NRL Fantasy 2021 Part 78 - I can see Cleary now Mitch Rein has gone

multiple.scoregasms wrote:

This is absolutely click bait. "Morris has played a lot of games in a row and is down on his usual form". "He is down a bit of his standards so needs a rest, get back to training and back to working on what he needs to do".

Morris will be starting back at centre by round 22

easytiger wrote:I'm starting to lean towards selling Moses this week.

Aside from uncertainty as to whether he is back next week (2.5 weeks after injury, with a reported typical recovery time of 3-5 weeks) and it being a pain management issue - he's never particularly struck me as a high-pain threshold guy (I may be wrong/jaded on that one).

But the other thing that motivates me a little is;
Moses when the Eels win: 64.5 (based on his PPM in wins)
Moses when the Eels lose: 47

I recall it was a similar story the last couple of years as well.

Moses upcoming fixtures:
Roosters (should W)
Rabbitohs (50/50?)
Sea Eagles (possible L)
Cowboys (W - no offence Cowboys)
Storm (likely L)
Panthers (likely L)

If there's any additional risk of being rested early, or even a drop in performance due to the injury then he could be a bit of an underperformer (I just recall his ongoing ankle-related issue last year).
It's probably a bit of a luxury trade still - if he ends up averaging 40's it's not the end of the world - but there's a real temptation to turn him into DCE

mrbrownstone wrote:Been out of the loop for the last 40 odd pages, has there been any more info on Moses apart from the 3-5 weeks we got on Tuesday? Selling one of Moses or Fog (like a few it seems) - is there any consensus there? I assumed Moses as Fog due is back next week.

Also any consensus on Hetherington vs Billy Smith as a cashout? Hetherington probably better JS but Smith a higher ceiling?

Basic plan is one of those halves to one of the cashouts, Hynes to Ponga, enough cash for Lucy to Cleary.

easytiger wrote:I'm starting to lean towards selling Moses this week.

Aside from uncertainty as to whether he is back next week (2.5 weeks after injury, with a reported typical recovery time of 3-5 weeks) and it being a pain management issue - he's never particularly struck me as a high-pain threshold guy (I may be wrong/jaded on that one).

But the other thing that motivates me a little is;
Moses when the Eels win: 64.5 (based on his PPM in wins)
Moses when the Eels lose: 47

I recall it was a similar story the last couple of years as well.

Moses upcoming fixtures:
Roosters (should W)
Rabbitohs (50/50?)
Sea Eagles (possible L)
Cowboys (W - no offence Cowboys)
Storm (likely L)
Panthers (likely L)

If there's any additional risk of being rested early, or even a drop in performance due to the injury then he could be a bit of an underperformer (I just recall his ongoing ankle-related issue last year).
It's probably a bit of a luxury trade still - if he ends up averaging 40's it's not the end of the world - but there's a real temptation to turn him into DCE

Mulvy wrote:

I think it's justifiable. Uncertainty on return, uncertainty on whether it affects his performance on return, the draw as you say, not useful for looping, frees up decent cash. If I was trading one of Moses or Fogarty, I'd trade Moses. I'm holding both though.

my tv broke wrote:

I've got SJ, Moses, and Fog. If all were fit, I'd probably look to be trading SJ first given how he's looked of late. I'm sure whichever way I go with Moses, the opposite will happen. Happy to keep Fog, pretty confident he'll be back next week.

So, not sure if I'll trade this week or hold fire. It does mean that Radley and one of Hetherington/Verrills would be in my 17 (plus SJ as well).

StormTrooper96 wrote:

BA has said Moses was close to playing this week and is a high chance of playing next week (2.5 weeks after injury)

Aardvark wrote:

StormTrooper96 wrote:If I am in R2 of the eliminator does that mean I don't start until next week?

Yes, you have played every game this season and we need to make sure you are fresh heading into the finals. Have a week off

StormTrooper96 wrote:I have the option of trading Fogarty or Moses. My gut says Moses scores more than Fogarty for the rest of the regular season... anyone want to avatar bet me?

Terms: Will use the chosen avatar for the entirety of the finals.

WT Winfield wrote:

Lock it in. I'm banking on Moses missing a few weeks or re-aggravating if he comes back too soon. He's no Kurt Angle imo.

toast wrote:

Was curious about this so had a look.

Scores from last 3 games played:
2018:
r21 - 53
r22 - 44
r23 - 38

2019:
r23 - 32
r24 - 38
r25 - 6

2020:
r17 - 108
r19 - 41
r20 - 21

All 80min games. The 108 looks like an exception with the next highest being 53 then 44. No idea why his scores fall off but there is evidence of it. Has me slightly wary of bringing him in though he remains a target for now.

standard-issue wrote:

It’s you and I up first Aardvark. I’m not sure how I feel about that.

I already have 4 red dots by the way.

StormTrooper96 wrote:

Oh thank god! More than 50% of my mates are Tigers supporters. As you know they are going through a tough time at the moment. This will be a sweet, sweet victory!

sbr202 wrote:Is Murray worth the $75k premium over AFB?  

mrbrownstone wrote:Macca to Mahoney too sideways with 5 trades left?