NRL Fantasy 2024 Part 16 - Tommy Talau has arrived... A year too late.

Milchcow wrote:

I avoided him in my initial team, because often players that finish a year on a massive high don't carry that into the next season.
In general I think this policy works more often than it fails.

But in this case it seems pretty clear Terrell is a fantasy gun who will get decent minutes, so he's almost certainly a trade in this week.


One of the rules about "fun" fantasy is that it is always more fun to sit there watching a guy rack up the points than it is to hide behind the couch every time he gets the ball because you don't own him and he's about to go massive.

Aardvark wrote:




Yes, I think if you take the back end of last year combined with what we have seen over the last few weeks he is still a very decent buy.

I'll be jumping on a week (two?) late as I wanted to give my rabble an extra week to redeem themselves.....it was a mistake.

rhinoceroo wrote:What have we settled on anyway? TayMay and Termaynator? Cant't get on board with these Bodyslam shenanigans.

Rabbit wrote:I'm sticking with May and Lussick, but it means playing Jackie Chan. I've got a feeling he might be bench and that will throw a spanner in the works. NAS is back this week?

easytiger wrote:

Aardvark wrote:




Yes, I think if you take the back end of last year combined with what we have seen over the last few weeks he is still a very decent buy.

I'll be jumping on a week (two?) late as I wanted to give my rabble an extra week to redeem themselves.....it was a mistake.

When I was doing a little analysis last week to reinforce myself with a bit of confirmational bias, I got these lovely numbers (updated to include last weeks score);

Terrell May
2023 - 2024

All Matches
37.9mins for a 42.1 average @1.11PPM (19G)

Games over 30 minutes (seems unlikely he'd play less than that)
44.1mins for a 49.6 average @1.13PPM (13G)

Since round 22 last year (the first 40+ minute game, excluding R23 for "justifiable circumstantial reasons")
49.2mins for a 57.9 average @1.18PPM (9G)

The crazy thing is that his PPM trends up with more minutes - that's not typical for middles...

I want to see 55 minutes at 1.23PPM for a 67.6 Payne-Who? average (this is purely fantastical)

wolfking wrote:Any chance Galvin does a Cini this week?

GreenMachine wrote:TLT from hell:

- Kini not named
- Haas out
- Chan in #18
- Salmon to bench, Hughes to reserves

If only it weren’t so feasible

wolfking wrote:Any chance Galvin does a Cini this week?

wolfking wrote:Any chance Galvin does a Cini this week?

easytiger wrote:

Having just brought him in, I feel pretty good about the selection, nothing changed in terms of eye test (albeit more points would've been nice).
The Eels showed a real weakness on their left edge early, and the Panthers did what they do and exploited it ruthlessly with Tago.
Getting some CTR/WFB DPP was important to me, hence the late decision to pivot from Turbo.

Just a gut feeling, but I have a suspicion that Gagai might not be the only 50 point centre this year; with Taytay, Tago, Cobbo and possibly Wighton to join him.

Last week I viewed Taylan as a more expensive version of Kiraz - good base stats - can offload, handy DPP, but you're paying an extra $70k for a bit more upside being a better player in a top 4 team (vs bottom 4) - not much of a value buy, but could be a little?

easytiger wrote:

When I was doing a little analysis last week to reinforce myself with a bit of confirmational bias, I got these lovely numbers (updated to include last weeks score);

Terrell May
2023 - 2024

All Matches
37.9mins for a 42.1 average @1.11PPM (19G)

Games over 30 minutes (seems unlikely he'd play less than that)
44.1mins for a 49.6 average @1.13PPM (13G)

Since round 22 last year (the first 40+ minute game, excluding R23 for "justifiable circumstantial reasons")
49.2mins for a 57.9 average @1.18PPM (9G)

The crazy thing is that his PPM trends up with more minutes - that's not typical for middles...

I want to see 55 minutes at 1.23PPM for a 67.6 Payne-Who? average (this is purely fantastical)

wolfking wrote:Any chance Galvin does a Cini this week?

Milchcow wrote:

Are you including his finals stats in there

56 points in 54 minutes against the Sharks
84 points in 56 minutes against the Storm


On PPM trending up with more minutes.
After Vegas Robinson said he was due for a rest but was playing too well.  If that applies as a general rule (don't sub off players when they are doing well) , then the better he is playing, the more minute he gets, so would sort of explain it.

wolfking wrote:Any chance Galvin does a Cini this week?

my tv broke wrote:

I really don't think it matters if Terrell starts or not. He can get the mins either way, and as others have started, he will have lower min games. But I think he's someone who can average close to 50 once it all evens out.

Haas 2.0

AL wrote:

I thought Haas 2.0 had already been assigned?