Daily Fantasy Talk -NFL/NRL

Who's playing and what tournies are you entering.

Ive got a few teams in tomorrow nights tournies and double ups im a little worried as i have 100% exposure to Tepai Moeroa, avg just over 22 last year and i need at least 29 tomorrow night to get value.

I'm in! tonights game tigers vs Manly.

Finished 5th in $2 biff last night and stayed there after updates for a $20 win. Lost my h2h when I stupidly had DCE over Moses.

Think I'll be loading up on cowboys players Thursday night.

Shanbon wrote:Finished 5th in $2 biff last night and stayed there after updates for a $20 win. Lost my h2h when I stupidly had DCE over Moses.

Think I'll be loading up on cowboys players Thursday night.

Nice i finished 9th i think? My name is lukeaye in the comps for reference.

What are you looking at for tonights game?

Are any of the other comps worth a look?

Krump wrote:Are any of the other comps worth a look?

You mean like other sports nba/cricket etc?

lukeaye wrote:

Nice i finished 9th i think? My name is lukeaye in the comps for reference.

What are you looking at for tonights game?

Just a couple of cheap tournies tonight, not enough consistency in these teams to play a big h2h

lukeaye wrote:

You mean like other sports nba/cricket etc?

No, the other league comps sports fantasy pro and the rest of them?

Krump wrote:
No, the other league comps sports fantasy pro and the rest of them?

Never seen them before, this is my first week on moneyball.

Here is my team for tonights game in the $3k comp

Think thats going to be a fairly common style team, lots of Cowboys backs with everyone expecting a big win.

Im going to whack 1 or 2 more $2 with a few pod's, no Thurston ect

Shanbon wrote:Think thats going to be a fairly common style team, lots of Cowboys backs with everyone expecting a big win.

Im going to whack 1 or 2 more $2 with a few pod's, no Thurston ect

i'm in the $2 comp as well with roosters backs like laterll, fergo etc and some cowboys mixed in around the other positions. Bit more Yolo.

The more entrants in the comp, the more you need a big scoring POD to win.

Taking last Monday's game for example. Tedesco and Taupau put up big scores, but tonnes of people had both of them (87% and 80% ownership respectively) . It was the people that had Naiqama (11%) as well that were in the big money.

In H2H comps or without a tonne of entrants you can afford to play it a bit safer. But going back to the Game Theory thread, the idea in the big entrant tournaments is to do more than just get a solid score - you have to beat everyone else's score too.

Milchcow wrote:
The more entrants in the comp, the more you need a big scoring POD to win.

Taking last Monday's game for example. Tedesco and Taupau put up big scores, but tonnes of people had both of them (87% and 80% ownership respectively) . It was the people that had Naiqama (11%) as well that were in the big money.

In H2H comps or without a tonne of entrants you can afford to play it a bit safer. But going back to the Game Theory thread, the idea in the big entrant tournaments is to do more than just get a solid score - you have to beat everyone else's score too.

Hear what your saying. Theoretically though, you don't need a big scoring POD. If no POD gets a big score, then you need to have the best combo of the higher % players. If a POD goes big and you have him then it helps and certainly increases your chances of winning, so long as the alternative in that position did not go even bigger still. You basically just need to have the highest combo of scores (durr).

lukeaye wrote:

Hear what your saying. Theoretically though, you don't need a big scoring POD. If no POD gets a big score, then you need to have the best combo of the higher % players. If a POD goes big and you have him then it helps and certainly increases your chances of winning, so long as the alternative in that position did not go even bigger still. You basically just need to have the highest combo of scores (durr).

Just note that if the highest combo of scores are all popular players that you might have to share your winnings.

If you play an all round contest it's unlikely you'll share an exact team with someone. But in a single game contest it's a real possibility. I've seen it a few times this year.

Here is my MNF breakdown

screenshot software

You need to get the balance right. On MNF i knew Tapau/Tedesco/JTurbo/Woods would be highly owned and not only that but provide decent scores, I didnt expect all 4 to provide the value i needed but my guess at how high % ownership would be out weighed that so i had all 4 and built around that. At hooker i went Parcell because i knew he would come on later get around 40mins(he ended up with more) at a time when the Tigers leaked points in rd1 and be low owned due to coming off the bench. It was a good game for it with both teams playing 2 hookers so no standout 80min man. He was top scoring hooker and only owned by 8%.
Lewis Brown was my POD forward, He did a heap of work in defence the previous week and i also thought the Tigers opened up to the wide 2ndrowers fairly easily, i got lucky with his try. i knew that most people would be looking at a very cheap fwd after spending big on the other 3 so i knew spending 6.5k would mean POD
I went with Moses in the halves, he looked great rd1 and at 4.4k only needed 26 points to hit value, he also had massive upside which is shown now with his 47.90  a great tournie play.
Nofo was the favourite for most tries and thats where the points are so he was an easy selection. The last selection was the difference between 1st and 5th really, i went Lyon for no other reason then i thought there would be points in this game, he kicks goals and was a fair chance of either scoring or setting one up. I just didnt expect Manly to be so bad across the backline this year.

Coming 30th in the 3.5k comp! just need justin o'neil to have a big second half and im in with a chance

No Coote for me so no chance tonight

No updates in yet is a bit shit, I want my money

Krump wrote:No updates in yet is a bit shit, I want my money

how'd you go? I finished on 313 so a bit outside the money