NRL Fantasy 2021 Part 42 - TLT Return of the MILF

Mr Snrub wrote:Would it be worth trading in Hampton instead of Peachey for the sake of extra cash?

Peachey can put up 60's but scores in the 40's from Hampton for nearly 200k less helps fund things like a Haas trade.  

Was thinking along these lines too. It’s too late to get Hampton as a cow but as a keeper CTR he’s value.

Just annoying for me as I was the madman talking him up at 246k... but at the time I had Roberts when he was doing nothing and getting 30s, and Niu, so there was no need.

Only risk is Dearden coming early

Milchcow wrote:
Where is all the TPJ love coming from?

He's priced at about 55 points - and that's pretty much is average as a 2nd rower. If anything you are paying a slight premium for him

I was considering him, high ceiling and plays 13. Hoping he goes on a bit of a run making 100k before trading to Harris or Lolo. I agree though he's probably close to fully priced. Don't mind it as a risk/reward play.

Have decided Haas instead though.

Mulvy wrote:

I was wondering why there was all these random downvotes in the thread, and then mystery was solved.

They weren't posts reminding everyone who won the 2016 GF by chance were they ??

Spoiler:

Mulvy wrote:Like everyone else I've been agonising over trades this week. Think I've settled on:

Pappy to Haas
Egan to Fogarty

And just need to hope Tedesco plays or I'm one short. I think I'd rather do that than make a trade I don't want to do, Brown's comments have put me off Walsh.

Love these trades.

How many if any raiders do we see playing origin ? This might be the key to weather taking a punt on chn is a good idea

robelgordo wrote:

Just annoying for me as I was the madman talking him up at 246k... but at the time I had Roberts when he was doing nothing and getting 30s, and Niu, so there was no need.

Its these sort of fantasy decisions that drive you mental.

I actually did need a CTR to get 18 players. I toyed with getting Hampton, but instead paid extra for the "safety" of Momirovski. Was generally fine with it for 2 weeks, but now its all gone tits up and i'm left playing James Roberts with Momo with that sad little red dot.

Chris nz wrote:How many if any raiders do we see playing origin ? This might be the key to weather taking a punt on chn is a good idea

Paps, Wighton prob the only 2.

Really wanted to go Papz to Haas and Kenny to Walsh/Hampton etc but remembered that I really want Koroisau as a Rd 13 underpriced gun next week (thanks to someone on here) so going to try to be patient and just go Kenny to Walsh, in case Tedesco is out, to ensure I have 17.

Our weekly analytics article looks at Turbo's hot start to the year, Haas' dominance (stats wise at least) for the Broncos & value plays: https://sporttechdaily.com/our-insights/your-edge-tommy-turbos-impact-broncos-bet-on-gamble-hopes-rely-on-haas/

Round 8 data updated for try scorers & draftstars projections. Let me know if you have any questions but basically the higher the "highest/model %" the better value play we think it is. It's the best odds available across the sites/what our model thinks the odds should be. Some great plays for first & any time try scorer markets this weekend: https://edge.sporttechdaily.com/nrl

Milchcow wrote:

Its these sort of fantasy decisions that drive you mental.

I actually did need a CTR to get 18 players. I toyed with getting Hampton, but instead paid extra for the "safety" of Momirovski. Was generally fine with it for 2 weeks, but now its all gone tits up and i'm left playing James Roberts with Momo with that sad little red dot.

NULL NULL is available this week as an 18th man
CTR/WFB
392K
Plays RD 17
Averaging 44pts from 4 games in an improving team gaining confidence each week

Interested now?

Mini shopping list for the next lil while is Haas, Macca, Koro and Moses. Will be paying for it with SOS, Momo, Turpin and Papy possibly. It’s a tough ask

I think I will hold Turpin... If he can hold cash over the next two weeks (or even make a little more), the gap between he and Api should be less than 100K (if Api maintains a 55ish avg over the next two)

robelgordo wrote:

Was thinking along these lines too. It’s too late to get Hampton as a cow but as a keeper CTR he’s value.

Just annoying for me as I was the madman talking him up at 246k... but at the time I had Roberts when he was doing nothing and getting 30s, and Niu, so there was no need.

Only risk is Dearden coming early

Don't worry, I went into serious overthinking mode last week and passed Hampton up.....for Herbie Farnsworth, which was worth a net loss of 30 points and $100k on the week.

Looks like I might need another WFB this week....I am going Hampton. If I need to trade one of them out in the near future I can just pretend that they were injured, plus now i definitely don't have to play Jimmy next week (he'll probably bag a couple)

Mulvy wrote:Like everyone else I've been agonising over trades this week. Think I've settled on:

Pappy to Haas
Egan to Fogarty

And just need to hope Tedesco plays or I'm one short. I think I'd rather do that than make a trade I don't want to do, Brown's comments have put me off Walsh.

Good trades mate.

Aardvark wrote:Fuck....didn't want to double trade but Turpin & Lenui = Haas & Hampton with 10c left over

Means if Ted doesn't play I don't have to play Roberts & can swap him for Verrills next week....mmmmm

Lock it in.

Gee this is a tough week, so many options and a lot to ponder. This is where I’m at

SOS > Haas
Momo > Moses

Keeps Papy around for one more week. And can move Turpin and Stefano to the EMG for the week

Liverpool_Bulldog wrote:Mini shopping list for the next lil while is Haas, Macca, Koro and Moses. Will be paying for it with SOS, Momo, Turpin and Papy possibly. It’s a tough ask

Look at it like this

Haas - Uber gun MID will average more than any other MID and probably as cheap as he will be all year
Macca - POD Hooker putting up gun worther scores and will sit well in your 14-17 for the year and plays R13
Koro - See above.
Moses - Top 5 half, plays R13 and probably as cheap as he will be

SOS - Not coming back, made some cash, hard sell
Momo - Gun centre, can he get back in the team?
Turpin - All but peaked, bench hooker now, sell?
Pappy - Will be top 3 scoring WFB this year, probably peaked in price, will miss a lot of upcoming games and possibly aim to get him back in after origin for 100K less

All seems like the perfect scenario to me

StormTrooper96 wrote:I think I will hold Turpin... If he can hold cash over the next two weeks (or even make a little more), the gap between he and Api should be less than 100K (if Api maintains a 55ish avg over the next two)

I'm doing the same thing. Not expecting him to go up in value, but expecting him to fall at the same/a slower rate than Api this week. Im happy to live with that.

rectangle wrote:

Paps, Wighton prob the only 2.

(Very) Outside chance of Lui too I guess.

wolfking wrote:

Lock it in.

Yeah I reckon so...Lenui has so much untapped potential and is R13 but I think he is done. I don't need the MID cover (this week ) and the move gives me 21 playable options when fit.


Actually 20 plus Jimmy