2018 NRL.com Fantasy Thread Part 7

Mighty Fishes wrote:I just took Merrin out of my team half an hour ago to fit Mitchell in the centres.. Now I don't think I made the right choice..

Yeaaaaahhh... you didn't

@Archer

We usually disagree on most things

Your thoughts on NBrown?

Archer wrote:
Yeaaaaahhh... you didn't

Damn you Archer..

Welshy wrote:@Archer

We usually disagree on most things

Your thoughts on NBrown?

Ehhh. I've had him before but i just can't find myself getting excited about him, let me try this, convince me why i should be interested, because for me its a case of "yeah i suppose... but I'd rather do x"

Archer wrote:
Ehhh. I've had him before but i just can't find myself getting excited about him, let me try this, convince me why i should be interested, because for me its a case of "yeah i suppose... but I'd rather do x"

Priced around $760,000 (52* avg) name player x you would prefer?

When starting lock from R5 last year (discounting his 1 injury affect R11 when he got KTFO) Brown averaged 58 points )including the 2 finals games (20 games)

his base stats are 38 tackles and 165 RM (54.5 points)

Welshy wrote:

Priced around $760,000 (52* avg) name player x you would prefer?

When starting lock from R5 last year (discounting his 1 injury affect R11 when he got KTFO) Brown averaged 58 points )including the 2 finals games (20 games)

his base stats are 38 tackles and 165 RM (54.5 points)

But thats just what makes him ehh isn't it - IF he scores as he did at lock, hes slightly underpriced and i can get a little bit of value out of him and to be fair, he probably will score like that again.
So its low risk and low reward. But i'm tying up significant cash in him, which obviously has a knock on effect to the rest of my team. I just feel like i'd either prefer to find a bit (a lot) more cash and go for a bigger gun... or more likely, saving a bit of cash to spend elsewhere and going for something a bit more high risk high reward (eg Merrin, Whitehead etc).

But that's just my nature when starting i guess, i like a bit of risk (hence why i tend to pick the SJ's and Rapa's of the league as my guns), hell If i was to spend that kinda money on a punt I'd rather something like Fifi, J.Graham (or hell, Tolman maybe benefits from the Woods-Graham swap?) or Surgess. I can see why you'd be interested though     its the same reason you'll always be runner up to me

I guess what I'm saying is...:

Welshy wrote:


If I didn't have Brown I would probably have JTurbo, but I see more upside in Brown (+4 to 8 points) whereas I can't see JTurbo going to 60 points (+4) (making money and playing above his price)

Essentially I feel Brown can match/better JTurbo for less money and I owe Brown for being one of the only guys I had last year who didn't let me down!

Point taken, if I did not have JTurbo I would have Brown. I cannot get both as I have Mitchell and Duffy in my run on team and am loath
to remove either of them at this stage. I look at it and see nobody will take JTurbo's minutes but Parra seem more cluttered in that back row
and lets face it, Brown was a revelation last season. Can that battered and bruised body stand up to the same standard this time round?
I hope so as I enjoy watching him play but because he was so good last season there will be more pressure on him and they will mark him harder
as one of Parra's ball players. There is a fine line on the razor's edge Welshy.

Archer wrote:
But thats just what makes him ehh isn't it - IF he scores as he did at lock, hes slightly underpriced and i can get a little bit of value out of him and to be fair, he probably will score like that again.
So its low risk and low reward. But i'm tying up significant cash in him, which obviously has a knock on effect to the rest of my team. I just feel like i'd either prefer to find a bit (a lot) more cash and go for a bigger gun... or more likely, saving a bit of cash to spend elsewhere and going for something a bit more high risk high reward (eg Merrin, Whitehead etc).

But that's just my nature when starting i guess, i like a bit of risk (hence why i tend to pick the SJ's and Rapa's of the league as my guns), hell If i was to spend that kinda money on a punt I'd rather something like Fifi, J.Graham (or hell, Tolman maybe benefits from the Woods-Graham swap?) or Surgess. I can see why you'd be interested though     its the same reason you'll always be runner up to me

I guess what I'm saying is...:

Can Whitehead and Merrin even get back to where Brown is currently priced at? 52?

4 games at start of season where he started on interchange (new club) then averaged 58 from then on as a starter, i think the 58 points is more indicitive of his scoring than 52 so really his $760,000 starting price tag is cheap and his 58 average when in the fulltime role is better than that of

JTurbo
Taupau
and on par with Gallen and JDB both priced at $860,000 ($100,000 more)

Trajan wrote:

Point taken, if I did not have JTurbo I would have Brown. I cannot get both as I have Mitchell and Duffy in my run on team and am loath
to remove either of them at this stage. I look at it and see nobody will take JTurbo's minutes but Parra seem more cluttered in that back row
and lets face it, Brown was a revelation last season. Can that battered and bruised body stand up to the same standard this time round?
I hope so as I enjoy watching him play but because he was so good last season there will be more pressure on him and they will mark him harder
as one of Parra's ball players. There is a fine line on the razor's edge Welshy.

Reason I went Brown over Turbo is even if Brown fails to hit the heights of a 58 avg, and Turbo stays pat on his current average Brown is still cheaper than Turbo so I don't lose anything

like you say mate, its a real tough decision

Welshy wrote:

Can Whitehead and Merrin even get back to where Brown is currently priced at? 52?

4 games at start of season where he started on interchange (new club) then averaged 58 from then on as a starter, i think the 58 points is more indicitive of his scoring than 52 so really his $760,000 starting price tag is cheap and his 58 average when in the fulltime role is better than that of

JTurbo
Taupau
and on par with Gallen and JDB both priced at $860,000 ($100,000 more)

Well thats all dependent on whether or not YOU choose them isn't it? But yeah i agree they are possibly bigger risks, but i think both have the potential to be 50-55 point players and make me as much if not more than Brown, but with the an extra 100-150k to spend elsewhere and give my team a bit more balance. If say i went with Whitehead and Rapa over Teddy and Brown, I could have almost an extra 200k with a chance of getting the same amount of points. Of course it could go the other way, but... i like biscuits.... and bias.

Archer wrote:
Well thats all dependent on whether or not YOU choose them isn't it? But yeah i agree they are possibly bigger risks, but i think both have the potential to be 50-55 point players and make me as much if not more than Brown, but with the an extra 100-150k to spend elsewhere and give my team a bit more balance. If say i went with Whitehead and Rapa over Teddy and Brown, I could have almost an extra 200k with a chance of getting the same amount of points. Of course it could go the other way, but... i like biscuits.... and bias.

Its the same isn't it really

If Brown stays pat on 52 points then yes, but his stats last year show 58 is his average so paying 760,000 for a potential 860,000 player
Its the same as Whitehead and his 41 avg costing 604,000 with the potential to reach 760,000 (52 avg) could potentially make a bit more than Brown but less

just picking the right guys to elevate, like Whitehead over Rochow

I just took Brown out for Whitehead (if starting lock TLT) to see how else i could mould the team

Inglis getting CTR DPP before season would be lovely

Thoughts on my team
Lichaa
Lodge latu
Turbo brown merrin
Nikorima Cartwright
Taka hiku
Turbo ponga Thompson

Whitehead cook murray rfm
4 nuffies

Welshy wrote:

Its the same isn't it really

If Brown stays pat on 52 points then yes, but his stats last year show 58 is his average so paying 760,000 for a potential 860,000 player
Its the same as Whitehead and his 41 avg costing 604,000 with the potential to reach 760,000 (52 avg) could potentially make a bit more than Brown but less

just picking the right guys to elevate, like Whitehead over Rochow

I just took Brown out for Whitehead (if starting lock TLT) to see how else i could mould the team

Inglis getting CTR DPP before season would be lovely

Its kinda the same but i get a higher % return on my investment if Whitehead comes good. That and the extra cash may mean i can take another gamble on someone else. If i take this approach for a few guys then i get to have a whole heap of mid range gambles across my team rather than just a couple and then hoping for all my cheapies to come good

manlybeaver wrote:Thoughts on my team
Lichaa
Lodge latu
Turbo brown merrin
Nikorima Cartwright
Taka hiku
Turbo ponga Thompson

Whitehead cook murray rfm
4 nuffies

I mean I just talked about taking a heap of punts... but no Smith is one i can't bring myself to do, decent looking team though especially if the bets pay off

manlybeaver wrote:Thoughts on my team
Lichaa
Lodge latu
Turbo brown merrin
Nikorima Cartwright
Taka hiku
Turbo ponga Thompson

Whitehead cook murray rfm
4 nuffies

Biggest risk is no FRF depth. Weak centres too.
Do you think the strong 2RF makes up for that?

Milchcow wrote:

Biggest risk is no FRF depth. Weak centres too.
Do you think the strong 2RF makes up for that?

If things don't work out will just trade one of my 2rf for a frf and ctw I think majority of people will run weak there. I compare I bench to other teams posted I seem slightly stronger then most

my last starting front rower is giving me headaches i have lodge on the bench starting and latu as well not starting

i have 505800 left and dont want to change anywhere else to get more cash so my choices are

twal or alvaro and 100k cash in bank , finacune? or someone up to 505800
or start lodge and have latu starting in 17 as well and put kikau in and upgrade elsewhere

i have nicholls in second row as a dual with burgess , not many around this year

Archer having Smith just weakens my team to much hoping he doesn't come out scoring 70+

manlybeaver wrote:Archer having Smith just weakens my team to much hoping he doesn't come out scoring 70+

I mean i hear that my concern is just that i fail having to choose a captain each week, Smith... not so much. If you can ride that, more power to you as you get a massive chunk of cash freed up and there is possibly value in hooker as has been discussed.

mulvy wrote:

Well balanced. I like Alvaro but doesn't fit my side and talk of a big bench is scary but should go well. Biggest risks would be Watson, Hayne, Taka, GI and Arrow. They've all been in and out of my team but currently out. Will Arrow even get a start? Or at that price are you thinking that bench would be good enough and he would be first drop for injuries/suspension/form?

I'm not too concerned about Hayne and GI, they are guns, it won't take long for both of them to get back to form. Hopefully GI gets Dpp first round so I can move him to the CTR and play someone like Katoa or Thompson as my 3rd WFB (whichever newbie does well)
Watson should do OK once the Knights get their combos right. Taka is a bit of a risk, but I'm happy to take it in the CTRs. I might play Arrow as my 18th man come round 1 if he's not in the starting line up.