2017 NRL.com Fantasy thread part 60

Spreadsheets

BEs round 19

BEs round 19:

2017 Stats Breakdown (Current up to round 3)
https://www.mediafire.com/?guprpt6xuiq9dpm

2016 Stats Breakdown
https://www.mediafire.com/?t8gqrkac3r1tomk

2015 Stats Breakdown
http://www.mediafire.com/file/fkxlw0139cvc529/2015_Prozone_stats.xlsx

Price Predictor
http://www.mediafire.com/file/urcieiozcujhuvo/Price_predictor%282%29.xlsx

Threads of Interest

Milchcow's Stats/Spreadsheets/Break Evens
https://www.nrlfantasyfanatics.com/t128-stats-spreadsheets-etc-break-evens-for-2017-now-included

Boozecluez, Trials and Tribulations of an NRL Fantasy Coach
https://www.nrlfantasyfanatics.com/t420-trials-and-tribulations-of-an-nrl-fantasy-coach-2017-the-booze-empire-strikes-back-results-update-06-03


Player Profile - Welshy
https://www.nrlfantasyfanatics.com/t486-poster-profiles-welshy

Auto-Fill League
https://www.nrlfantasyfanatics.com/t436-wags-autofill-league

SpotTheOzzie's Weekly NRL Fantasy Video
https://www.nrlfantasyfanatics.com/t444-nrl-fantasy-fanatic-new-fantasy-video-every-wednesday-with-analytical-breakdown

Soon the thread number will be higher than the average of the best fantasy player

bluetige wrote:

I just checked my bye-performance and went from 4537th to 45th so bye planning was a success for me.

Surely that's a typo ?

bluetige wrote:
Next year looks a bit easier with Origin on:
Wed 6th June with a split round preceding.
Sun 24th on a stand alone weekend
Wed 11th July another split round
Teams will only get 1 bye as the competition will only run for 25 weeks

Still 26 weeks because of the stand alone SOO. So while not technically a bye it's still a week off for everyone not pocketing $30K which Cam Smith will no doubt complain about.

At the end of Rd11 i was ranked 3212th.
After Rd 19 i was ranked 709th.

I used 17 trades over that period.

Feels like alot of trades used for not much of a jump

Someone asked should they play Dufty this week, the question is will he be named, Id expect Duggan back

Just reposting this from the last thread;

Have dropped 90 odd places this week and just sitting inside the top 900, not happy, cheers captain Cam, get your ass back out there quick smart.

My team;

Smith McInnes
Fifita Taupau Kaufusi Yates
Crichton Tolo JDB Brown Surgess
Munster Cleary Lolohea Laybutt
Turbo Croker Cotric Kelly
Walker Slater Edwards Semi Isaako

I have 5 trades and 15K and have an itchy finger. I'm holding SMith and Slater and I think Surgess will play but what should I do here. I'm 4K short of Kaufusi to Vaughn which I'm pissed about. I'm thinking about some POD action though and Nofo is a great price and looking like returning to a bit of form. Here are my options;

Lolohea - Nofo (leave Kaufusi for now)

Edwards/Cotric/Walker - Nofo
Kaufusi - Vaughn

or, just bite the bullet and downgrade Yates and upgrade Kaufusi to Gal, can't afford Mannering unless I cashout Lolohea.

I know looking at Nofo is crazy but his last 3 round average is 44, and his last two games his average is 49 without a try in either. Or I gamble even harder and swap Lolohea for Mansour then I can upgrade Kaufusi. Looking hard at downgrading Edwards or Walker though, could be worth it. Kaufusi I had hoped I'd be able to keep but the last two weeks he's been lazy as fuck.

Thoughts, anything else?

Thanks gents.

Shanbon wrote:Someone asked should they play Dufty this week, the question is will he be named, Id expect Duggan back

Is Duffy a chance to get his nose in with Aiken out though? I know Mann is the obvious choice based on previous games but it'd be a shame to drop Duffy after that cracker of a game. Dugan > C, Duffy stays at FB.

I still don't know whether this is worth posting or not but I'm getting confused on whether I should make this trade or not.

Got 2 trades left with Surgess, Smith and Guth. Obviously the first 2 will be held given they'll miss a week or two at most.
Guth well I'm just wondering if he's worth trading considering I have a back-up WFB. I have Rossdog as my 18th man who I anticipated slotting in for any injuries and on an average day out he's good for about 35+ so he's good for the purpose I had him in mind for.

However I can do a straight swap from Guth to Teddy who is obviously a gun. On the surface it seems like an obvious choice. However I just wonder if using one of those 2 remaining trades I have is worth it in an area I have depth in.

My HLF's back-ups read Nu Brown and Laybutt. My FRF back-ups are Leota and Sele. If I use this one trade and problems happen in both of those areas I am screwed. Any help with this dilemma would be appreciated.

My season was never going great, but relatively steady. I had at least stayed relatively injury free. I completed my gun 17 by round 16 and was sitting 689th with 6 trades to spare for the remaining 10 rounds. I thought it would be enough and I could at least push to top 500. Then I lost Graham, Vaughan (who I kept thankfully), Friend, Johnson, Merrin, Gutherson, Smith, Surgess over the next 4 rounds. Now I am rank 1016 with no trades and playing Smat as my 4th reserve. Weep for me, my brothers.

Johnny B Goode wrote:I still don't know whether this is worth posting or not but I'm getting confused on whether I should make this trade or not.  

Got 2 trades left with Surgess, Smith and Guth. Obviously the first 2 will be held given they'll miss a week or two at most.
Guth well I'm just wondering if he's worth trading considering I have a back-up WFB. I have Rossdog as my 18th man who I anticipated slotting in for any injuries and on an average day out he's good for about 35+ so he's good for the purpose I had him in mind for.  

However I can do a straight swap from Guth to Teddy who is obviously a gun. On the surface it seems like an obvious choice. However I just wonder if using one of those 2 remaining trades I have is worth it in an area I have depth in.  

My HLF's back-ups read Nu Brown and Laybutt. My FRF back-ups are Leota and Sele. If I use this one trade and problems happen in both of those areas I am screwed. Any help with this dilemma would be appreciated.  

I would hold and make the trade closer to the finish line i.e. with 2-3 weeks to go (if you haven't used them to replace a gun).

We have seen the carnage that almost occurred this weekend and whilst a lot of those injuries seem better than what was initially thought, the chances they flair up or the blokes sit out a few more games would have to be high, particularly for the likes of Surgess with not a lot to play for.

Pookus McFly wrote:My season was never going great, but relatively steady. I had at least stayed relatively injury free. I completed my gun 17 by round 16 and was sitting 689th with 6 trades to spare for the remaining 10 rounds. I thought it would be enough and I could at least push to top 500. Then I lost Graham, Vaughan (who I kept thankfully), Friend, Johnson, Merrin, Gutherson, Smith, Surgess over the next 4 rounds. Now I am rank 1016 with no trades and playing Smat as my 4th reserve. Weep for me, my brothers.

I swear I was in exactly the same boat. Was faced with a choice of graham of Vaughan to Tauapu. I went Vaughan (think at the time it meant more money in the bank) regret it so bad. Im running Gurgess or Fui as my 4th until Graham comes back.

Fifita or Vaughan?

Only need one so basically it comes down to who will score more between now and seasons end. Surely Fifita?

Moose wrote:Fifita or Vaughan?

Only need one so basically it comes down to who will score more between now and seasons end. Surely Fifita?

I vote Vaughan, He is scoring alot better.
I have Fifita and i wish i could swap.

This is my team with 1 trade and 58k remaining

Smith McInnes
Fifita Taupau Brown Eisenhuth
Taumalolo JDB Surgess Gallen Crichton Fai
Pearce DCE NuBrown Hampton
BJ Scott Fuimaono Kelly
Munster Mansour Edwards Hayne Phythian

I guess nothing really needs to/should be done this week?

Shanbon wrote:Someone asked should they play Dufty this week, the question is will he be named, Id expect Duggan back

Yeah @Gardenchair gave me his gif approval haha.

But yes going forward i obviously mean if he plays etc. Glass jaw could use another weeks rest i reckon.

Pookus McFly wrote:My season was never going great, but relatively steady. I had at least stayed relatively injury free. I completed my gun 17 by round 16 and was sitting 689th with 6 trades to spare for the remaining 10 rounds. I thought it would be enough and I could at least push to top 500. Then I lost Graham, Vaughan (who I kept thankfully), Friend, Johnson, Merrin, Gutherson, Smith, Surgess over the next 4 rounds. Now I am rank 1016 with no trades and playing Smat as my 4th reserve. Weep for me, my brothers.

The force is strong brother.

I only have 2 trades left for the people who quoted me in the previous thread.

My reserves outside of the 17 are Elliot, Leilua, RTS and Fui. Decent depth so hopefully I can finish inside the top 100.

No Worries wrote:

Surely that's a typo ?



Still 26 weeks because of the stand alone SOO. So while not technically a bye it's still a week off for everyone not pocketing $30K which Cam Smith will no doubt complain about.

Technically its 27 weeks because of the rep round. But seriously it will be 24 weeks with 1 bye.
And that ain't no typo champ, (giving myself a pat on the back)

Surgess out Fifita in
Smat out - anyone one

oh wait, out of trades.


nevermind

Surgess to JTurbo isn't sideways is it?