NRL Fantasy 2021 Part 57 - Lead with your chin

mattnz wrote:
No origin would really screw up trade selections

Origin won't be cancelled, they'll just move it if they need to.

wolfking wrote:Crichton to Hynes is warming on me.  I'm starting to fear that the money Hynes will make outweighs the risk.  We say 150K is worth a trade and he still could make that in 3 weeks.  Who knows about Pappy though, so many conflicting reports but that would only mean he's back later than sooner knowing the Storm.  I have Haas, Watson, IPap, Matto and Schuster so can afford Crichton to Hynes, but it's risky.

He needs to average about 52 over 3 weeks to make 150k right? Hmm that is certainly do-able. Just hard with WFBs because as we know any of them can go low any week. Eg he did have a 36 against the sharks.

It's a tricky one, I'm really not sure. I wish I knew if Brimson was playing origin and I'd just flick him for Hynes now for basically the same price

wolfking wrote:

I'm starting to lean on the side of caution too in regards to Burton.  I think if Munster isn't deemed fit which there is talk he may not be, you may be in trouble regarding Brimson next week.

Yeah definitely think Brimson plays. I started with him so it’s not like I can angry that I traded in an origin player. *looks at TPJ*

Liverpool_Bulldog wrote:

Yeah definitely think Brimson plays. I started with him so it’s not like I can angry that I traded in an origin player. *looks at TPJ*

I don't see it unless there is another injury/suspension (probs)

1 Ponga 2 Holmes 3 Gagai 4 Capewell 5 Coates 6 Munster (Hunt) 7 DCE 14 Grant

my opinion is they won't start the game with Grant who hasn't played a game in 4 weeks.

my tv broke wrote:

I don't see it unless there is another injury/suspension (probs)

1 Ponga 2 Holmes 3 Gagai 4 Capewell 5 Coates 6 Munster (Hunt) 7 DCE 14 Grant

my opinion is they won't start the game with Grant who hasn't played a game in 4 weeks.

Ponga to the halves and Brimson FB, leaving Hunt 14?

mattnz wrote:
I think with the number of players missing due to injury and suspension, trades are now worth more than $150k. Most trades this season are going to be due to these factors, not strategic trades. Really changes the equation significantly on how much your discretionary trades need to make

Great point Matt.

Maybe just go Burton instead and miss Hynes.

BCT05 wrote:

He needs to average about 52 over 3 weeks to make 150k right? Hmm that is certainly do-able. Just hard with WFBs because as we know any of them can go low any week. Eg he did have a 36 against the sharks.

It's a tricky one, I'm really not sure. I wish I knew if Brimson was playing origin and I'd just flick him for Hynes now for basically the same price

It's hard, he scores 30 tonight it looks like a waste of a trade. He scores 80 it looks like a masterstroke.

mattnz wrote:
I think with the number of players missing due to injury and suspension, trades are now worth more than $150k. Most trades this season are going to be due to these factors, not strategic trades. Really changes the equation significantly on how much your discretionary trades need to make

Agree in some regards. Also just think there is a bit more Mattnz tactic of finding diamonds in the rough + getting lucky with injury/suspension. Need more than the usual top 17 + 18th man + 3 red dots strategy

Picking up guys who might avg 5 pts less than the "top tier" may pay off if you can get a better overall 21 together and not be dropping 100pts per week for hte last 3 weeks because you're only playing with 15 players.

my tv broke wrote:

Origin won't be cancelled, they'll just move it if they need to.

Yeah I don't think there's any possibility it gets cancelled. Either they move it, or they just play it with an empty ground.

mattnz wrote:
No origin would really screw up trade selections

No origin means we would get Haas, Cleary, Tino in our teams for that round?

I know it won’t be cancelled but how good would it be haha

Anyone considered JFH? Played a few lower min games (coach has that luxury) but over the next few weeks he may see his workload increased.

Thinking Capewell --> Twal for my 2nd trade or not....

Any reasons why Twal's minutes have been all over the place this season?

And IF Capewell is going to play Origin (which I am seeing a lot think he will), should I move him on this week?

Goodnight Kiwi wrote:And IF Capewell is going to play Origin (which I am seeing a lot think he will), should I move him on this week?

Maybe Green has different ideas but Capewell was one of QLDs best last year, he's a walk up start for origin 1 imo. Even if not picked in the centres he will be in the 17, we have too many injuries/others lacking form.

my tv broke wrote:Anyone considered JFH? Played a few lower min games (coach has that luxury) but over the next few weeks he may see his workload increased.

He was my first thought when I entertained the idea of trading Crichton. Will do even more heavy lifting coming up.

my tv broke wrote:

Agree in some regards. Also just think there is a bit more Mattnz tactic of finding diamonds in the rough + getting lucky with injury/suspension. Need more than the usual top 17 + 18th man + 3 red dots strategy

Picking up guys who might avg 5 pts less than the "top tier" may pay off if you can get a better overall 21 together and not be dropping 100pts per week for hte last 3 weeks because you're only playing with 15 players.

Also I'm only getting out-and-out guns or DPPs from here on in. Can't afford to have a squad player covering only one position.

filthridden wrote:

Also I'm only getting out-and-out guns or DPPs from here on in. Can't afford to have a squad player covering only one position.

Yeah I'm playing the same game, at least I hope.

Verrills is going to come in pretty handy when he returns. Basically a cash out that will be starting hooker for the rest of the year and a decent 18th/19th man.

my tv broke wrote:

Yeah I'm playing the same game, at least I hope.

Verrills is going to come in pretty handy when he returns. Basically a cash out that will be starting hooker for the rest of the year and a decent 18th/19th man.

When's he due back? I might look at a straight swap for Watson to make upgrades elsewhere. Brailey/Verrills hooker combo seems good enough to me!

filthridden wrote:

When's he due back? I might look at a straight swap for Watson to make upgrades elsewhere. Brailey/Verrills hooker combo seems good enough to me!

Last i saw was round 14.. but i don't think there was anything concrete.

BCT05 wrote:

He needs to average about 52 over 3 weeks to make 150k right? Hmm that is certainly do-able. Just hard with WFBs because as we know any of them can go low any week. Eg he did have a 36 against the sharks.

It's a tricky one, I'm really not sure. I wish I knew if Brimson was playing origin and I'd just flick him for Hynes now for basically the same price

If you are trading out someone like Papenhuyzen for him, you also have to factor in that he has BE of around 100.
So if he scores 2 x 50’s upon his return, he loses around 100k.

my tv broke wrote:Anyone considered JFH? Played a few lower min games (coach has that luxury) but over the next few weeks he may see his workload increased.

Still deciding myself between JFH, TPJ or Thompson. Not sure which way to go

JFH may do well now but taper off towards the end of the year as minutes are reduced

TPJ may get picked for Origin which will be incredibly annoying if I get him this week. Good ceiling though for a MID and has DPP

Thompson doesn’t play 13 and has a few forwards returning this week. Could affect his play. More a long term selection that he’ll play Round 17 and be a keeper