NRL Fantasy 2023 Part 20 - Kaufusi + 4 weeks = Null SQ

Just noticed only 2 Saturday games and 3 Sunday with the returning 2pm game in NZ.

10-11 players in action for me Thurs and Fri. Designated outside time on Sat after a rank    with only Boyd and Trbo and two games I don't care about.

Hodgson to Turbo?
Illias to Lemuelu?

Alright, lining up for the round as follows:

Hodgson
Haas, Harris, Hopgood
Cartwright, Katoa
Cleary (c), Reynolds
Alamoti, HSS
Tedesco, Turbo, Miller

Preston, Loiero, Boyd, BMM

Stone, Doorey, Warbrick, ITT

Looking forward to having no players with a bye in round 6 or 7 (Sharks, Tigers)

Question if I want to loop using teddy do I simply have him as my last man on bench then shuffle my emg players round if they score bad / good

Yet again out of trades wrote:Question if I want to loop using teddy do I simply have him as my last man on bench then shuffle my emg players round if they score bad / good

Yeah have Tedesco, then Player 1 who plays an earlier game and score you want to look at and then Player 2 who can swap with Tedesco if they score poorly

RandomSil wrote:

Yeah have Tedesco, then Player 1 who plays an earlier game and score you want to look at and then Player 2 who can swap with Tedesco if they score poorly

Thanks for the reply so I can loop anyone in my emgs at any stage ?

Yet again out of trades wrote:

Thanks for the reply so I can only loop with people that play before teddy's game correct?

Teddy won't lockout all weekend, will be able to move him up until the final game. I have him at 17 and the earliest player I wanna look at (IKatoa) at 18. HSS, Trindall and BMM all playing Sunday, so can move any of them into Teddy's spot.

If you have multiple WFBs, you can do it like Filth's above with Teddy starting.

herbert & the titans have parted company...1 less threat for akp

Shady2K wrote:

Maybe Hodgson to a HLF, move Boyd to HOK. Or just upgrade Hodgson to a HOK

Cheers mate, if Hodgson has his minutes cut down to 60-70 with Hands coming in then I’ll look to move him to Brailey next week. Pretty much have that trade pencilled in for the moment.

Most of the week I’ve had Sutton/Butcher to SJ to partner Cleary. So may still go that route so I don’t have to worry too much about Boyd’s bye next week

With the talk of Warbrick, Grant, Anyone/Everyone going big against the Tigers, I thought I'd do a deep dive into how Wingers have gone against the Tigers so far this year;

So far the Tigers have played the Titans, Knights and Bulldogs.
This table looks at what the respective wingers have scored against the Tigers vs what they have scored in their other match-ups.

I've included their priced average as a indicator of expected performance (albeit AKP and Hunt are possible cash cows).

   

Wing	Price	v WST	v OTH	Price Avg	T v WST	T v OTH
Josh Addo-Carr	$               504	49	33	37.1	2	1
Jacob Kiraz	$               666	38	69	49.0	0	2
Dominic Young	$                431	56	12	31.7	2	0
Hymel Hunt	$               280	11	30	20.6	0	1
Jojo Fifita	$                453	25	17	33.3	0	0
Alofiana Khan-Pereira	$                234	0	32	17.2	0	3
	Average:	29.8	32.1	31.5	0.67	0.64

The Tigers in three matches have conceded 4 tries to wings for a total Fantasy points average of 29.8.
The other match-ups have conceded 7 tries from 11 outings for a total Fantasy points average of 32.1.

So fairly much on par.
Will Warbrick plays on the right wing, so looking at this again from the point of view of left/right wings against the Tigers

	v WST	v OTH	Price Avg	T v WST	T v OTH
Left average	20.0	31.7	25.0	0.67	0.83
Right average	39.7	32.5	38.0	0.67	0.40

The Tigers left edge defense has conceded more fantasy points, but in this instance we are talking about the more established wings of Kiraz, Young and Jojo Fifita (average priced at 38 across the three of them), vs the 20 points conceded on average to AFB, Hunt and JAC (who would have scored less were it not for Doueihi's pass direct to Alamoti resulting in an Addo Carr try).

Warbrick may have some improved opportunity based on what we've seen so far, but I wouldn't suggest it's a slam dunk.



How bad are the Tigers when it comes to restricting the amount of fantasy points opposition score?

The short answer is that it's early season, we've only seen 3 games.
The Tigers attack has been particularly clunky and you can well see that most of their spine missed the majority of pre-season, with some pretty substandard performances.
Their defense has had it's moments, but also some decent moments. They've lost 3 games by an average of a converted try.

When it comes to conceding fantasy points by team, currently the Sharks are the worst, conceding 682 points per game to their opposition.

Currently, the top four teams for conceding the least fantasy points per game are;
Sea Eagles 555
Broncos 577
Tigers  580
Panthers 585

It's maybe worth noting (with Grant playing), that 2023 gun hooker Reed Mahoney managed just 48 points against the Tigers (his other 2 outings 71 vs the Sea Eagles, and 54 vs the Storm).
J Brailey got injured (5 points in 14 minutes). Sam Verrills scored 43 in 80 minutes (a point above his BE).

Maybe the Storm put the Tigers to the sword tonight, maybe it ends up closer than people expect.

I'm just gonna tattoo "small sample sizes" on my forehead and sponsor the site with a fucking selfie so I can stop repeating myself.

great work easytiger. thanks bro.

That’s top shelf posting there easytiger

White Lightning wrote:herbert & the titans have parted company...1 less threat for akp

Herbert not a winger though

Genderbender wrote:That’s top shelf posting there easytiger

imo 1 of the best posts this season

[quote="Loomer"]

Herbert not a winger though[/qu

Liverpool_Bulldog wrote:
Cheers mate, if Hodgson has his minutes cut down to 60-70 with Hands coming in then I’ll look to move him to Brailey next week. Pretty much have that trade pencilled in for the moment.

Most of the week I’ve had Sutton/Butcher to SJ to partner Cleary. So may still go that route so I don’t have to worry too much about Boyd’s bye next week

Yeah I'm the same route. Bringing in SJ this week then Brailey next week to cover HOK for Boyd's bye

WT Winfield wrote:

Teddy won't lockout all weekend, will be able to move him up until the final game. I have him at 17 and the earliest player I wanna look at (IKatoa) at 18. HSS, Trindall and BMM all playing Sunday, so can move any of them into Teddy's spot.

If you have multiple WFBs, you can do it like Filth's above with Teddy starting.

I have

16 Teddy
17 Talau
18 Doorey
19 HSS
20 BMM
21 Trindall

If Doorey rubbish swap HSS and Talau
If Doorey and HSS decent do nothing
If Hynes late scratching swap Trindall with Teddy

Loomer wrote:

I have

16 Teddy
17 Talau
18 Doorey
19 HSS
20 BMM
21 Trindall

If Doorey rubbish swap HSS and Talau
If Doorey and HSS decent do nothing
If Hynes late scratching swap Trindall with Teddy

Basically the same.

17. May
18. Tedesco
19. Doorey
20. HSS
21. Trindall

wolfking wrote:Anyone other Cleary owners going to captain someone else?

Grant for me..