NRL Fantasy 2021 - Part 9 - ‘Twas the weekend before TLT

Mulvy wrote:

That's how I see it with Host. Also, I'm quite proud of that fact that I picked Lawrie in the now famous debate and don't want to tarnish my image picking Host now

rhinoceroo wrote:Got c.500k for final bench spot. Position doesn't massively matter.

Options:

1) Hodgson. POD. New rules, ball steal etc. Guaranteed 80 other than blow-outs, CS9-style. Will play handling lock if Starling comes on, stay hooker if Havilli. Misses tackles but KMs, TAs etc.

2) Tupounuia. Underpriced from partial bench role last year. Improving player. Next to best attacking half in comp. Rollercoaster scores.

3) Milford. Gamble on return to form discussed here already.

4) Lodge. Boring pick for more predictable scores and early price rises. Uncertainty on role from Rnd 4 on but money left in bank gives more options for trading.

Thoughts?

Rabbits21 wrote:

I went Host

mattnz wrote:
The difficulty is finding value in CTR that have the potential to become a keeper.

Revraiser wrote:@Cookie Monster u quoted my post that mentioned TBO but it was empty, now im curious as to what u meant to post ??

Mulvy wrote:

So why bother? Not everyone has to be a sub gun (midranger) POD. Centre sucks. Stop looking for a keeper, they don't exist unless they're a dpp forward. Save the money and figure it out later I say.

Mulvy wrote:

You've banged on enough times about not captaining a back, that I call, Malarkey. You heard me, Malarkey. I captained Teddy in rd 1 once, didn't end well......

The Pascoe Fiasco wrote:I just dropped Averillo to 18 as I need a half back up. I’ve got Bird at centre now. I have never been more nervous with a starting player. I’m hoping he moves to the forwards soon enough. It was a choice of Bird or Moylan and I just can’t bear to have Moylan in my 21. Which one get’s injured first?

mattnz wrote:
There arent any decent cheap options either. If I can set and forget, without spending a lot, I am ahead of everyone else.

Welshy wrote:
At least find one where his stats back up some value, and not hoping for an increase

rhinoceroo wrote:Got c.500k for final bench spot. Position doesn't massively matter.

Options:

1) Hodgson. POD. New rules, ball steal etc. Guaranteed 80 other than blow-outs, CS9-style. Will play handling lock if Starling comes on, stay hooker if Havilli. Misses tackles but KMs, TAs etc.

2) Tupounuia. Underpriced from partial bench role last year. Improving player. Next to best attacking half in comp. Rollercoaster scores.

3) Milford. Gamble on return to form discussed here already.

4) Lodge. Boring pick for more predictable scores and early price rises. Uncertainty on role from Rnd 4 on but money left in bank gives more options for trading.

Thoughts?

rhinoceroo wrote:Got c.500k for final bench spot. Position doesn't massively matter.

Options:

1) Hodgson. POD. New rules, ball steal etc. Guaranteed 80 other than blow-outs, CS9-style. Will play handling lock if Starling comes on, stay hooker if Havilli. Misses tackles but KMs, TAs etc.

2) Tupounuia. Underpriced from partial bench role last year. Improving player. Next to best attacking half in comp. Rollercoaster scores.

3) Milford. Gamble on return to form discussed here already.

4) Lodge. Boring pick for more predictable scores and early price rises. Uncertainty on role from Rnd 4 on but money left in bank gives more options for trading.

Thoughts?

mattnz wrote:
There arent any decent cheap options either. If I can set and forget, without spending a lot, I am ahead of everyone else. Keep in mind we value a trade around $150k. Makes a huge difference to get it right to start with and center is a position that you can fill without it costing tonnes to get a potential keeper.

Jumping Marlin wrote:With thanks to Milch's spreadsheet and MTBs data, here's my current pre TLT take on Hookers.

Projected scores are my estimates.  The players are listed in order of points / cash upside based on that.

The column "risk" is a my current take on certainty - eg job security, injury, new coach etc.

[And duals who have HOK listed as their second position are excluded].

Mulvy wrote:

Remember how many trades were wasted on centre last year? $150k per centre trade adds up to lots. So if you said to me, Mulvy, I'm picking Cotric because he's got good job security and a lack of injury history and I couldn't be arsed wasting all that money and trades in the wasteland centre position and I've got a good gut feeling about the guy, I'd buy it 100%.  The whole if you take a and minus b and times it by c analysis is where you lose me and dare I say everyone else. Like all your other sub gun PODs, if they all pay off, you'll be killing it. Good luck with that.

mattnz wrote:
Job security and injury history are definitely part of it, but only worthwhile if also outperforming their cost. The funny analysis last season was that Darius Boyd would have been one of the very best centers to have started with, for those reasons.