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    NRL Fantasy 2021 Part 71 - Clearasil or Cleary hold

    wolfking
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    Post by wolfking Fri Jul 02, 2021 4:06 pm

    Khany wrote:Perhaps wishful thinking, can't seem to see any circumstances that may have Schuster pushed forward to rd 17.  They seem to be getting troops back.

    NRL physio is always pretty accurate isn't he? He wouldn't post that unless he had a reliable source.
    Dttragic2016
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    Post by Dttragic2016 Fri Jul 02, 2021 4:16 pm

    For anyone looking for a good value pick for tonight, Sivo is $2.83 anytime tryscorer tonight. Can boost it up to $3.01. By far the best value bet of the weekend!

    Really looking forward to both games tonight, will be so interesting to see how the Panthers play without Cleary and Moses fighting for an Origin spot makes it even better!
    Jumping Marlin
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    Post by Jumping Marlin Fri Jul 02, 2021 4:17 pm

    Snatchpato wrote:With my above post in mind, I don't mind getting in JJ now.. as per my team tracker I'm getting in iPap this week, Fifita and Turbo in for round 19, and also aiming to get in another good MID. Was previously thinking Murray or Haas, but now I'm thinking I should get in Jackson next round for an extra round 17 number, plus a very solid option for the run home.

    iPap this week with JJ next week leaves me with the following forward pack for the run home (once I also get Fifi in):

    Tohu Angus Jackson
    Fifita iPap

    Cover: Curran, Koloa, Schuster (maybe cutting Curran or Schuster).

    Feel free to weigh in on the plan.

    You're giving me pause for thought.. so took a bit more of a look at JJ

    Playing lock this year whereas last year was playing 2rf. This explains the lift in ppm, which could be sustainable.
    The lower minutes (most of last year at 80) would be also expected - so likely to be at max playing lock.
    Aardvark
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    Post by Aardvark Fri Jul 02, 2021 4:18 pm

    Quick question, anyone ever had a last minute change of heart on a trade or trade target and have it work out well?

    Anytime I have changed tact at the last minute it turns out shaped like a pear
    Dttragic2016
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    Post by Dttragic2016 Fri Jul 02, 2021 4:19 pm

    Snatchpato wrote:
    Last year JJ played 80 minutes all season, and then in the final 6 games played 59, 80, 72, 69 (nice), 72, 67 minutes. That seems to indicate that your concern is founded in history, however he's rarely been playing 80 this year anyway. Perhaps now they have Tolman and Thompson, he doesn't need to play 80, and so he's going to stay fresh and keep a higher PPM (0.53 in 2020, 0.75 in 2021 so far).

    I think he'll play the same minutes moving forward, and be more involved knowing he wont play for 80 every week. Think I'd prefer JJ to Marty who's minutes can be quite volatile. I wouldn't be going near AFB with a 10 foot pole. So for mine:

    1. JJ
    2. Lolo
    3. Marty
    4. AFB

    Tolman's at the Sharks btw haha, it's Hetherington, Thompson & JJ as the starting pack for the Dogs atm. Thinking about it, with their issues atm JJ is actually an interesting pick. If you have close to 15 trades and could trade in JJ and luxury trade him out later it could really pay off.
    Ramitinmyhaaas
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    Post by Ramitinmyhaaas Fri Jul 02, 2021 4:23 pm

    Dttragic2016 wrote:For anyone looking for a good value pick for tonight, Sivo is $2.83 anytime tryscorer tonight. Can boost it up to $3.01. By far the best value bet of the weekend!

    Really looking forward to both games tonight, will be so interesting to see how the Panthers play without Cleary and Moses fighting for an Origin spot makes it even better!

    Sivo is $1.83 on sportsbet
    Jele
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    Post by Jele Fri Jul 02, 2021 4:27 pm

    L-Jimmy wrote:Trade out Matto or Schuster? Not doing TU/TD - interested in thoughts.

    Mine on keeping:

    Matto: previous gun, good team, knows the tryline
    Schuster: great 18th man for way home, good player

    Could just keep both and sell Curran of course.

    i am keeping Matto. I need his points this week and it seems like Schuster might not be back next week anyway.
    Welshy
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    Post by Welshy Fri Jul 02, 2021 4:27 pm

    It’s Lolo/Tolman/JJ for my second trade
    Dttragic2016
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    Post by Dttragic2016 Fri Jul 02, 2021 4:36 pm

    Ramitinmyhaaas wrote:

    Sivo is $1.83 on sportsbet

    Yep he's less than $2 just about everywhere else. I've put it out on all our sport tech daily socials and messaged my friends too, will be awesome if it gets up! Love to see obvious value bets get up haha.
    Snatchpato
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    Post by Snatchpato Fri Jul 02, 2021 4:38 pm

    Dttragic2016 wrote:

    Tolman's at the Sharks btw haha, it's Hetherington, Thompson & JJ as the starting pack for the Dogs atm. Thinking about it, with their issues atm JJ is actually an interesting pick. If you have close to 15 trades and could trade in JJ and luxury trade him out later it could really pay off.
    Oh haha, weird brain fart there.

    Also what betting app is Sivo @ 2.83?
    multiple.scoregasms
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    Post by multiple.scoregasms Fri Jul 02, 2021 4:38 pm

    Strange to see all the AFB hate

    Will be coming in for me next week over JJ/Lolo/Taupau

    Lodge signing hurts fringe guys like Curran, Tevaga, Afoa, Evans not their best forwards Tohu and AFB
    Liverpool_Bulldog
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    Post by Liverpool_Bulldog Fri Jul 02, 2021 4:41 pm

    Lodge having a green dot and the Warriors under his name is cruel indeed
    Dttragic2016
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    Post by Dttragic2016 Fri Jul 02, 2021 4:43 pm

    Snatchpato wrote:
    Oh haha, weird brain fart there.

    Also what betting app is Sivo @ 2.83?

    Playup. Can boost to $3.01. Hate to bring up too much punting just before the games are due to begin haha but I post up our odds comparison & value plays in the draftstars thread every week. For reference, our site is edge.sporttechdaily.com/nrl
    Snatchpato
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    Post by Snatchpato Fri Jul 02, 2021 4:43 pm

    multiple.scoregasms wrote:Strange to see all the AFB hate

    Will be coming in for me next week over JJ/Lolo/Taupau

    Lodge signing hurts fringe guys like Curran, Tevaga, Afoa, Evans not their best forwards Tohu and AFB
    It hurts their place in the team, sure. But a big minute guy like Lodge can certainly hurt the minutes of guys like Tohu/AFB. 

    Not saying it will, but I'd want to see some games from them to determine minutes before committing one of my extremely precious trades to AFB or Lodge. I've made to many dud trades this year and need to learn from my mistakes. With trades to burn I don't see the harm in punting on AFB given he plays round 17 and has the potential to be a great pickup at a great price.
    Ramitinmyhaaas
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    Post by Ramitinmyhaaas Fri Jul 02, 2021 4:44 pm

    Dttragic2016 wrote:

    Yep he's less than $2 just about everywhere else. I've put it out on all our sport tech daily socials and messaged my friends too, will be awesome if it gets up! Love to see obvious value bets get up haha.

    What app is the Sivo one on mate? Want to get on soon before the odds are corrected hahahaha
    Snatchpato
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    Post by Snatchpato Fri Jul 02, 2021 4:44 pm

    Dttragic2016 wrote:

    Playup. Can boost to $3.01. Hate to bring up too much punting just before the games are due to begin haha but I post up our odds comparison & value plays in the draftstars thread every week. For reference, our site is edge.sporttechdaily.com/nrl
    Cheers mate, I've got your website on the quick-links but never realised you had the punting stuff build in, just been an article reader for a while.

    Adds even more value to the site! Nice!
    Dttragic2016
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    Post by Dttragic2016 Fri Jul 02, 2021 4:48 pm

    Snatchpato wrote:
    Cheers mate, I've got your website on the quick-links but never realised you had the punting stuff build in, just been an article reader for a while.

    Adds even more value to the site! Nice!

    Oh man, kills me to hear that haha. We started as a content site then quickly became a sport data site but I've been kinda lazy to merge them both so have just kept it as a separate site (Edge). It has first & anytime tryscorer odds comparison and historical and model odds + draftstars projections. We've got some cricket stuff but I'll brush that up next month. Happy to chat further in the Draftstars thread or PMs mate, I work on this full-time now with a couple of data guys so love chatting about it!
    Mulvy
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    Post by Mulvy Fri Jul 02, 2021 4:58 pm

    multiple.scoregasms wrote:Strange to see all the AFB hate

    Will be coming in for me next week over JJ/Lolo/Taupau

    Lodge signing hurts fringe guys like Curran, Tevaga, Afoa, Evans not their best forwards Tohu and AFB

    Haven't really noticed the hate you speak of, but he's high on my list for next week.
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    Post by Finch Fri Jul 02, 2021 4:59 pm

    Anyone picking up Townsend? Should be good for at least 50+, will do bulk kicking this week, has a longer boot than Niko (Who isn't even playing this week)


    Edit: CHT is still a while away, and there was talk of him maybe playing hooker as well


    Last edited by Finch on Fri Jul 02, 2021 4:59 pm; edited 1 time in total
    Ozymandias
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    Post by Ozymandias Fri Jul 02, 2021 4:59 pm

    Warriors five-eighth Kodi Nikorima, who has been battling an ankle injury recently, is out of the side to face the Dragons on Friday night.

      Current date/time is Sat Nov 23, 2024 12:05 pm