www.footystatistics.com/

MTB's team builder
http://footystatistics.com/team_planner_2020.php


Excel links

Milchcow's excel solver
https://www.mediafire.com/file/kcuwhduwp4n227e/2020_Fantasy_Solver_v1.0.xlsm/file

Milchcow's team planner
https://www.mediafire.com/file/pj9xsl5oxf2rgwd/2020_Team_Planner_v0.1.xlsx/file

arsen's excel
http://www.mediafire.com/file/3tr3at0u11gg7mo/NRL_Fantasy_2020.xlsx/file

mattnz's excel sheet
https://www.mediafire.com/file/ez4a4ipfe11s4h5/2020_players_updated.xlsx/file

Steve Nicholls (RNGD Analytics) excel database
https://www.mediafire.com/file/mxuesns6qcmu9qc/RFS_2014-19_Data_%28v1.0%29.xlsm/file


2020 BYE PLANNER


Player Prices  

https://www.nrlfantasyfanatics.com/t1127-2020-prices

Price change formula

New Price = 0.75 * old price + 0.25 * Weighted average * MN

Weighted average = (5*G1 + 4*G2 + 3*G3 + 2*G4 + G5) ÷ 15

G1 = most recent game
G2 = game before that
G3 = game before that
Etc

Before a player has played 4 games, they are assumed to have scored their priced average for the missing games from the weighted average

So if Angus Crichton plays centre in the WCC/round 1 TLT and gets DPP as a result, who will start with him?

Cronulla Sharks have signed Royce Hunt (Ex-Raiders), Mawene Hiroti (Ex-Rabbitohs) and Siosifa Talakai (Ex-Rabbitohs) for 2020 season
https://twitter.com/WackosWhispers/status/1229613182278234112?s=19

Milchcow wrote:
So if Angus Crichton plays centre in the WCC/round 1 TLT and gets DPP as a result, who will start with him?

I don't know if I could go through the heart palpitations ever TLT seeing his name at Centre. Wanting him to play second row and seeing him at centre every week is too much. I went through that late last year with Cordner's injury.

Anyone bothering with bye planning this year? Last year I didn’t take byes into account at all when making my initial team, but I was mindful of preferring 1st bye round players on trade-ins. Then I saved some trades and max traded between byes to try and maximise both bye rounds. I believe I had 16 + 13 and the strategy worked pretty well. I will no doubt so the same again this year. I actually miss the old bye system just from a fantasy point of view, it was always a challenge to navigate that part of the year and would sort out well planned teams from the rest

Milchcow wrote:
So if Angus Crichton plays centre in the WCC/round 1 TLT and gets DPP as a result, who will start with him?

More to my earlier question I've put Aubo at CTR after this news

Didn't realise Black Widow played last 10 at 2RF. 47 avg 12 above starting price. Must have at CTR with Crichton news?

Pookus McFly wrote:Anyone bothering with bye planning this year? Last year I didn’t take byes into account at all when making my initial team, but I was mindful of preferring 1st bye round players on trade-ins. Then I saved some trades and max traded between byes to try and maximise both bye rounds. I believe I had 16 + 13 and the strategy worked pretty well. I will no doubt so the same again this year. I actually miss the old bye system just from a fantasy point of view, it was always a challenge to navigate that part of the year and would sort out well planned teams from the rest

I always try to without detriment to team. Already started spreadsheet and filled in early draft team players in rd12

I think McInnes's injury will help my team. I am going to forgo Smith and Cook so looking like a lineup ft. Koro, Brailey, Friend, Grant (pending switch). Gives me a lot more money to spend elsewhere.

LET THE OVER ANALYSING BEGIN!

1 Jack Bird
2 Herbie Farnworth
3 Kotoni Staggs
4 Jesse Arthars
5 Xavier Coates
6 Anthony Milford
7 Brodie Croft
8 Tevita Pangai Jnr
9 Jake Turpin
10 Payne Haas
11 Alex Glenn (c)
12 Ethan Bullemor
13 Patrick Carrigan
Interchange
14 Jamayne Isaako
15 Richie Kennar
16 Tesi Niu
17 Tom Dearden
18 Cory Paix
19 Thomas Flegler
20 Joe Ofahengaue
21 Rhys Kennedy
22 Jamil Hopoate

Afoa injury confirmed as ACL

my tv broke wrote:LET THE OVER ANALYSING BEGIN!

1 Jack Bird
2 Herbie Farnworth
3 Kotoni Staggs
4 Jesse Arthars
5 Xavier Coates
6 Anthony Milford
7 Brodie Croft
8 Tevita Pangai Jnr
9 Jake Turpin
10 Payne Haas
11 Alex Glenn (c)
12 Ethan Bullemor
13 Patrick Carrigan
Interchange
14 Jamayne Isaako


15 Richie Kennar
16 Tesi Niu
17 Tom Dearden
18 Cory Paix
19 Thomas Flegler
20 Joe Ofahengaue
21 Rhys Kennedy
22 Jamil Hopoate

Patrick Carrigan.... Get in my team!!!

my tv broke wrote:LET THE OVER ANALYSING BEGIN!

1 Jack Bird
2 Herbie Farnworth
3 Kotoni Staggs
4 Jesse Arthars
5 Xavier Coates
6 Anthony Milford
7 Brodie Croft
8 Tevita Pangai Jnr
9 Jake Turpin
10 Payne Haas
11 Alex Glenn (c)
12 Ethan Bullemor
13 Patrick Carrigan
Interchange
14 Jamayne Isaako
15 Richie Kennar
16 Tesi Niu
17 Tom Dearden
18 Cory Paix
19 Thomas Flegler
20 Joe Ofahengaue
21 Rhys Kennedy
22 Jamil Hopoate

Carrigan ownership about to skyrocket whether this is the way it sit TLT or not

Loomer wrote:

More to my earlier question I've put Aubo at CTR after this news

Didn't realise Black Widow played last 10 at 2RF. 47 avg 12 above starting price. Must have at CTR with Crichton news?

Depends on how permanent move looks like being.

Also if Crichton named at centre and Aubbs in second row, that may not necessarily be how they actually play during the game.

Will need a close eye during WCC. But if Crichton can play a few games at CTR, get DPP and then move to second row, that would solve 1 problem for everyone.

Pookus McFly wrote:

Carrigan ownership about to skyrocket whether this is the way it sit TLT or not

Don't worry PcFly you said it first. Honest!

my tv broke wrote:LET THE OVER ANALYSING BEGIN!

1 Jack Bird
2 Herbie Farnworth
3 Kotoni Staggs
4 Jesse Arthars
5 Xavier Coates
6 Anthony Milford
7 Brodie Croft
8 Tevita Pangai Jnr
9 Jake Turpin
10 Payne Haas
11 Alex Glenn (c)
12 Ethan Bullemor
13 Patrick Carrigan
Interchange
14 Jamayne Isaako
15 Richie Kennar
16 Tesi Niu
17 Tom Dearden
18 Cory Paix
19 Thomas Flegler
20 Joe Ofahengaue
21 Rhys Kennedy
22 Jamil Hopoate

So full strength you'd expect Lodge and Fifita would start

Assuming Lodge at starting prop, would TPJ go to 2nd row or lock?
Fifita straight swap for Bullemor?

And Ofahengaue at 20 - I assume he'd at least be in the 17 come round 1. Did he get any suspension or anything for his drink driving charge?

Milchcow wrote:

So full strength you'd expect Lodge and Fifita would start

Assuming Lodge at starting prop, would TPJ go to 2nd row or lock?
Fifita straight swap for Bullemor?

And Ofahengaue at 20 - I assume he'd at least be in the 17 come round 1. Did he get any suspension or anything for his drink driving charge?

The rumour with OFA is that the Broncos are pissed off with him and he was going to be down the pecking order. Dunno how that plays out because winning football games will become more important pretty quick.

Im really not sure whats going to happen with our lineup

Milchcow wrote:

So full strength you'd expect Lodge and Fifita would start

Assuming Lodge at starting prop, would TPJ go to 2nd row or lock?
Fifita straight swap for Bullemor?

And Ofahengaue at 20 - I assume he'd at least be in the 17 come round 1. Did he get any suspension or anything for his drink driving charge?

Fifita for impact off the bench?

Broncos are also not a club famous for making players miss competitive games for off field indescretions

castlecrag sweethearts wrote:

Don't worry PcFly you said it first. Honest!

Weird quip when it was you clambering desperately for Drinkwater cred.
Let’s not start this again. We swapped those beaded anklets for a reason, remember!

my tv broke wrote:BRONCOS TEAM LIST

Can't believe how content I am this year with waiting for TLT until I look at my team. I put together a quick draft a few weeks ago and thats it. I will probably even just start from scratch when it comes to TLT