2018 NRL.com Fantasy thread part 3

Showbag wrote:Guys, if anyone is keen to join my league, details below. Cheers
KN6PEEUA

I'm in bro.

2017 Latu was rubbish, only cracked 30 3 times, always from the bench.

In 2016, from round 7 onwards (mostly as a starter), he averaged 36.

You would want to be comfortable he'd hold down a starting spot on Wallace's return to take the punt.

Mucked around with my team looks rather different now.

Smith
Jbrom, Lodge
Harris, Murray, NAS
Jrey, Townsend
Aubbs, Milne
Coote, Teddy, Hiku

Welch
Lichaa
RFM
Arrow

Cartwright
Kikau
Kennar
Garvey

87k left over

C R O K E R. Please.

Archer wrote:C R O K E R. Please.

Thinking of putting toots in instead of Aubbs

Cheers White Lightning

Showbag wrote:Guys, if anyone is keen to join my league, details below. Cheers
KN6PEEUA

Haha, love the League name, in. There is a Codes thread as well if it doesn't fill.

Mighty Fishes wrote:Mucked around with my team looks rather different now.

Smith
Jbrom, Lodge
Harris, Murray, NAS
Jrey, Townsend
Aubbs, Milne
Coote, Teddy, Hiku

Welch
Lichaa
RFM
Arrow

Cartwright
Kikau
Kennar
Garvey

87k left over

What's your thinking with Coote?

mulvy wrote:

What's your thinking with Coote?

That he'll be in my team

Mighty Fishes wrote:


Thinking of putting toots in instead of Aubbs

Sorry, wasn't directed at your team haha. I meant lets spell it Croker not Crocker, I've been holding it in too long and the lack of caffeine and hot water this morning forced me to react this time.

Edit: As for the choice, i think I'd probably take Aubbs personally, just because I'd be a bit nervous as to what S.Williams and no Hodgson will do to the team and how that might impact Toots.

Nah he suffered with injuries and struggled a bit late in the year. I have a hunch with Thurston back he'll return some form and hes dirt cheap

Cheers SI just added it

Archer wrote:
Sorry, wasn't directed at your team haha. I meant lets spell it Croker not Crocker, I've been holding it in too long and the lack of caffeine and hot water this morning forced me to react this time.

Edit: As for the choice, i think I'd probably take Aubbs personally, just because I'd be a bit nervous as to what S.Williams and no Hodgson will do to the team and how that might impact Toots.

Yeah I think i'll stick with McHandsome and have toots in later when Hogdo is back

@Showbag In.
@Welshy if you want a flogging get in that league. Too lazy to set one up myself.

I have updated my solver sheet from last year to cater for 2018 prices and positions (also adds in DPP which wasn't there last year)

http://www.mediafire.com/file/xvp7mqx5m53bzua/2018_Team_Planner_v1.0.xlsx

For those who haven't used it, you change the Projection column from the default of 2017 average, and out what you think that player will average in 2018.

Then run the "solver" and it picks the most efficient 21 players for you.
It will only select from the 200 best players, which by default cuts off at an average of 31.

If you want it to consider more players than that then best to put in 0 for the projection of any player that you don't want in your team.



edit: and usage tip. Because it only looks at the top 200 players, it means it won't consider any cheap players for your team. Which means that its physically impossible for guys like Cam Smith to make your team, even if you project them to score 1000 points a week.
So to be useful at all you need to go through the first 150 or so players, and project a score of 0 for anyone who you don't want to consider for your team. And also put in a score projection for any cheapies that you think you might want. 
You need a decent amount of under $300k players to appear in the first 200 players when you sort by projected score, otherwise its picking from a very narrow range.
Unfortunately the solver tool can't handle calculating the score of all 450+ players
 

Without any modification, it picks this team, but no doubt with a bit of tweaking of the projections you can come up with better

Tony Williams	2RF
Nelson Asofa-Solomona	2RF
Shaun Fensom	2RF
Kenneath Bromwich	2RF
Joe Greenwood	2RF
Adam Elliot	2RF
Jesse Ramien	CTR
Cheyse Blair	CTR
Waqa Blake	CTR
Matthew Scott	FRF
Herman Ese'ese	FRF
Brodie Croft	HLF
Tyrone May	HLF
Mitch Rein	HOK
Victor Radley	HOK
Brandon Smith	HOK
Joey Lussick	HOK
Jahrome Hughes	WFB
Gideon Gela-Mosby	WFB
Blake Ferguson	WFB
Darius Boyd	WFB

Some people keen on Jarrod Croker because of his easy start to the year.

Raiders start the year with Titans, Knights, Warriors, Sea Eagles, Dogs

In 2017 his average against those teams was 39. His season average was 38.

Form chasing can be very risky. What happens if the Knights have improved a lot in the off-season and he can't rack up a massive score against them?

I'd seriously look at Tapine if he somehow secured a starting spot with decent minutes.  Maybe he could potentially take the lock role off Soliola?  Kid is a gun when he gets going and doesn't give away penalties.

Milchcow wrote:Some people keen on Jarrod Croker because of his easy start to the year.

Raiders start the year with Titans, Knights, Warriors, Sea Eagles, Dogs

In 2017 his average against those teams was 39. His season average was 38.

Form chasing can be very risky. What happens if the Knights have improved a lot in the off-season and he can't rack up a massive score against them?

I had J. Croker last year & he's a pussy & can't tackle for shit.

Keen for an avatar bet @Welshy ?

What does a Welsh fish look like??