2016 NRL.com Fantasy thread part 12

http://www.newcastleknights.com.au/content/knights/club/news/2016/03/07/injury_update_after_.html

Thought this was interesting. Also read an article about Brown saying no1s position is safe. With Chanel and Mamo out you would think Ross comes in. Or Pat shifts to wing and Sione doesn't play reserve grade.
I'm also of the thought better to have a stab at Garvey if Lichaa out for 2-3 months than go with Randell and risk Levi/Bhana etc

Think I'm glad I only went with J Saifiti but even then he may not play in 1-2 weeks time, and definitely not when Tariq comes back.

Loomer wrote:Asked this the other day but didn't see a response. 

Anyone have stats last year on Fifi and Graham averages when Gallen out?

http://overthelinesports.com.au/index.php/2016/02/23/case-study-andrew-fifita-nrl-supercoach/

Saw an article this time last year- same site I think - that said Fifi is the big winner. I personally never buy Fifita until Gallen gets injured he's such a hungous.

Johnny B Goode wrote:

I was more referring to casual players who will go straight to Mannering or Fensom because of their high scores. Mannering at any time is never a bad idea but still I can imagine there'll be a few like for like trades going on.

Exactly. It's madness.

I explain an analogy to amateur investors. When the local electronics shop or supermarket drops it's prices, people rush in to take advantage of this. When they raise their prices, nobody feels the need to rush in and buy anymore. So, why does the everyday investor do the opposite when it comes to investing? Fear and emotion controls their choices. They stray away from their strategy and planning and splash cash based on emotion and fear (of missing out etc etc).

Buy problems. Sell solutions. Buy near the bottom of the market. Sell at the peak of the market.

I know it's not exactly the same in this instance, but you see where I'm taking this point. Similar principles.

difO wrote:any news on taupau?

Cleared

B/L wrote:I made a team purely bases around having 17 for each origin round and im on 707 with widdop and mann to go, decent start.

Post it, I'm keen for a look. What are you going to do when your cows start peaking and need replacing?

CubanMafiaSandSlugs wrote:

Exactly. It's madness.

I explain an analogy to amateur investors. When the local electronics shop or supermarket drops it's prices, people rush in to take advantage of this. When they raise their prices, nobody feels the need to rush in and buy anymore. So, why does the everyday investor do the opposite when it comes to investing? Fear and emotion controls their choices. They stray away from their strategy and planning and splash cash based on emotion and fear (of missing out etc etc).

Buy problems. Sell solutions. Buy near the bottom of the market. Sell at the peak of the market.

I know it's not exactly the same in this instance, but you see where I'm taking this point. Similar principles.

Yes buying at the bottom and selling at the top is not only the most logical and surefire way to come out on top, It's also incredibly easy to predict.

ch7 reckons williams and wighton in the halves. waqa or rapana to play fb.

Anyone else got Lafai playing tonight?
I may have made an error.

You know, among all the other errors I made while picking my squad.

White Lightning wrote:Do you like these trades:
Henry out - Carter in
Littlejohn out - Mataora in (via Aubusson)

Thanks.

 
I was going to get Mataora in my initial team but Knights fan warned that Paea (injured) and Stockwell could take his place meaning reduced minutes

CubanMafiaSandSlugs wrote:

Exactly. It's madness.

I explain an analogy to amateur investors. When the local electronics shop or supermarket drops it's prices, people rush in to take advantage of this. When they raise their prices, nobody feels the need to rush in and buy anymore. So, why does the everyday investor do the opposite when it comes to investing? Fear and emotion controls their choices. They stray away from their strategy and planning and splash cash based on emotion and fear (of missing out etc etc).

Buy problems. Sell solutions. Buy near the bottom of the market. Sell at the peak of the market.

I know it's not exactly the same in this instance, but you see where I'm taking this point. Similar principles.

Like Warren Buffet says "When people are greedy I'm nervous, when they are nervous I'm greedy"

Finch wrote:

Jstands is notorious for wanting to trade players in/out over 1 game.

He is also known for not knowing how to check his Fantasy ranking and peaking too early then dropping off.

Random wrote:SO many new cashcow options this week with Segeyaro and Lichaa injured.


Segeyaro/Lichaa -> Out
C. Walker, T. Maire Martin, C. Garvey are all options potentially.

I knew my coffee guy has a cousin on the cusp of playing first team. Thought with Tigers. Asked him again today. It's TMM!!! Unfortunately he has no idea whether he's going to play soon or not

Updates were kind. 672 with captain cam to go

CubanMafiaSandSlugs wrote:To support my above reasoning, I've listed below some round 1 scores from 2015. Players who ended up being elite fantasy scorers in their positions by seasons end:

Parker 37
Thurston 33
Hunt 30
Merrin 39
Tedesco 34
Peats 22
Bromwich 34
W.Graham 26
Jackson 20
Dugan 27
Hodgson 23
Inglis 35
Morgan 12
Tauk 25
Austin 21

That info supports the reasoning that players may improve significantly on their round 1 scores, but it doesn't support the reasoning that fantasy players that got a high team score in round one this year will come back or behind the pack by round 3.

Edit, sorry disregard, i thought this was in relation to another quote, my bad.

Mighty Fishes wrote:Updates were kind. 672 with captain cam to go

 
I wanted to up vote and accidentally down voted and can't change

If Lichaa is out for more than a month I think I'm going to trade Lichaa for Walker via Jniko and then Musgrave for either Leulia or JFH. Musgrave looked really good and got great minutes over Grevs.

Mullayo wrote:

http://overthelinesports.com.au/index.php/2016/02/23/case-study-andrew-fifita-nrl-supercoach/

Saw an article this time last year- same site I think - that said Fifi is the big winner. I personally never buy Fifita until Gallen gets injured he's such a hungous.

Wouldn't that just be their stats ??

Mullayo wrote:

How many points do you have? Rochow and Carter should be reserves. Trade Radradra and Gallen for backs (bring Benry into 2nds) that score.

974 - None to play!!

Gonna stay solid with Semi, he is a performer, might lose some cash on him but its a saved trade and he will get points. Made the mistake of trading him out early last year. Gallen will go for sure which will give me all the cash i need to make some appropriate trades that will earn some decent coin in a few weeks.

Your Name wrote:

Wouldn't that just be their stats ??

Still semi-relative

Pauli Pauli to miss one week due to dangerous contact