HomeHey @Milchcow, do u use Draftstars only or is there another good similar platform, I have a memory there is two in Oz.
Last edited by Revraiser on Thu Jun 04, 2020 9:42 am; edited 1 time in total
NRL Fantasy 2020 Part 29 - Too many cows!
Revraiser- Fanatic
- Posts : 17154
Reputation : 9481
Join date : 2015-10-21
Location : Sydney
Last edited by Revraiser on Thu Jun 04, 2020 9:42 am; edited 1 time in total
Loomer- Fanatic
- Posts : 10738
Reputation : 4331
Join date : 2016-01-29
Khany wrote:Going to hold Brailey a bit longer, he is a good no 9 surrounded by underperforming halves.
Everything about his stats screams vanilla. I'm getting rid today so I can get Teddy in for tonight
The Pascoe Fiasco- Posts : 2323
Reputation : 1004
Join date : 2019-02-03
- Post n°203
Re: NRL Fantasy 2020 Part 29 - Too many cows!
by The Pascoe Fiasco Thu Jun 04, 2020 9:42 am
Okay, another day and another reverse trade. So, would going Capewell and S Crichton (thereby moving Lomax into 18) or Teddy and Paix (Centres would be Lomax and Williame -🤮 for 1 week) be the better option this week? I can do the other trades next week if needed.
ytsb- Posts : 2521
Reputation : 2440
Join date : 2020-03-04
L-Jimmy wrote:
I don’t really like the casual use of ‘variance’ (would prefer ‘shock’ or ‘variation’, but that’s me being a dick), and wholly agree with MTB that roulette is a very poor comparator.
My old mate Jase put a nice post on the intuition behind why the hot hand fallacy isn’t, but it should also cover why regression to the mean is reasonably reliable concept when given sufficient density; Milchy’s point about Butters stand because Butters expected it in a short period of time, from a short period of informing data. But given sufficient density then, probably greatly due to the hot hand thinking above, he would’ve been correct.
That's a great article and I agree with your and MTB's points. You never know when a player is going to have 8 shit scores then suddenly pump out beast scores to end on a good average, and you also never know when the player scoring amazingly is going to pump out the shit scores and finish weakly. My comment to Welshy wasn't meant to be gospel nor had the intention of coming across as wanky, just something to consider when picking up a player in fantasy is all.
wolfking- Fanatics Immortal
- Posts : 34157
Reputation : 14195
Join date : 2016-04-26
Age : 40
Location : Brisbane
Loomer wrote:
Everything about his stats screams vanilla. I'm getting rid today so I can get Teddy in for tonight
I feel this too. Had the same feeling with Knight and Williams and dumped them. Problem is I can't afford anyone else worthwhile.
ytsb- Posts : 2521
Reputation : 2440
Join date : 2020-03-04
Do we think that Murray > Cleary?
StormTrooper96- Posts : 9974
Reputation : 3353
Join date : 2018-02-26
Age : 28
Maubbs/Brailey/Walters
to
Paix/Teddy/Scrichton
27K
Thoughts?
Gives me Lomax and Scritta in CTR's and Turbo/Papy/Teddy at the back
to
Paix/Teddy/Scrichton
27K
Thoughts?
Gives me Lomax and Scritta in CTR's and Turbo/Papy/Teddy at the back
Last edited by StormTrooper96 on Thu Jun 04, 2020 9:51 am; edited 1 time in total
multiple.scoregasms- Fanatic
- Posts : 10284
Reputation : 7860
Join date : 2015-10-29
Age : 31
- Post n°208
Re: NRL Fantasy 2020 Part 29 - Too many cows!
by multiple.scoregasms Thu Jun 04, 2020 9:51 am
ytsb wrote:Do we think that Murray > Cleary?
If we had a wildcard I'd take Murray and the cash. I wouldn't burn a trade, think they will be similar scorers
Shady2K- Posts : 5867
Reputation : 3221
Join date : 2020-03-12
Thoughts on these trades
OUT: Lolo, Aubbs, Shiba, Walters
IN: Teddy, Yeo, Capewell, Crichton
Gives me this team
Koro
Haas Twal
Yeo Leilua Katoa
Moses Mann
Capewell Crichton
Tedesco Papi Drinky
Carrigan Grant Rudolf Magoulias (loop)
Hopoate Kennedy Luai Wiliame
434K itb, lets me get whoever the best cow is next week e.g. Paix and get in a gun of choice e.g. Cleary
Kind of want to get in Paix over Crichton (another ctr but should score well). But want to watch Paix first before getting him. Could be a low scoring hooker, even if 80min, along the lines of Egan
OUT: Lolo, Aubbs, Shiba, Walters
IN: Teddy, Yeo, Capewell, Crichton
Gives me this team
Koro
Haas Twal
Yeo Leilua Katoa
Moses Mann
Capewell Crichton
Tedesco Papi Drinky
Carrigan Grant Rudolf Magoulias (loop)
Hopoate Kennedy Luai Wiliame
434K itb, lets me get whoever the best cow is next week e.g. Paix and get in a gun of choice e.g. Cleary
Kind of want to get in Paix over Crichton (another ctr but should score well). But want to watch Paix first before getting him. Could be a low scoring hooker, even if 80min, along the lines of Egan
Milchcow- Moderator
- Posts : 25395
Reputation : 17817
Join date : 2015-07-31
Revraiser wrote:Hey @Milchcow, do u use Draftstars only or is there another good similar platform, I have a memory there is two in Oz.
There's moneyball, but its not running contests at the moment. I didn't like it though, the scoring was more supercoach than supercoach it was basically just pick the try scorers and I could never do well there.
AL- Posts : 1592
Reputation : 1888
Join date : 2016-01-10
StormTrooper96 wrote:Anyone ever considered the possibility that we only get 3 weeks out of Paix? Possibly Seibold opts to play Glenn at 9 upon his return? Especially with TPJ also back then who can slot into 2rf?
I don’t have any real thoughts on how long Paix might get starting at DH but IMO there is no way Glenn plays big minutes at hooker on his return. He may be used to spell Paix briefly late in the game, or even take the sting out early, but Glenn is nothing more than a stop gap / rest option. Whoever is designated hooker should play 55-65 minutes I would think, unless you have 2 genuine hookers like the cows.
Broncs have been grooming Paix as a 9 since last season and let Macca go. They must have faith.
Ponga Yeo the Mann- Posts : 2468
Reputation : 2694
Join date : 2019-03-16
Age : 33
Location : Newcastle
- Post n°212
Re: NRL Fantasy 2020 Part 29 - Too many cows!
by Ponga Yeo the Mann Thu Jun 04, 2020 10:03 am
Milchcow wrote:
I'm selling. Question is whether I want to waste trades on centres and bring Crichton in, or just play Wiliame there for now and trade Aubusson to a gun hooker/forward/teddy
I had the exact same question and have gone with Walters and aubbs + cash to paix and cook, keeping Taumalolo and stopping me wasting any more trades for now
I think I get caught up on wanting someone excellent in each position at times rather than simply making sure as many players in my team as possible are underpriced so that cash and points both flow
Williame will do for a few weeks until I move on Latrell, Hopoate, Burns etc
multiple.scoregasms- Fanatic
- Posts : 10284
Reputation : 7860
Join date : 2015-10-29
Age : 31
- Post n°213
Re: NRL Fantasy 2020 Part 29 - Too many cows!
by multiple.scoregasms Thu Jun 04, 2020 10:04 am
Would have preferred Aubbo named on the bench, makes Angus Crichton a little more risky. Think I'll still run with him, but considering both Mofo and Matterson as alternates. If I go with Mofo I would probably be able to grab Murray aswell next week
RandomSil- Moderator
- Posts : 9953
Reputation : 3222
Join date : 2015-01-12
Age : 32
Welshy wrote:multiple.scoregasms wrote:Murray at lock over Munster for me. Papy is still lurking around stealing those sweep players that used to make Munster bulk points. Broken field they both seem to be together so will have some high scores, but think Murray will give a better base + same ceiling
Cheers mate gone a different direction for POD goodness. Going
JMK - Paix
Aubbs - McInnes
I really like those trades Aubbs could be anything this year McInnes is a decent PoD and I dont rate JMK that much.
wolfking- Fanatics Immortal
- Posts : 34157
Reputation : 14195
Join date : 2016-04-26
Age : 40
Location : Brisbane
RandomSil wrote:
I really like those trades Aubbs could be anything this year McInnes is a decent PoD and I dont rate JMK that much.
Agree. JMK will be nothing more than a mid range plodder.
wolfking- Fanatics Immortal
- Posts : 34157
Reputation : 14195
Join date : 2016-04-26
Age : 40
Location : Brisbane
I think I'll just trade Brailey to Capewell. Gut feel on Brailey is nothing more than what he's producing.
mattnz- Fanatic
- Posts : 19887
Reputation : 7191
Join date : 2018-03-11
Location : Your pool
JMK is a funny one, priced mid 500s, should average 50 ish, which means he has about $200k to increase, but at the same time is one of my more likely trade outs.wolfking wrote:
Agree. JMK will be nothing more than a mid range plodder.
Aardvark- Posts : 7668
Reputation : 7922
Join date : 2018-03-01
Location : Parents basement eating Cheetos
Righto trades for this week nearly done
Williams, Aubs & Walters out
Ponga, Paix & sCrichton/JTB in
leaves me
Koro
Haas Cardigan
Matto, Lucy, Katoa
Moses Mann
Capewell, Loma
Ponga, Papy, Drink
Brailey, Grant, Hopate, JTB/Crichton
Wiliame, Rudolf, Paix, Lolo
Whats the verdict on Crichton vs JTB? I don't actually need a CTR so am leaning towards the forward but SC may be useful once Lomax peaks.
Any thoughts would be good (bench order is fine will sort out myself later)
Good on you one and all
Williams, Aubs & Walters out
Ponga, Paix & sCrichton/JTB in
leaves me
Koro
Haas Cardigan
Matto, Lucy, Katoa
Moses Mann
Capewell, Loma
Ponga, Papy, Drink
Brailey, Grant, Hopate, JTB/Crichton
Wiliame, Rudolf, Paix, Lolo
Whats the verdict on Crichton vs JTB? I don't actually need a CTR so am leaning towards the forward but SC may be useful once Lomax peaks.
Any thoughts would be good (bench order is fine will sort out myself later)
Good on you one and all
Joey Superior- Posts : 609
Reputation : 707
Join date : 2018-02-01
Location : Bottom of the ladder
I've lost a Friend 
Kinda bummed I traded him last week.
Kinda bummed I traded him last week.
Aardvark- Posts : 7668
Reputation : 7922
Join date : 2018-03-01
Location : Parents basement eating Cheetos
Loomer wrote:I know there's lots of Tigers fans on here. What's the story with Seyfarth?
Not a TIgers fan but at a glance I'd say he has a name ripe for comedic value
Similar topics
» NRL Fantasy 2020 Part 89 - Finals Fantasy 2020 End of Days
» NRL Fantasy 2020 Part 45 - Repent Your Fantasy Sins! Armageddon is upon us!
» NRL Fantasy 2020 Part 88 - Finals Fantasy brought to you by the letters M T V & B
» NRL Fantasy 2020 Part 65 - 60 Minutes, Fantasy edition
» NRL Fantasy 2020 Part 86 - Fantasy is a 15 man game
» NRL Fantasy 2020 Part 45 - Repent Your Fantasy Sins! Armageddon is upon us!
» NRL Fantasy 2020 Part 88 - Finals Fantasy brought to you by the letters M T V & B
» NRL Fantasy 2020 Part 65 - 60 Minutes, Fantasy edition
» NRL Fantasy 2020 Part 86 - Fantasy is a 15 man game