NRL Fantasy 2021 Part 57 - Lead with your chin

Anyone want to take a punt at a full-strength Broncos forward pack minutes moving forward? I figure that there's value there somewhere, but not sure where.

Doesn’t Lodge know fantasy coaches want him to play next week and then move to a Round 17 playing team after that match!

My team is very quickly becoming middie city. With current R12 trades my bench is Fog, MC9, Starling, Laurie, Schuster, Fleg, Peachy, Leniu.

ytsb wrote:My team is very quickly becoming MID city. With current R12 trades my bench is Fog, MC9, Starling, Laurie, Schuster, Fleg, Peachy, Leniu.

Lucky, I will need to trade in a MID if Crichton doesn't get off.

Woah, I didn't realise Mahoney was so cheap at 695.

Origin threat looms, but still a tempting pickup at that price point.

Ramitinmyhaaas wrote:

Was wondering this yesterday. You reckon Fog is the best option in like the 650-750k price range? Was thinking of picking him up for Grant in my h2h team

Well doing my stats research I found the interesting stat with the Fog is he doesn't have any scores in the 50 range.

Playing 70+ minutes has two scores in the 30's, one 48 and seven 60+ scores. Has a sub-par score in him but seems like the kind of guy who could nab you a H2H win.

Mulvy wrote:



Also, even though a high score will lower someone's BE, it eventually has to rise as the players' price goes up, no? ie the higher price the higher the score needed to maintain it. So high scores initially lower a BE but then have to go up. For example, Nicho Hynes scored a banner and has a BE of negative 19. Cleary scored a banner and has a BE of 62.

Or B2B banners even...

Speaking of B2B banners.

I've done some high-tech scientific projections that are based on science:



As you can see from the science, beans will score in the range of 124 to 126 points this week.


*If you put the C on Beans this week, please don't @ me - it's purely a scientific hypothesis that hasn't taken into account chin size or fixtures

All of those people sweating on Angus, surely we have nothing to worry about. 1) he plays for the Roosters and 2) he’s locked into origin! That’s how it works isn’t it?

Chewie wrote:
Fog is a great pick up, will score 60+ points most weeks with Tanah Boyd as his halves partner.

Yeah thought so mate. How long is Ash Taylor out for? Would be hoping Tanah stays there for as long as possible if I get Fog

It's looking like 15 R13 players for me and 15 trades left to get in AFB, Lolo, Harris, Haas, D.fifi, Pappy as well as miscellaneous opportunities and injuries. Not planning on having many R17 players. Provided base price cashouts appear it's looking good.

R13 fellas

HOOK: Brailey, MC9
MID: Fleg, Watson, Leniu,
EDGE: Matterson, TPJ
HALF: Fog, Moses
CENTRE: Burton, S.Crichton, Peachy
WFB: Hynes, Laurie

Final trade-out: Welch --> ~580k + 79k

EDIT: I don't want to bring in the Fleg really so will think on it. Kind of need cashouts rather than a player priced at 32 who may or may not make 150k for my team

EARLY MAIL: Melbourne star Cameron Munster (foot) OUT of Broncos-Storm on Thursday. He will miss a month of footy before Origin I at the MCG if he is fit to play. Harry Grant (hammy) at long odds for Origin. https://twitter.com/travismeyn/status/1396990699329912833?s=19

Ramitinmyhaaas wrote:

Yeah thought so mate. How long is Ash Taylor out for? Would be hoping Tanah stays there for as long as possible if I get Fog

Isn't Ash kind of half injured, half dropped for form. If the Titans can keep getting wins I don't see them changing the team too much and I think they've got a good chance against the Sharks this week.

Is Burton worth buying this week?

Edit: Just looked at the fixtures 

WT2K wrote:EARLY MAIL: Melbourne star Cameron Munster (foot) OUT of Broncos-Storm on Thursday. He will miss a month of footy before Origin I at the MCG if he is fit to play. Harry Grant (hammy) at long odds for Origin. https://twitter.com/travismeyn/status/1396990699329912833?s=19

Surely Hynes stocks rise even more. Sounds like there will be plenty of opportunities in the spine between injuries, Origin, and resting.

I wouldn't even be surprised if he ends up in a Burton-like role in the centres, because you can't leave him out even when the first choice spine is fit.

Mr Snrub wrote:

Isn't Ash kind of half injured, half dropped for form. If the Titans can keep getting wins I don't see them changing the team too much and I think they've got a good chance against the Sharks this week.  

Yeah idek what his 'injury' is. Probs abit of both

ytsb wrote:My team is very quickly becoming middie city. With current R12 trades my bench is Fog, MC9, Starling, Laurie, Schuster, Fleg, Peachy, Leniu.

I think you could comfortably promote Fog, MC9, Schuster, Peachey to keeper status, potentially Starling depending on role. Take Schuster for example averaging 51 and covers two postions. You could do worse for a final team 17th/18th/19th man.

Trades this week looking something like this depending on team lists

Stefano > Burton
Simpkin > Flegler

Will see how it pans out

easytiger wrote:

Or B2B banners even...

Speaking of B2B banners.

I've done some high-tech scientific projections that are based on science:



As you can see from the science, beans will score in the range of 124 to 126 points this week.


*If you put the C on Beans this week, please don't @ me - it's purely a scientific hypothesis that hasn't taken into account chin size or fixtures

Yeah it's hard to disagree with science.

my tv broke wrote:I don't know if mentioned but Barry Toohey seems to think Lodge will be at Newy within two weeks.

Lodge has sold his Brisbane home according to Dobbo.

Things looking good for Flegler owners

Surely the Broncos have a mid season forward signing in mind though considering Carrigan is out and if Lodge goes with no cover that’s lunacy!?

Oh and I just checked your team you’re recovering nicely as I knew you would you’ll charge soon. It was fun being ahead of you whilst it lasted 

Edit: why only 38mins for Flegler last week compared to 50mins week prior?

Mulvy wrote:

I think you could comfortably promote Fog, MC9, Schuster, Peachey to keeper status, potentially Starling depending on role. Take Schuster for example averaging 51 and covers two postions. You could do worse for a final team 17th/18th/19th man.

I think these guys will be sufficient in favour of saving trades.

If this crackdown continues we will probably see huge moves for anyone with trades in hamd in the last couple weeks of the year.