NRL Fantasy 2022 Part 2 - pareto weighted moving average

What I also see a fir bit and I used to be guilty of is people knowing what they want to do or who they want to get in but making heaps of TU/TD posts and asking for opinions on him because even though they think he is the right answer they aren't confident enough to pull the trigger.

This was probably a bit rambly but what I am trying to say is you don't need backing on here exactly. Take notes but if you think you have found a good player or are making a good move back yourself and don't get talked into a trade that you yourself don't prefer

The Dolphin Conspiracies wrote:

Not picking up on Mahoney was a bit group thinky. I cannot work out why Papalli is not more popular this year. He is top price and still a bit undervalued

Was it costly to not have Mahoney?

If you didn't start with him there was no massive advantage to bringing him in afterwards

And the community team had him, so he must have been somewhat popular (unless people were voting him in for community but ignoring him for their own teams)

Does Lucy still have a high ceiling? Doesn't play the bye though..

I had Mahoney for one week. At least it was a bye round..

I was thinking this edge forward for the Tigers Tuilagi looks the goods. Even before he scored.

FalconSloth wrote:
I think the narrative of these last few pages is if you see good upside in a player with sound enough reasoning don't try and figure out why he isn't more popular and especially don't not pick him just because he isn't more popular

I don' think wondering why they are not more popular has much to do with the narrative. I was responding to the question about who was missed because of groupthink. Mahoney is a prime example. I think people not going with a top-priced undervalued player like McInnes or Papalli over a top-priced overvalued person like Cleary is groupthink. I have solid reasoning for not picking up Cleary Round 1 but nobody will hear of it because they are thinking last year instead of this year.

Milchcow wrote:

Was it costly to not have Mahoney?

If you didn't start with him there was no massive advantage to bringing him in afterwards

And the community team had him, so he must have been somewhat popular (unless people were voting him in for community but ignoring him for their own teams)

Mahoney's price rose by 100,000 k in a few weeks to start the season last year and did not return to normal until Round 9, when he got injured. Many people missed out because of conventional non-wisdom that he would not play 80.

mattnz wrote:Ricky going out of his way to not say Savage had a good trial

I got worried when Savage said “cnk has taught me a lot about playing fullback, “I have big shoes to fill”

I’ll be so angry if we end up with another weak fb in defence.

The Dolphin Conspiracies wrote:

Mahoney's price rose by 100,000 k in a few weeks to start the season last year and did not return to normal until Round 9, when he got injured. Many people missed out because of conventional non-wisdom that he would not play 80.

Mahoney's a gun when playing 80. He was rested plenty in the second half of 2020. I didn't expect that to happen to start 2021, so I definitely considered him last year but ultimately went another way. Don't think group think had anything to do with it. The reason he put on 100k quickly was an aberrant 109 to start the season. No one predicted that, just luck of the draw. When I did my post season review, I never once lamented not getting Mahoney.

Is that Bullemor or is that Watmough?

Honey Badger wrote:Is that Bullemor or is that Watmough?

Whoever it is, they're playing very well. Looks like Lawton might be off the menu.

DCE's kicking has been crisp this evening

Lchy wrote:DCE's kicking has been crisp this evening

aaaaand I spoke that one into existence didn't I

Mulvy wrote:

Mahoney's a gun when playing 80. He was rested plenty in the second half of 2020. I didn't expect that to happen to start 2021, so I definitely considered him last year but ultimately went another way. Don't think group think had anything to do with it. The reason he put on 100k quickly was an aberrant 109 to start the season. No one predicted that, just luck of the draw. When I did my post season review, I never once lamented not getting Mahoney.

The thing everyone is forgetting Re Mahoney in 2021 is BRAD FUCKING ARTHUR. That prick explicitly said Mahoney wouldnt be playing 80 regularly as theyd look to keep him fresh. It was one of a few porkies he told in pre season

Mulvy wrote:

Mahoney's a gun when playing 80. He was rested plenty in the second half of 2020. I didn't expect that to happen to start 2021, so I definitely considered him last year but ultimately went another way. Don't think group think had anything to do with it. The reason he put on 100k quickly was an aberrant 109 to start the season. No one predicted that, just luck of the draw. When I did my post season review, I never once lamented not getting Mahoney.

In any case, McInnes and Papalli are two players that people will regret not getting early in my book. I do not think people will regret not picking Cleary in Round 1. Haas is a poor choice.

This is the Tigers center that replaced Roberts https://www.footystatistics.com/index.php?p=504006

Stats that Cini could be proud of

The Dolphin Conspiracies wrote:

In any case, McInnes and Papalli are two players that people will regret not getting early in my book. I do not think people will regret not picking Cleary in Round 1.  Haas is a poor choice.

Mcinnes in high up in my mind. Dunno how squads fit together yet but id like to have him

Might have to go Tamou over Uto the way this trial is going

Milchcow wrote:

Amone seems to be rated though. I bet he'll get a chance at some point, even if its not round 1.

A few hours/pages late, but definitely agree with this. Could see him getting a good run at centre when one of them inevitably injures themselves.

mattnz wrote:This is the Tigers center that replaced Roberts https://www.footystatistics.com/index.php?p=504006

Stats that Cini could be proud of

Poor Cini, gets 45 then -2. Nobody remembers the 45. Was playing out of position both games. Has some good reserve grades stats. I’d say he can still be a decent 1st grade player.