2017 NRL.com Fantasy thread part 2

I've put a few draft teams together played with a few different scenarios. Too many unknowns to do much more.
Much guesswork regarding the FRF and 2RF cashcows
The nines should bring a bit more clarity on the new talent.
Teamlists can't come soon enough

my tv broke wrote:

quick google - he was caught driving on a suspended license in 2014 (for an overdue parking fine). in that case its probably likely he didnt know his license was suspended

I did a google too and it was that he threw a red bull can at another car

Rabbit wrote:So if I do enter a team will it fuck things up later?

Was wondering the same thing ? can you register your team now ?

Well,

I am not sure how all the stats people do it, but it appears that there are a few people 'excited' by the idea of Kenny Sio, being back in town with the Knights.

Can anyone pull out any stats from his last stint in the NRL?

Feline wrote:Well,

I am not sure how all the stats people do it, but it appears that there are a few people 'excited' by the idea of Kenny Sio, being back in town with the Knights.

Can anyone pull out any stats from his last stint in the NRL?

The Sio excitement is purely sexual from Bren and Filth.

One for you D.Saifiti lovers:

https://twitter.com/BarryToohey/status/820403434482319360

daifiti probably a must have if another Sims brother (kor)bin's the knights

Floor Pie wrote:One for you D.Saifiti lovers:

https://twitter.com/BarryToohey/status/820403434482319360

lol the Sione M. comment "we're using a Ferrari for Hylux work"

So after getting a "no" from R. James apparently the Broncos are now going after K. Sims. If they do get K. Sims imo it's a dead certainty that McGuire will play lock in 2017. Mind you he probably was anyway with or without Sims.

If I ever found a magic lantern I would wish the Broncos accountant would work for the Tigers,

I don't particularly want Sims at the club but its a pretty good move for both parties if so.

bluetige wrote:If I ever found a magic lantern I would wish the Broncos accountant would work for the Tigers,

You'd waste your one wish on that?? Not even black magic can save your lot

Sims to the Broncos would pretty much ruin any chance of Broncos having a cash cow forward

8.Blair
9.McCullough
10.Sims
11.Thaiday
12.Gillett
13.McGuire
14.Nikorima
15.Arrow/Esee/TPJ
16.Ofa
17.Glenn

That even excludes the option of Oates to the pack which has been talked about

Floor Pie wrote:One for you D.Saifiti lovers:

https://twitter.com/BarryToohey/status/820403434482319360

multiple.scoregasms wrote:Sims to the Broncos would pretty much ruin any chance of Broncos having a cash cow forward

8.Blair
9.McCullough
10.Sims
11.Thaiday
12.Gillett
13.McGuire
14.Nikorima
15.Arrow/Esee/TPJ
16.Ofa
17.Glenn

That even excludes the option of Oates to the pack which has been talked about

I never thought they would throw Arrow in the deep end playing Lock, I'm sure he'll get a crack at it later in the season

yeah, mcguire will be the lock. its not officially confirmed, but that will be the case.

Oates to the forwards is just "talk" as well. he wont be moving off the wing any time soon.

Sione now in every team.

mulvy wrote:I'm calling it the Brooks effect but what do I know

I've just run the numbers (hopefuly the right ones), and Im not sure how you can call this the Brooks effect?

I dont even think there is a game in the whole season where Brooks was out & Farah was in was there? You would need a few of those surely if you were going to attribute Brooks being out to changes in Moses scores? Otherwise I think you are at serious risk of confounding Brooks being out with Farrah also being out...

So to look at this in my opinion you need to look at the three possible scenarios: Farah and Brooks out, Farah only out, and Brooks only out. The following show those scores and subsequnet averages:

F & B out: 3 games 47, 71, 22 => ave=46.7
F only out: 12 games 40, 29, 36, 48, 33, 10, 48, 44, 70, 78, 54, 31 => ave=43.4
B only out: No games

Moses currently priced at 39.6 so on that basis with Farah gone I guess we can say he is roughly 4 points per game undervalued.

Feel free to correct me if I've gone wrong somewhere.

Rippin and Tearin wrote:

I've just run the numbers (hopefuly the right ones), and Im not sure how you can call this the Brooks effect?

I dont even think there is a game in the whole season where Brooks was out & Farah was in was there? You would need a few of those surely if you were going to attribute Brooks being out to changes in Moses scores? Otherwise I think you are at serious risk of confounding Brooks being out with Farrah also being out...

So to look at this in my opinion you need to look at the three possible scenarios: Farah and Brooks out, Farah only out, and Brooks only out. The following show those scores and subsequnet averages:

F & B out: 3 games 47, 71, 22 => ave=46.7
F only out: 12 games 40, 29, 36, 48, 33, 10, 48, 44, 70, 78, 54, 31 => ave=43.4
B only out: No games

Moses currently priced at 39.6 so on that basis with Farah gone I guess we can say he is roughly 4 points per game undervalued.

Feel free to correct me if I've gone wrong somewhere.

You are saving yourself $100K on the gun halves, all I am hoping for is a 3-5 game stretch where he kills it then I will jump ship to a premium gun because I can't stand getting sub 30 scores occasionally. If he can hit his last 6 scores with Farah out I'd be tempted to hold him.

Rabbit wrote:Sione now in every team.

Why, please explain? I think he only plays 60 minutes, and even if he plays 80 minutes there is more chance for missed tackles at the end of the game. Have a look at his missed tackle counts and I reckon he won't go as well as others think he will