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    NRL Fantasy 2021 Part 80 - Everyone gets a banner

    StormTrooper96
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    Post by StormTrooper96 Tue Jul 27, 2021 11:00 am

    South Sydney halfback Adam Reynolds is in doubt for Saturday's clash against the Dragons with a minor hamstring injury.

    Scan results confirmed a small muscle issue for the departing playmaker, who will be rested from training this week before a final decision is made on Friday.

    The Rabbitohs are expecting Cody Walker (knee) to be available after leaving the field in last week's win but could be without Liam Knight and Campbell Graham with the pair continuing to recover from head knocks.


    Last edited by StormTrooper96 on Tue Jul 27, 2021 11:01 am; edited 1 time in total
    Milchcow
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    Post by Milchcow Tue Jul 27, 2021 11:00 am


    Is there an update on SJ

    I'll be ditching either him or Moses (possibly for Sexton if I want to entertain the possibility of Cleary back next week)
    StormTrooper96
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    Post by StormTrooper96 Tue Jul 27, 2021 11:02 am

    With 5 trades left I am going to have a look at how I could possibly afford DCE, Cleary and Pappy/Ponga over the next 2 weeks. Would leave me with 2 trades but I will see what I can do.
    Fortitude
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    Post by Fortitude Tue Jul 27, 2021 11:02 am

    wolfking wrote:

    Same situation for me.  I'll see what team lists throw up.  Would love some more AFB news.

    I’ll be keen to see Moses or fog named.
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    Post by Liverpool_Bulldog Tue Jul 27, 2021 11:02 am

    StormTrooper96 wrote:South Sydney halfback Adam Reynolds is in doubt for Saturday's clash against the Dragons with a minor hamstring injury.

    Scan results confirmed a small muscle issue for the departing playmaker, who will be rested from training this week before a final decision is made on Friday.

    The Rabbitohs are expecting Cody Walker (knee) to be available after leaving the field in last week's win but could be without Liam Knight and Campbell Graham with the pair continuing to recover from head knocks.
    Oh for fudge sake
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    Post by Shady2K Tue Jul 27, 2021 11:03 am

    StormTrooper96 wrote:South Sydney halfback Adam Reynolds is in doubt for Saturday's clash against the Dragons with a minor hamstring injury.

    Scan results confirmed a small muscle issue for the departing playmaker, who will be rested from training this week before a final decision is made on Friday.

    The Rabbitohs are expecting Cody Walker (knee) to be available after leaving the field in last week's win but could be without Liam Knight and Campbell Graham with the pair continuing to recover from head knocks.

    Dropping like flies..
    mrbrownstone
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    Post by mrbrownstone Tue Jul 27, 2021 11:08 am

    On DCE vs Cleary, it's the uncertain timeline that hurts. If Cleary's back next week it's probably fine, but 6 weeks of DCE vs 4 of Cleary becomes more interesting.

    If DCE averages 70 over the last 6, Cleary has to average 105 over 4 to match that (for the sake of this I'll assume whichever one I have I'm captaining). If Cleary is back next week he has to average 84 to match that, which is managable. If DCE could push that to 75, Cleary would need 112.5 over 4 weeks or 90 over 5 to match it. Obviously, you wouldn't put either past him.

    The other thing is that it impacts my second trade. Turbo over Ponga is at least a 10 point upgrade at this rate.

    If Turbo and DCE maintain current averages for 6 weeks, that's 847.2 points + captaincy on one of them.

    5 weeks of Cleary + 6 of Ponga (assuming his injury adjusted 57.9 average) = 831.9. Of course, also have to factor in points for Fog (Cleary replacement) this week, which would push that option ahead, but it's any threat of setback that worries me.

    Obviously, this is the kind of math that immediately backfires when Cleary breaks his own record two weeks in a row.
    Camo123
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    Post by Camo123 Tue Jul 27, 2021 11:14 am

    mrbrownstone wrote:On DCE vs Cleary, it's the uncertain timeline that hurts. If Cleary's back next week it's probably fine, but 6 weeks of DCE vs 4 of Cleary becomes more interesting.

    If DCE averages 70 over the last 6, Cleary has to average 105 over 4 to match that (for the sake of this I'll assume whichever one I have I'm captaining). If Cleary is back next week he has to average 84 to match that, which is managable. If DCE could push that to 75, Cleary would need 112.5 over 4 weeks or 90 over 5 to match it. Obviously, you wouldn't put either past him.

    The other thing is that it impacts my second trade. Turbo over Ponga is at least a 10 point upgrade at this rate.

    If Turbo and DCE maintain current averages for 6 weeks, that's 847.2 points + captaincy on one of them.

    5 weeks of Cleary + 6 of Ponga (assuming his injury adjusted 57.9 average) = 831.9. Of course, also have to factor in points for Fog (Cleary replacement) this week, which would push that option ahead, but it's any threat of setback that worries me.

    Obviously, this is the kind of math that immediately backfires when Cleary breaks his own record two weeks in a row.

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    Mr Snrub
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    Post by Mr Snrub Tue Jul 27, 2021 11:16 am

    StormTrooper96 wrote:With 5 trades left I am going to have a look at how I could possibly afford DCE, Cleary and Pappy/Ponga over the next 2 weeks. Would leave me with 2 trades but I will see what I can do.

    I'm going to say you've got about as much chance of that happening as a Blake Lawrie runaway try.

    Paps should be easy enough if he gets back to his best because he'll have dropped a lot of cash but that could be a big if. The rest eh it'll take one suspension or injury to throw those plans out the window.
    wolfking
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    Post by wolfking Tue Jul 27, 2021 11:32 am

    Mr Snrub wrote:

    I'm going to say you've got about as much chance of that happening as a Blake Lawrie runaway try.  

    Paps should be easy enough if he gets back to his best because he'll have dropped a lot of cash but that could be a big if. The rest eh it'll take one suspension or injury to throw those plans out the window.  

    Yep. I had a pretty good looking plan for Cleary, but then both SJ and AFB went down and that was that.
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    Post by Fortitude Tue Jul 27, 2021 11:34 am

    mrbrownstone wrote:On DCE vs Cleary, it's the uncertain timeline that hurts. If Cleary's back next week it's probably fine, but 6 weeks of DCE vs 4 of Cleary becomes more interesting.

    If DCE averages 70 over the last 6, Cleary has to average 105 over 4 to match that (for the sake of this I'll assume whichever one I have I'm captaining). If Cleary is back next week he has to average 84 to match that, which is managable. If DCE could push that to 75, Cleary would need 112.5 over 4 weeks or 90 over 5 to match it. Obviously, you wouldn't put either past him.

    The other thing is that it impacts my second trade. Turbo over Ponga is at least a 10 point upgrade at this rate.

    If Turbo and DCE maintain current averages for 6 weeks, that's 847.2 points + captaincy on one of them.

    5 weeks of Cleary + 6 of Ponga (assuming his injury adjusted 57.9 average) = 831.9. Of course, also have to factor in points for Fog (Cleary replacement) this week, which would push that option ahead, but it's any threat of setback that worries me.

    Obviously, this is the kind of math that immediately backfires when Cleary breaks his own record two weeks in a row.

    This is the math I’ve been waiting for someone other than me to do for some time. Thank you
    BCT05
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    Post by BCT05 Tue Jul 27, 2021 11:34 am

    Things are a tad more straightforward when you only have 1 trade left! Haha

    Will be either SJ or Hynes out for me, probably will have to bring Doueihi in due to half dpp, as my halves are Moses, SJ and Kelly. Likely SJ to Doueihi, Hynes may have some more useful weeks in him either at fullback or half.
    wolfking
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    Post by wolfking Tue Jul 27, 2021 11:37 am

    BCT05 wrote:Things are a tad more straightforward when you only have 1 trade left! Haha

    Will be either SJ or Hynes out for me, probably will have to bring Doueihi in due to half dpp, as my halves are Moses, SJ and Kelly. Likely SJ to Doueihi, Hynes may have some more useful weeks in him either at fullback or half.

    Definitely SJ out mate.
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    Post by wolfking Tue Jul 27, 2021 11:38 am

    mrbrownstone wrote:On DCE vs Cleary, it's the uncertain timeline that hurts. If Cleary's back next week it's probably fine, but 6 weeks of DCE vs 4 of Cleary becomes more interesting.

    If DCE averages 70 over the last 6, Cleary has to average 105 over 4 to match that (for the sake of this I'll assume whichever one I have I'm captaining). If Cleary is back next week he has to average 84 to match that, which is managable. If DCE could push that to 75, Cleary would need 112.5 over 4 weeks or 90 over 5 to match it. Obviously, you wouldn't put either past him.

    The other thing is that it impacts my second trade. Turbo over Ponga is at least a 10 point upgrade at this rate.

    If Turbo and DCE maintain current averages for 6 weeks, that's 847.2 points + captaincy on one of them.

    5 weeks of Cleary + 6 of Ponga (assuming his injury adjusted 57.9 average) = 831.9. Of course, also have to factor in points for Fog (Cleary replacement) this week, which would push that option ahead, but it's any threat of setback that worries me.

    Obviously, this is the kind of math that immediately backfires when Cleary breaks his own record two weeks in a row.

    Do you take the 300K saved into consideration if it's needed for one more upgrade? Or the money saves holds a better 17th or 18th man?
    wolfking
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    Post by wolfking Tue Jul 27, 2021 11:40 am

    Bellamy staying at the Storm.
    my tv broke
    my tv broke
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    Post by my tv broke Tue Jul 27, 2021 12:04 pm

    I have SJ, Moses, and the Fog and I have no hesitation in trading out SJ this week.
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    Post by standard-issue Tue Jul 27, 2021 12:14 pm

    my tv broke wrote:I have SJ, Moses, and the Fog and I have no hesitation in trading out SJ this week.

    Not that long ago I had 6 Halves (8 with Hynes and Avo, but need them in my backs) now I could be down to 2-Cleary/SJ/Moses/AReyn/Swalker/Tyson “the gift that keeps on giving” Gamble.
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    Post by mrbrownstone Tue Jul 27, 2021 12:14 pm

    wolfking wrote:

    Do you take the 300K saved into consideration if it's needed for one more upgrade?  Or the money saves holds a better 17th or 18th man?

    If I don't get Cleary, the extra cash is spent on Turbo over Ponga and (maybe) a Macca to Cook upgrade.
    multiple.scoregasms
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    Post by multiple.scoregasms Tue Jul 27, 2021 12:15 pm

    mrbrownstone wrote:On DCE vs Cleary, it's the uncertain timeline that hurts. If Cleary's back next week it's probably fine, but 6 weeks of DCE vs 4 of Cleary becomes more interesting.

    If DCE averages 70 over the last 6, Cleary has to average 105 over 4 to match that (for the sake of this I'll assume whichever one I have I'm captaining). If Cleary is back next week he has to average 84 to match that, which is managable. If DCE could push that to 75, Cleary would need 112.5 over 4 weeks or 90 over 5 to match it. Obviously, you wouldn't put either past him.

    The other thing is that it impacts my second trade. Turbo over Ponga is at least a 10 point upgrade at this rate.

    If Turbo and DCE maintain current averages for 6 weeks, that's 847.2 points + captaincy on one of them.

    5 weeks of Cleary + 6 of Ponga (assuming his injury adjusted 57.9 average) = 831.9. Of course, also have to factor in points for Fog (Cleary replacement) this week, which would push that option ahead, but it's any threat of setback that worries me.

    Obviously, this is the kind of math that immediately backfires when Cleary breaks his own record two weeks in a row.

    You are assuming I'm coping a zero in place of Cleary. Playing someone like Verrills while waiting heavily swings it the way of Cleary
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    Post by mrbrownstone Tue Jul 27, 2021 12:20 pm

    multiple.scoregasms wrote:

    You are assuming I'm coping a zero in place of Cleary. Playing someone like Verrills while waiting heavily swings it the way of Cleary

    Yeah, realised that after I posted. It's probably more like,

    6 weeks of DCE = 420 (70 avg)

    2 weeks of Verills (30 avg) + 4 weeks of Cleary (95 avg) = 440

    Probably need DCE to average 75+ and the 300k saved to go to a big points upgrade for it to be worthwhile. 30 might be conservative for Verrills avg which pushes it further in Cleary's favour.

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