NRL fantasy 2022 - Part 48 - Would the real bye planners please stand up? Please stand up?

Tommy_gun wrote:I jumped on Walsh last week and it was fairly frustrating watching him. Warriors don't give him any attacking ball in the red zone, more often than not it was Dejan Asi being used on the sweep play.

I traded Walsh in due to the upside mentioned above by Mulvy as well an his involvement in the Magic Round match vs Rabbits. Looking back at that match, much of Walsh's involvement came getting involved through dummy half runs rather than being able to work his magic off the back of a structured set or broken field play via an offload.

danseels1985 wrote:

Good shout mate,hadn’t even considered him. Put it this way,if I bring in Kiraz/Cotric that means I can bring in Burton/Tevaga/Harris for Leo where if I bring in Walsh I would need to move on someone like Schneider or Ilias which doesn’t seem to make as much sense with Schneider possibly playing round 13 and Ilias tracking okish. This is based on holding Lolo too which isnt ideal but hopefully he will just be out this week

Mulvy wrote:

"The gambler's fallacy, also known as the Monte Carlo fallacy, occurs when an individual erroneously believes that a certain random event is less likely or more likely to happen based on the outcome of a previous event or series of events".

Not really what I'm talking about here. I'm not expecting black because the last three were red. I'm expecting that a really good rugby league player, who has scored plenty of tries in the past, will eventually start scoring them again this year too, sooner or later. And if he does, 486k is a bargain.

mrbrownstone wrote:All this Walsh talk is convincing me.

Chewie wrote:My bye round team after trades this week.

Robson
Cotter, AElliott, Ming
TPJ, Tago
Sexton, Schneider
Burton, Aitken
May, Koula, Kiraz

Starling, DWalker, SCrichton, Vailea


If SCrichton plays origin I can trade him to Tohu next week

Aardvark wrote:

I'm inclined to agree...he's priced at what he's been scoring this year which, given the fact that he is quite good at Rugby League, you would expect to start to rise as the season progresses. Not sure if I'm going to buy him though

Mr Snrub wrote:Reece Walsh has less tries this year than Jarrod Wallace has in one game.  

Surely you'd have to think he's going to start scoring some tries eventually lest he suffer the embarrassment of his teammates giving him shit for scoring less than forwards.

Mulvy wrote:

Well, when you say it like that, it sounds like gambler's fallacy

Look, it happens every year, WFB drops in price due to some lean games before regressing to the mean. It's why most good fantasy players don't stack their initial teams with three gun WFB's. Because you know at least one of them will be cheaper at some point. Possibly all of them.

Aardvark wrote:


But I do think Walsh has got some more attacking stats coming...the Warriors just need to get a consistent spine in front of him for a few weeks

Revraiser wrote:Loomer spicing it up today

Liverpool_Bulldog wrote:Loomer and Matt are very similar.

Revraiser wrote:Loomer spicing it up today