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    NRL Fantasy 2023 Part 58 - I can’t see Cleary through the tears

    Liverpool_Bulldog
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    Post by Liverpool_Bulldog Wed Jun 07, 2023 10:35 am

    wolfking wrote:'in a couple of weeks' kind of alludes to round 18 at the earliest?  I'm happy to punt on Fainu if he was guaranteed this week AND next week starting.  Next week is the kicker.  If I got that and he's out from round 18, I'd be satisfied.
    Say you get the next two rounds as the definite starter and then comes off the bench for the next two, he should have a very low BE for that first bench game and then probably a manageable one for the 2nd bench game.

    So you could get 3 decent price rises and then can hold him for the 4th game before moving him in the last big bye for a one hit wonder?
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    Post by mrbrownstone Wed Jun 07, 2023 10:43 am

    Lot of talk about Cogger, anyone interested in Gamble?

    Priced around 25, averages 38 at 5/8, and only one bye to come. Reckon he's decent value, but maybe too late in the season for a potential slow burn?
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    Post by Tommy_gun Wed Jun 07, 2023 10:44 am

    Liverpool_Bulldog wrote:
    Say you get the next two rounds as the definite starter and then comes off the bench for the next two, he should have a very low BE for that first bench game and then probably a manageable one for the 2nd bench game.

    So you could get 3 decent price rises and then can hold him for the 4th game before moving him in the last big bye for a one hit wonder?
     Wow wow wow, how many trades you got money bags?
    wolfking
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    Post by wolfking Wed Jun 07, 2023 10:45 am

    Liverpool_Bulldog wrote:
    Say you get the next two rounds as the definite starter and then comes off the bench for the next two, he should have a very low BE for that first bench game and then probably a manageable one for the 2nd bench game.

    So you could get 3 decent price rises and then can hold him for the 4th game before moving him in the last big bye for a one hit wonder?

    I guess it depends if he can hold a bench spot when Jurbo comes back. But in a perfect world, that's a decent scenario.
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    Post by Liverpool_Bulldog Wed Jun 07, 2023 10:46 am

    Tommy_gun wrote:
     Wow wow wow, how many trades you got money bags?
    Huh? What’s that got to do with anything?
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    Post by wolfking Wed Jun 07, 2023 10:46 am

    mrbrownstone wrote:Lot of talk about Cogger, anyone interested in Gamble?

    Priced around 25, averages 38 at 5/8, and only one bye to come. Reckon he's decent value, but maybe too late in the season for a potential slow burn?

    I think if he holds the spot (which is looking likely), it's a decent shout as a backup half.
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    Post by Liverpool_Bulldog Wed Jun 07, 2023 10:46 am

    wolfking wrote:

    I guess it depends if he can hold a bench spot when Jurbo comes back.  But in a perfect world, that's a decent scenario.
    Forgot about Jurbo, yeah it seems messy.
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    Post by precursor Wed Jun 07, 2023 10:47 am

    I'm no linguist but phrases like 'it is hoped' and 'next couple of weeks' suggest his return is somewhat unknown. Signs you take fantasy too seriously: linguistic analysis
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    Post by Camo123 Wed Jun 07, 2023 10:47 am

    What projection is Fainu scoring is probably the question that answers whether his short timeframe is worth it

    45 average makes 150k in 3 rounds (scored 47 in R13) but if you think he scores mid 30s probably not worth it
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    Post by wolfking Wed Jun 07, 2023 10:47 am

    Liverpool_Bulldog wrote:
    Huh? What’s that got to do with anything?

    Basically, he's saying people down to single digit trades can't really be affording him for 3 weeks then offloading. People who have burnt their trades would more likely have to look for bargin options that can hang around all year if need be.

    I have 13, so kinda happy to take the punt I think so I can see what happens next week with Origin selections.
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    Post by wolfking Wed Jun 07, 2023 10:50 am

    Camo123 wrote:What projection is Fainu scoring is probably the question that answers whether his short timeframe is worth it

    45 average makes 150k in 3 rounds (scored 47 in R13) but if you think he scores mid 30s probably not worth it

    We were discussing in our chat, it's basically getting the three MID's for next week. Outside of Hopgood and Matto (if he returns), it's slim pickings and if you don't go Fainu, you're going for a mid tier option (Elliot, Sip, JFH) and hoping they produce something. Fainu was hopefully filling that second spot and then Matto hopefully could fill that third spot next week. If you go Fainu and Matto doesn't retun next week, then it's picking the best option from those mid range guys.

    Elliot though has the pedigree and a juicy price to take a punt if Fainu is too trappy.
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    Post by my tv broke Wed Jun 07, 2023 10:51 am

    precursor wrote:I'm no linguist but phrases like 'it is hoped' and 'next couple of weeks' suggest his return is somewhat unknown. Signs you take fantasy too seriously: linguistic analysis  

    And there's years of evidence where whatever is said should be taken with a grain of salt.

    EG player will be out for a month.. next minute he's back playing a week later. Or the opposite.

    Meanwhile wasn't Whitehead supposed to miss 6 weeks ? lol
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    Post by precursor Wed Jun 07, 2023 10:51 am

    mrbrownstone wrote:Lot of talk about Cogger, anyone interested in Gamble?

    Priced around 25, averages 38 at 5/8, and only one bye to come. Reckon he's decent value, but maybe too late in the season for a potential slow burn?

    Not the worst shout.

    Would prefer Cogger as you'd think he should be good for bulk KMs playing with Luai.
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    Post by Aardvark Wed Jun 07, 2023 10:53 am

    my tv broke wrote:

    And there's years of evidence where whatever is said should be taken with a grain of salt.

    EG player will be out for a month.. next minute he's back playing a week later. Or the opposite.

    Meanwhile wasn't Whitehead supposed to miss 6 weeks ? lol

    I saw that, didn't he take a suspension over a fine because his injury was going to be a few weeks longer? Straight back after suspension ends.
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    Post by mrbrownstone Wed Jun 07, 2023 10:55 am

    my tv broke wrote:

    And there's years of evidence where whatever is said should be taken with a grain of salt.

    EG player will be out for a month.. next minute he's back playing a week later. Or the opposite.

    Meanwhile wasn't Whitehead supposed to miss 6 weeks ? lol

    Yeah I feel like we've been here before. Jack Bird out for two weeks, back in the reserves this week. Take those ones with a grain of salt, take stuff like 'next couple of weeks' with an entire shaker. May as well just say 'we're not really sure but have to answer the question and tell you something'.
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    Post by my tv broke Wed Jun 07, 2023 11:01 am

    precursor wrote:Signs you take fantasy too seriously

    put me down for: ignoring real life things that i should be dealing with
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    Post by Liverpool_Bulldog Wed Jun 07, 2023 11:02 am

    wolfking wrote:

    Basically, he's saying people down to single digit trades can't really be affording him for 3 weeks then offloading. People who have burnt their trades would more likely have to look for bargin options that can hang around all year if need be.

    I have 13, so kinda happy to take the punt I think so I can see what happens next week with Origin selections.
    Ahhh yep got ya. Apologies tommygun
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    Post by wolfking Wed Jun 07, 2023 11:03 am

    my tv broke wrote:

    put me down for: ignoring real life things that i should be dealing with

    I thought that was the main reason we play this game.
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    Post by my tv broke Wed Jun 07, 2023 11:06 am

    wolfking wrote:

    I thought that was the main reason we play this game.

    well, sometimes it can be fun, too! haha
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    Post by L-Jimmy Wed Jun 07, 2023 11:11 am

    my tv broke wrote:

    well, sometimes it can be fun, too! haha


    That's the sort of despairing laugh you hear from smokers outside a hospital.

    You ok dude?

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