NRL Fantasy 2023 Part 16 - Does anyone have a case of Fig Jam? Looking to buy

multiple.scoregasms wrote:

Nah I think he gets a bit of a rest this week. Still probably good for 65 minutes 50+ points

Chewie wrote:

I like MS's fullback tier list:

Tier 1
Teddy, Turbo, Papy, Latrell, Ponga

Tier 2
Edwards, Brimson, Gutho, Walsh

Tier 3
Drinkwater, Kennedy

Tier 4
Laurie, CNK, Savage

Tier 5
Hammer, Miller, Ramsay, Sloan, Perham

I think Walsh could be a good WFB3, other options outside the FBs are Kiraz and Garick
If you don't have any other fires to tend to, I think Walsh is a good shout

Chewie wrote:

I'm going with Hopgood as my captaincy pick, he may get less minutes, but he's also due a Try


...first banner of 2023 incoming

easytiger wrote:Just some curious stats I was wondering about with regards to a selection of topical fullbacks - I was curious as to their fantasy averages when they score tries vs when they don't;

The sample is generally the number of games they have played in the 2022-2023 seasons, with the following additions.
* HTF: I included three 2021 games as they seemed to be appropriate, boosts his sample size (and not doped by Vlandy's ball)
* Turbo: I included six 2020 games, again to improve a representative sample (and also seemed appropriate to his 2022-2023 stats).

	Sample	Try Rate	NoTry Ave	Try Ave	Try vs NoTry diff	Cost	Priced @	Proj Try rate	Projection
Tedesco	25	40%	43.8	66.5	22.7	$        707	50.5	40%	52.9
Miller	6	33%	37.0	63.0	26.0	$        451	32.2	35%	46.1
Turbo	14	43%	32.4	53.2	20.8	$        631	45.1	50%	42.8
HTF	10	50%	28.6	50.0	21.4	$        452	32.3	50%	39.3
Walsh	22	11%	32.9	42.8	9.9	$        545	38.9	50%	37.9

With Walsh I have removed his GK from his averages (-4.2 pts per game, and dropped his average kick metres points down from 3 to 2), I have boosted his try scoring rate from 11% to a high-rate of 50%.

I'm using Tedesco as a sort of benchmark.
Obviously take the projections with a grain of salt.

The things it maybe illustrates for me;
HTF is still undervalued, but possibly by only 5 points - his real value is that he's a decent floor average with a good ceiling available at CTR (pretty much what we knew).

Walsh needs significant improvement in Fantasy stats to offer value. It's possible, but always an increased risk when you're aiming for that to be the reason for improved scoring (rather than a change of role or minutes).

Millers sample is too small to take too much away, except his style of play (slapsies) suits fantasy points - if he can add a decent try rate... who knows...?

Anyway, a somewhat interesting curiousity more than anything...

Additional note: I removed any significantly injury affected outliers from the samples... (i.e. no 10 minute games that drop averages etc)

MF wrote:

Jordan Riki

Chewie wrote:

I like MS's fullback tier list:

Tier 1
Teddy, Turbo, Papy, Latrell, Ponga

Tier 2
Edwards, Brimson, Gutho, Walsh

Tier 3
Drinkwater, Kennedy

Tier 4
Laurie, CNK, Savage

Tier 5
Hammer, Miller, Ramsay, Sloan, Perham

I think Walsh could be a good WFB3, other options outside the FBs are Kiraz and Garick
If you don't have any other fires to tend to, I think Walsh is a good shout

my tv broke wrote:

Probably same as last week tho, around 70 mins with a break during second half

Chewie wrote:

that's a bold captaincy pick

Just a gut feel?

StormTrooper96 wrote:Preston looks like a real goer! Anything stopping him lock down a spot?

my tv broke wrote:

Not really, not if his form from last week keeps up. Had a good game. Looks playable, high energy/involvement type player, solid base around 40 to 45 probably.

As with any young forward they might struggle to maintain it week to week and get a rest mid season, but not worth worrying about at the moment.

BCT05 wrote:Very close between Hopgood and Haas for me, bit of a coin flip. Leaning Hopgood

StormTrooper96 wrote:I have this inkling that Cheese goes over this weekend, so going to trade Boyd instead. My cheapies all seem to be making money so will keep them also and I agree E.Butcher looks a bit out of place and my other second rowers seem to be pulling their weight!

Trades looking like:

Boyd + Butcher OUT
Preston + Walsh IN +234K ITB

Preston looks like a real goer! Anything stopping him lock down a spot?
Walsh just wanted to be in everything, he looks like a real spark from Broncos. 54 with a fair chunk of attacking stats, but I think he finds a lot of those this year. 45+ seems to be a decent expectation.

234K will get me a good upgrade from Trindall, Carty, etc.

Genderbender wrote:



You’ve got a woman and she works? Stop gloating!

mattnz wrote:

Buy her a car you cheap skate

Revraiser wrote:

I've always said work or don't work, I don't mind.

Revraiser wrote:The Mrs has started a job recently where she regularly finishes at 8.30pm. Right in the middle of Nrl games. So of the two options should I

A - Call her HR or...

B - Continue discouraging her about the merits of the role  ?

Only eminent relief is the fact she is going to China for two months from next Friday.