NRL Fantasy 2024 Part 16 - Tommy Talau has arrived... A year too late.
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with kris out this week & with no wfb cover i have just enough to do - kris & luki to j. arthars & j. lussick...unless some magical cheap wfb appears then arthars seems the go
manlybeaver- Posts : 1601
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Sitili and luki out for me galvin and lussick in
Boozecluez- Posts : 1746
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Ando wrote:
Pffft, why are you offering your help like you're some sort of fantasy god... Who do you think you are, Contrasting Hobby or something?
Because once upon a time there was Bryce Cartwright and look how many parties he has had since the first one
Or it can go the Milford party way
manlybeaver- Posts : 1601
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Did liddle get injured or benched due to the score ?
King Assassin- Posts : 1103
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multiple.scoregasms wrote:
We still aren't any the wiser if you are the King of Assassins or an Assassin that specialises exclusively in Kings
I simply can't continue until this is resolved
ssshhh
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manlybeaver wrote:Did liddle get injured or benched due to the score ?
Lost 15 mins due to an HIA but returned.
Subbed off with 7 minutes remaining (maybe planned, maybe to rest him with the game out of reach).
I wouldn't take too much from this game. He looked good, tackling everything. Missed very few tackles even though the Dragons got trounced. His minutes seem safe.
I'm happily holding and not panicking over one week.
Snatchpato- Posts : 9123
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Other than Bodyslam I'm bringing in either a gun for McInnes (thinking Turbo) or a cheapy to build a warchest (Finefuiaki pre TLT)Boozecluez wrote:I was going to say Reuben Garrick earlier but he shit the bed last week
So how about this.
Who is everyone bringing in next week as I already own May/galvin?
Want to stay a step ahead
Was going to add the coffee cup emoji but I can’t handle all the thumbs down
Think I need an avatar change
Snatchpato- Posts : 9123
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Don't think I'd be trading Kris mate. He looked good before his HIA, was very dangerous combining with Strange and Savage down that left edge. He'll be back next week. Can you trade a different position for a WFB? Maybe gun up in the WFB if you have an underperforming player?White Lightning wrote:with kris out this week & with no wfb cover i have just enough to do - kris & luki to j. arthars & j. lussick...unless some magical cheap wfb appears then arthars seems the go
For instance, I'm thinking McInnes to Turbo this week (Terrell replacing him in the MIDs)
Wildbux- Posts : 136
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Who to trade out for Bodyslam?
TU: Wong
TD: Rapana
TU: Wong
TD: Rapana
Snatchpato- Posts : 9123
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Fuck why is Fainu so expensive, though the kid would be 260k after last week. 380 is pretty pricey for a rookie. Any tigers fans or otherwise reckon he'll maintain a good role this year? Maybe a watchlist guy this week? Could do the Terrell May but for cheaper
Snatchpato- Posts : 9123
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Show us the rest of your team, would need to know team comp for that.Wildbux wrote:Who to trade out for Bodyslam?
TU: Wong
TD: Rapana
IMO though, Rapana. Don't think he has the ceiling we thought he might this year, seems to gassed every game. Father time seems to be winning yet another battle.
Boozecluez- Posts : 1746
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Snatchpato wrote:
Other than Bodyslam I'm bringing in either a gun for McInnes (thinking Turbo) or a cheapy to build a warchest (Finefuiaki pre TLT)
Ahh nice
Playing around with some combos myself
Rapana+Sitili out for Elliott+Fine
Rapana + Levi out for Curran + Fine
Cook + Sitili out for Curran + Elliott
Cook + Rapana out for Hosking + Curran
Cook + Sitili out for Hosking + Fine + 200k
Sitili + Cotric/Levi out for Fainu + Fine
But will probably wait until thursday
Last edited by Boozecluez on Tue Mar 19, 2024 7:40 am; edited 1 time in total
Wildbux- Posts : 136
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Snatchpato wrote:
Show us the rest of your team, would need to know team comp for that.
IMO though, Rapana. Don't think he has the ceiling we thought he might this year, seems to gassed every game. Father time seems to be winning yet another battle.
Sure thing mate:
Grant
Haas Murray Smithies
Wong Piakura
Cleary Hutch
Strange Burbo
Paps Walsh Raps
Whirlwind Salmon Galvin Chan
Levi Kini Flanno Hughes
$60K ITB
Snatchpato- Posts : 9123
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Doing some quick maffs on Lussick. Given an inflated MN to start the year of around 14,000 - to make 150k from here Lussick needs to average about 47.
514k + 150k = 664k sale price
664,000 / 14,000 = 47.4
PPM of 0.65 so 47.4 / 0.65 = 73 minutes.
So based on historical averages, Lussick would need to average 73 minutes a game in order to make 150k if you bought him this week. Assuming the Eels bench stays with Hands (or even better, another forward or outside back utility) you'd think that Lussick would get close to that based on last week.
Similar calculations to above indicate that Lussick is appropriately priced right now if he averages 56 minutes (which I think barring injury is well under).
So definitely there's some value for Lussick, and one I'll look closely at.
Best case is an 80 minute average, 52 point average, and 200k price rise.
Modest case is a 70 minute average, 46 point average, and 120k price rise.
Unlikely but worst case (bar injury) is a 60 minute average, 39 point average, 20k price rise.
(all of the above on the assumption he averages 0.65PPM which could obviously change)
Think I've talked myself into him
514k + 150k = 664k sale price
664,000 / 14,000 = 47.4
PPM of 0.65 so 47.4 / 0.65 = 73 minutes.
So based on historical averages, Lussick would need to average 73 minutes a game in order to make 150k if you bought him this week. Assuming the Eels bench stays with Hands (or even better, another forward or outside back utility) you'd think that Lussick would get close to that based on last week.
Similar calculations to above indicate that Lussick is appropriately priced right now if he averages 56 minutes (which I think barring injury is well under).
So definitely there's some value for Lussick, and one I'll look closely at.
Best case is an 80 minute average, 52 point average, and 200k price rise.
Modest case is a 70 minute average, 46 point average, and 120k price rise.
Unlikely but worst case (bar injury) is a 60 minute average, 39 point average, 20k price rise.
(all of the above on the assumption he averages 0.65PPM which could obviously change)
Think I've talked myself into him
Snatchpato- Posts : 9123
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I think with Salmon, Chan, and Shoes as your only MID/EDG cover, you can't really be trading them out, even bringing in another. With that said, you don't exactly have a bunch of WFB/CTR cover either. I'm really not sure mate, I guess I'd do Wong out and then move Smithies to the bench to cover your MID/EDG so at least you have him and Salmon as cover. Can't see trading out Rapana and you only having Kini as WFB cover being any good (especially with JC back sooner rather than later).Wildbux wrote:
Sure thing mate:
Grant
Haas Murray Smithies
Wong Piakura
Cleary Hutch
Strange Burbo
Paps Walsh Raps
Whirlwind Salmon Galvin Chan
Levi Kini Flanno Hughes
$60K ITB
I wouldn't personally be trading Wong though, I feel any week he could play 80 with a try and score 70. He probably wont, but he could, and I'd hate to miss it haha. Not sure my rambling has helped or hindered, but those are my thoughts.
Mulvy- Moderator
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Snatchpato wrote:Fuck why is Fainu so expensive, though the kid would be 260k after last week. 380 is pretty pricey for a rookie. Any tigers fans or otherwise reckon he'll maintain a good role this year? Maybe a watchlist guy this week? Could do the Terrell May but for cheaper
Following. I had the same thought and would like to know the answer.
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How are Taylan May owners feeling?
Pretty keen on this guy to bring in as a keeper, has a bye coming up but don't see a lot of downside otherwise.
It's a toss up between May for my centre to pair with Koula or Fogarty/Moses to replace Galvin as starting half
Pretty keen on this guy to bring in as a keeper, has a bye coming up but don't see a lot of downside otherwise.
It's a toss up between May for my centre to pair with Koula or Fogarty/Moses to replace Galvin as starting half
Teeth Eater- Posts : 4827
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The Pascoe Fiasco wrote:
Did they say Haas was going to be fine this week?
In the preview for the Friday night match Gallen mentioned that JFH and Haas might be out this week. They talked about JFH's injury amongst themselves but nothing more on Haas. So definitely no more clarity at all.
rhinoceroo- Fanatic
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Teeth Eater wrote:
In the preview for the Friday night match Gallen mentioned that JFH and Haas might be out this week. They talked about JFH's injury amongst themselves but nothing more on Haas. So definitely no more clarity at all.
Broncos forum seems to think Haas is playing, and they're usually on the money with injuries if nothing else. Kevvie interview saying Haas went for knee scans but they didn't find anything much there. Don't know if that's a good or a bad thing.
Teeth Eater- Posts : 4827
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Boozecluez wrote:
Ahh nice
Playing around with some combos myself
Cook + Rapana out for Hosking + Curran
Been playing around with the idea in my head that if Haas is out, or seems dodgy, I could move Haas on for May and Hosking. Looks dynamic on paper and Hosking is a given (for me) in formats like SC and Dream Team where his price hasn't moved yet, but I'm actually wondering in Fantasy, is Hosking basically not far off his peak price? Obviously he's going to make a heap of cash this week, but assuming he sits around that 50-ish range most weeks, does he go up much more than the mid to late 700s? And this is assuming he keeps his current role, which is possibly unlikely. So is he then being brought in as a keeper and cash generation not important?
» NRL Fantasy 2024 Part 6 - The only time I make a thread this year
» NRL Fantasy 2024 Part 67 - Final charges and Late season shuffles
» NRL Fantasy 2024 Part 66 6 - the Year from Hell Party/Mourning Thread
» NRL Fantasy 2024 Part 68 - Antipodean Horror Story - "Fantasy 2024"
» NRL Fantasy 2022 Part 44 - Game of the year
» NRL Fantasy 2024 Part 67 - Final charges and Late season shuffles
» NRL Fantasy 2024 Part 66 6 - the Year from Hell Party/Mourning Thread
» NRL Fantasy 2024 Part 68 - Antipodean Horror Story - "Fantasy 2024"
» NRL Fantasy 2022 Part 44 - Game of the year