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    NRL Fantasy 2024 Part 7 - Vegas, Baby

    Mulvy
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    Post by Mulvy Sun Mar 03, 2024 9:35 am

    mattnz wrote:I'm liking this season, it is more polarizing than normal, with the split round.

    Yeah agree, like a challenge. Separate the wheat from the chaff. Hopefully I'm not the chaff.
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    Post by mattnz Sun Mar 03, 2024 9:36 am

    Camo123 wrote:Antipodding is not picking Willison who is 42% owned

    Jacob Gagai at 34% and Walsh at 30% are some other wild selections excluding the obvious autofill errors

    Add Mam 20% and potentially Burbo at 50% if Schuster is back R2

    Note that there is something wrong with ownership percentages on fantasy stats website. Gagai ownership is only 17%.
    robelgordo
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    Post by robelgordo Sun Mar 03, 2024 9:37 am

    Can still join Autofill: https://www.nrlfantasyfanatics.com/t2352-autofilla-2024

    If you have, don’t forget to set C/VC before lockout. Probably the only decision to make this week and not confident we’re getting 17 players out on the field
    Loomer
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    Post by Loomer Sun Mar 03, 2024 9:39 am

    What's captaincy %s? What's that site with that info. I forget
    Mulvy
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    Post by Mulvy Sun Mar 03, 2024 9:40 am

    Shady2K wrote:Can someone convince me either way on Cotter or Tatola

    Cotter’s 26% ownership is antipod territory

    Wow, really? I haven't once looked at ownership %.

    I don't have either of those.
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    Post by GreenSchist Sun Mar 03, 2024 9:41 am

    mattnz wrote:

    If you happened to start with the right PODs in your initial team, other teams wouldn't be able to easily catch you, as they can only trade in at most 2 each week.

    Lets say for example that there are 5 stand out players in week 1, and they happen to all be under 5% ownership and they are all in 1 person's team. They get a massive advantage for a few weeks, while others are spending time bringing them into their team and you can really separate from the pack.

    If the top 5 performers are all high ownership, most players will have some of them and will be able to easily bring in the couple that they don't own.

    A good example of Antipoding, is that likely 40%+ will have Cleary and captain him in R1. If he goes down with a 6 week injury ahead of next week, all those players have a massive handicap to start the season. Those that don't have him will have a great advantage.

    This only works if that outcome actually occurs.
    If Cleary doesn't get hurt and scores just his average, then all those teams are theoretically on the back foot right from round 1 (unless their alternative half/Captain goes above Cleary's average - but that's introducing a whole other variable).

    It's a gamble plain and simple and if I were a betting man, I would rather go with Cleary hitting his average, rather than bank on someone over achieving.
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    Post by my tv broke Sun Mar 03, 2024 9:41 am

    i wonder if footystats will work. there's usually some random issue for the first game of the year. i've got mates coming over soon for a bbq/drinks for the footy, so.. unfortunately it wont be getting fixed today if so. apologies in advance!
    Welsh Mafia
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    Post by Welsh Mafia Sun Mar 03, 2024 9:41 am

    Where is the group think sitting on captaincy?

    The two themes seem to be Chin or Haas this week for safety.

    Round 1 Captain-

    TU: Haas (or a Vegas player)
    TD: Chin
    Mulvy
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    Post by Mulvy Sun Mar 03, 2024 9:42 am

    Stylebender wrote:My final piece of the puzzle… (for now)

    TU: Fogarty, Suli, Rapana
    TD: Flanagan, Penisini, Turbo/Teddy

    Feel like the first option may score slightly better, however the latter locks in 2 probable keepers, which is convenient as a H2H player.

    I was about to vote TU but then saw H2H, and voted TD
    BCT05
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    Post by BCT05 Sun Mar 03, 2024 9:42 am

    What if Angus comes on to the bench? Even murkier..

    Ideally I'd like to only go with one of Sitili or Wong but I've changed my mind on which one daily so probably just has to be both if team list stays the same
    Mulvy
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    Post by Mulvy Sun Mar 03, 2024 9:43 am

    Rabbits21 wrote:
    Spoiler:

    My Game Day preview with plenty of ooommopphhhh

    There is no way I'm reading that.
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    Post by mattnz Sun Mar 03, 2024 9:43 am

    Welsh Mafia wrote:Where is the group think sitting on captaincy?

    The two themes seem to be Chin or Haas this week for safety.

    Round 1 Captain-

    TU: Haas (or a Vegas player)
    TD: Chin

    If I had Haas, I would seriously consider captaining him for safety. Unlikely to ruin your season.
    robelgordo
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    Post by robelgordo Sun Mar 03, 2024 9:44 am

    I honestly don’t care about ownership %s. After Cleary, I try to pick people I think will score more points than their price with the goal of scoring the most points possible. That’s my R1 plan. Usually those players are well owned by people here and across informed fantasy circles. If they’re not, I’ll consider a bit more.

    You don’t need to POD unless you are H2H player trying to win a matchup. Or at the pointy end of overall or club overall trying to gain ground. Or it could just be about fun.Everything else is nonsense.

    FWIW I play fantasy premier league and this week I had a 86% template rating - which is a calculation of how commonly owned the players in your team are compared to other active players. Super high. But I also had no team exactly the same as mine in the top 1m ranked players. So it’s both cookie cutter and POD. Without worrying about either.

    Same deal in NRL fantasy


    Last edited by robelgordo on Sun Mar 03, 2024 9:46 am; edited 1 time in total
    Mulvy
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    Post by Mulvy Sun Mar 03, 2024 9:44 am

    rhinoceroo wrote:

    NRL Fantasy 2024 Part 7 - Vegas, Baby - Page 11 9k=

    Beat me to it!
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    Post by ForanAgainst Sun Mar 03, 2024 9:47 am

    Mulvy wrote:

    There is no way I'm reading that.

    I just went straight to the part about ref bashing and who was the unfortunate soul this round.
    Mulvy
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    Post by Mulvy Sun Mar 03, 2024 9:51 am

    Snatchpato wrote:Okay so I'm pretty sure the only zig while everyone else is zagging thing I'm going to do to start the year is go with Api from round 1. This means I've got an awesome way to loop for the first round.

    I'm curious as what people think about

    a) me starting with Api (currently Cheese at HOK for R1) but more so

    b) how I should be looping this round. I'm thinking of playing Wong at 18 with Api at 17. If Wong scores well, leave it. If Wong shits the bed, swap Shoes (19) and Api (17) to get Shoes' score. Alternatively, I could just run Wong at 2RF to give me maximum tinkering flexibility pending TLT2 as Luki won't be locked into a 2RF spot. Thoughts about which matters more please!

    I'd back Wong to score well as long as he is starting. Might be better to lock him in starting, and see what next week throws up. It might be possible to put an outside back in spot 18 who gets lucky and scores a brace and play them over one of your more marginal picks.
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    Post by Guest Sun Mar 03, 2024 9:51 am

    Reasonably confident Robbo will fuck up the best laid plans.
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    Post by Syzy Sun Mar 03, 2024 9:52 am

    What sort of minutes are we expecting from Cheese?
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    Post by my tv broke Sun Mar 03, 2024 9:53 am

    BCT05 wrote:What if Angus comes on to the bench? Even murkier..

    Ideally I'd like to only go with one of Sitili or Wong but I've changed my mind on which one daily so probably just has to be both if team list stays the same

    Does that change things for anyone?

    If crichton doesn't make the 17 this week, what about every other week that follows? He's had his issues to deal with and may be off to rugby, but i don't think Robbo will just banish him to reserve grade for the year.
    SoylentGreen
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    Post by SoylentGreen Sun Mar 03, 2024 9:54 am

    All my Vegas players are forwards. With the narrower field, hopefully the games will be played up the middle

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