NRL Fantasy 2022 Part 39 - How big is yours?

easytiger wrote:

I had a close look at him.
His price is nice, and being bye-friendly is great.
His DPP isn't that handy (MID is good, HLF not so much)

Generally speaking he has a pretty solid 40-54 minute interchange role.
If you look at the last 16 (regular season) games (with the same interchange role) you get this;
53: 1 (ceiling game)
40-49: 7  
30-39: 4  
20-29: 1  
9-16: 3  

So based on that, about half his games are playable i.e. 40+
The 30's games are more specifically; 34, 32, 32, 31 i.e. low 30's far from ideal.
The other 4 games are punishing.

So he probably makes money, but you only really want him in your 18-21 (maybe as a loop).
In terms of fantasy scoring; you could almost view him as a really bad version of Nanai.
Lower lows, and lower highs (Nanai for instance has hit 62 and 57), and Nanai has had 5/8 scores as fairly playable.

When viewing him as an EMG then $426k suddenly becomes very pricey - and no one who is holding there guns is likely to be able to afford that luxury.

Add in that he could find himself in a low PPM Centre position and it's a fairly easy pass for mine.

easytiger wrote:

I had a close look at him.
His price is nice, and being bye-friendly is great.
His DPP isn't that handy (MID is good, HLF not so much)

Generally speaking he has a pretty solid 40-54 minute interchange role.
If you look at the last 16 (regular season) games (with the same interchange role) you get this;
53: 1 (ceiling game)
40-49: 7  
30-39: 4  
20-29: 1  
9-16: 3  

So based on that, about half his games are playable i.e. 40+
The 30's games are more specifically; 34, 32, 32, 31 i.e. low 30's far from ideal.
The other 4 games are punishing.

So he probably makes money, but you only really want him in your 18-21 (maybe as a loop).
In terms of fantasy scoring; you could almost view him as a really bad version of Nanai.
Lower lows, and lower highs (Nanai for instance has hit 62 and 57), and Nanai has had 5/8 scores as fairly playable.

When viewing him as an EMG then $426k suddenly becomes very pricey - and no one who is holding there guns is likely to be able to afford that luxury.

Add in that he could find himself in a low PPM Centre position and it's a fairly easy pass for mine.

GarethEllisismyDad wrote:

Great post

Jumping Marlin wrote:

Great summary!  

Monty_Burns wrote:You need to take into account his two injury affected games this season which bring his average way down is the reason he's underpriced

easytiger wrote:




Thanks  
I hate that I used a "there" instead of a "their"  
time for a coffee





The injury games are what presents the value with Dylan Walker, but they do seem to happen with him on a fairly regular basis for some reason.
I tend to be wary of disregarding "events" especially when they appear to happen regularly (e.g. tries, minor injuries, in-game role changes etc)

Bethany_B wrote:Tuipulotu worth it now that Saab is out 3-4 weeks?

He would be a really handy downgrade as I could then go Randall/Jones to Lolo/Tuipulotu

Finch wrote:

I was on Tui from the beginning. Seems a bit slow though, scores wouldn't be great if he didn't get a try

my tv broke wrote:Mann and Sexton to ..... and ..... for me this week.

Hastings would be one of them. Someone under 487k for the other

Team is cooked.

Snatchpato wrote:
Cody Walker only 478 and could be useful.
Elliot at 399 if you need forwards and are willing to punt
Tuipulotu at 312 if you need outside backs will make about 80k with a 30 in 3 rounds
Tass at 280 similar

robelgordo wrote:I'm pretty confident Elliot is a trap.

- Whitehead due back
- No minutes security
- No positional security
- No job security
- Can score badly with all three of the above anyway
- Whitehead due back

multiple.scoregasms wrote:

I was considering taking the gamble but like you said so many downsides with no a lot of upside

my tv broke wrote:

Pretty much nailed the options.

Cody is tempting but not playing round 13 is annoying.

Don't think I could pick up Elliot.. what robel said.

Will probably lean towards someone who plays round 13 I think. Dylan Walker might actually be a decent stop gap

ShadowSabre wrote:Verrills looks an interesting prospect:
- Plays RD 13
- Mins look to be rising as he gets back to fitness
- Capable of scoring 45-60 points in 60-80mins
- Priced at low 40s so looks like could be 10 points under valued at the moment
- Tackle count seems like a good base

Anyone considering taking the plunge?