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    NRLFF community managed fantasy team

    Milchcow
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    Post by Milchcow Sat Jun 15, 2019 5:53 pm


    CNK to RTS is the only obvious trade for next week at this point.

    Maybe we'll look at AFB to a R16 player (perhaps Matterson/Twal depending on origin selection)

    Unless team lists/rep round throw up an obvious cash out I think we bring RTS in next week and then wait for R16 team lists to see what downgrades/upgrades we need.
    Rippin and Tearin
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    Post by Rippin and Tearin Sat Jun 15, 2019 6:30 pm

    Staggs wouldnt be a terrible option. I know he is more pricy, but we are going to have to change tack quite a bit anyway given cash generation changes.... But Im guessing its all getting a bit late... Probably best to leave it as is unless someone has time to put a poll to the group.

    I'd love to avoid the 5 from Xerri, but can see there's nothing obvious that jumps out!
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    Post by Milchcow Mon Jun 17, 2019 6:11 pm


    NRLFF community managed fantasy team - Page 30 Qdwqkq2
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    Post by Milchcow Mon Jun 17, 2019 6:15 pm


    Ranked 238, 8 trades left and $315k in the bank

    RTS in will be one trade this week, likely for CNK, possibly for Sivo

    Any other ideas floating around.
    We want to have cash to bring Cook in post origin - possibly for Xerri which means we need to have access to around $400k.


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    Post by Rippin and Tearin Mon Jun 17, 2019 6:39 pm

    Name (BE)

    CNK (59)
    Sivo (34)
    Havili (18)

    So seems like CNK to RTS for one trade this week.

    With 4 trades at our disposal next week, and at best only 4 guys wed be trading out, seems like a pretty simple week of trades to be honest!
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    Post by Guest Mon Jun 17, 2019 6:56 pm

    I like CNK to RTS
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    Post by DESERT EAGLES Thu Jun 20, 2019 10:48 am

    Am thinking CNK to RTS next week and probablly not making any more trades for round 16. No one appeals other than perhaps Lattrell if not re-picked for origin as he may go big. I'm short of anyone I want to trade out. Only other trade I am thinking of is Turbo in for Havili after round 17 and then my team is set for the run home. At this stage I am thinking to keep Matterson who I have had from the start rather than bring in Jurbo. Is Jurbo essential for the run home this year when others have a similar average?
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    Post by Milchcow Tue Jun 25, 2019 5:13 pm


    Team as it stands

    Smith
    AFB Haas
    Murray Taumalolo Taupau
    Milf Ponga
    Nikora Bateman
    Tedesco Sivo CNK

    McInnes
    Taukeiaho
    Watson
    Fifita

    Havili
    Xerri
    Staggs
    Brittain


    Assuming no late outs we have 16 good scorers, and we can use Fifita to loop between 2 of Havili/Xerri/Staggs

    With 8 trades left I don't think we can afford to ditch Fifita.

    $315k in the bank

    CNK/Sivo to RTS makes sense for 1 trade.

    If we make another trade it's probably Havili to go out but I'm not sure who it would be for.
    We can't afford a proper gun, and I'd rather wait a week for a cashout to make sure we get someone playing.

    Not sure there are any mid rangers out there in a position like Watson of a couple rounds ago.

    I think hold a week and then Sivo+Havili to cash out + gun

    Any other ideas?
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    Post by Milchcow Tue Jun 25, 2019 5:15 pm


    Burns is 422k.

    Is he worth it as a cashout/emergency CTR/WFB cover for the run home?

    Doubt we'll be able to profit from any cash he makes, so he'd be a bit on the expensive side for a cashout, but probably acceptable points for 18th/19th man for the run home, assuming he picks up where he left off
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    Post by multiple.scoregasms Tue Jun 25, 2019 5:22 pm

    I like trading Sivo over CNK. The try scoring run has to come to an end and I prefer a fullback for points stability. Unless we want to move on Havili I'm pretty happy with just the 1 trade
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    Post by Milchcow Tue Jun 25, 2019 6:04 pm


    I think we want to trade both CNK and Sivo by next week - so I guess the decision is who will score most this week and next, and who will make the most cash in the next 2 weeks.

    CNK going to drop more cash than Sivo, but might score more points
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    Post by Guest Tue Jun 25, 2019 6:20 pm

    Whoever we pick to trade out will score 70

    I vote to punt CNK due to the cash bleed
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    Post by Welshy Tue Jun 25, 2019 6:23 pm

    Way i would usually look at it, CNK form dip, shown flashes of being borderline WFB keeper early season so he is due a return to form

    Sivo, can't keep scoring tries, but been saying that since R8
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    Post by code delta Tue Jun 25, 2019 7:45 pm

    Verbal Kint wrote:

    I vote to punt CNK due to the cash bleed

    My thought also.
    One trade this week as a wait and see option
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    Post by Rippin and Tearin Wed Jun 26, 2019 6:58 am

    Rippin and Tearin wrote:Name (BE)

    CNK (59)
    Sivo (34)
    Havili (18)

    So seems like CNK to RTS for one trade this week.

    With 4 trades at our disposal next week, and at best only 4 guys wed be trading out, seems like a pretty simple week of trades to be honest!

    Worth reposting this. Unless we are going on hunches, or matchups, the clear out is CNK based on the numbers.

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    Post by Milchcow Wed Jun 26, 2019 7:50 am

    Rippin and Tearin wrote:Name (BE)

    CNK (59)
    Sivo (34)
    Havili (18)

    So seems like CNK to RTS for one trade this week.

    With 4 trades at our disposal next week, and at best only 4 guys wed be trading out, seems like a pretty simple week of trades to be honest!


    Worth reposting this. Unless we are going on hunches, or matchups, the clear out is CNK based on the numbers.


    I think you can make a case that CNK will score more than Sivo this week, and its possible the cash difference will be close enough as to not be that critical.


    If for some reason mass injuries force us to hold on to one of CNK/Sivo longer term I'd also rather have CNK in my team.
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    Post by Rippin and Tearin Wed Jun 26, 2019 8:03 am

    Before we trade next week we will absolutely need to come up with a 2 week plan IMO. I’ve had a bit of a play today, and Im going round in circles a bit to be honest – would love to see how others see this going, although perhaps its better to wait a week. For what its worth though:

    We have taken a massive hit on cash making of late so here’s my revised weekly update of where I see our team could go. I’m assuming we go CNK to RTS this round which ill leave 7 Trades and $216k.

    At a minimum the guys we will presumably trade out:
    Sivo (Round 16 - 525k),
    Havili (Round 16 - 445k)
    Xerri (535k - round 17)
    Watson (700k round 17)

    Trading those guys out means we need to pick up a WFB or Half prior to round 17 and Im assuming we will definitely want Cook.

    The key decision therefore becomes, who do we get in as that WFB/Half ? Do you go SJ for a cheap option who plays 16, or do you stump up the cash for a TTrbo/Munster type guy? Or both.

    The numbers (historical averages vs current price) suggest SJ would be the way to go so I’ll roll with that for now. The trouble is that basically forces you into three trades in 16 if you want to get a Matterson type guy for 16 as well.

    Sivo to SJ (round 16 cost $25k)
    AFB to Matterson (round 16 $80k)
    Havili to cash out (round 16 -$200k)

    Leaves ~$310k in the bank prior to 17.

    Watson to Cook (round 17 cost $135k)

    Leaves ~$170k, 3 trades left and no half/wfb back up. Team would be:

    Cook
    Fifita Haas
    Murray, Lolo, Matterson
    Milford, SJ
    Nikora, Bateman
    Teddy, RTS, Ponga

    CS9, CM9, SST, Taupau
    Xerri, Staggs, cash out, Brittain

    I guess at that point you re-evaluate SJ and see what makes sense. Trouble is, Xerri + $170k doesn’t get you TTrbo/JTrbo/Munster – rather it gets you ARey/Cleary/Klemmer type guys.

    TLDR – we are in a tough spot – probably best to just do the one trade this week (CNK to RTS?), but then seriously figure out a 2 week plan to make sure we get things right when we trade in round 16!

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    Post by Rippin and Tearin Wed Jun 26, 2019 9:12 am

    Milchy wrote:



    I think you can make a case that CNK will score more than Sivo this week, and its possible the cash difference will be close enough as to not be that critical.


    If for some reason mass injuries force us to hold on to one of CNK/Sivo  longer term  I'd also rather have CNK in my team.

    I think you can make any case as a one off, particularly when it comes to WFBs.

    IMO the trouble we have right now is cash generation.... Any money we lose now, becomes a sacrifice down the line. Because we still have over 10 rounds left, 10-20 points this week will be dwarfed by what $20 - 30k extra lost this week would mean over the season. The reality is the bigger chance for lost money is CNK.

    Given I think its highly unlikely we keep CNK for the long haul I feel the safer play is dump CNK this week.







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    Post by DESERT EAGLES Wed Jun 26, 2019 9:35 am

    I traded out Sivo some weeks ago. CNK for RTS is one of my trades this week as he is bleeding too much cash and I do not think he will score as consistently as others from here. Cash is going to be a problem in getting in Turbo and I only have 2 halves, one of which is Cleary, who I want to keep for the run home. I only have 9 trades. Therefore, in order to generate cash and have a backup half I am selling Havili early this week for Dylan Brown, which leaves me $1 short to get Turbo rather than RTS this week.
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    Post by Milchcow Wed Jun 26, 2019 9:50 am

    Rippin and Tearin wrote:
    Trading those guys out means we need to pick up a WFB or Half prior to round 17 and Im assuming we will definitely want Cook.

    The key decision therefore becomes, who do we get in as that WFB/Half ? Do you go SJ for a cheap option who plays 16, or do you stump up the cash for a TTrbo/Munster type guy? Or both.

    The numbers (historical averages vs current price) suggest SJ would be the way to go so I’ll roll with that for now. The trouble is that basically forces you into three trades in 16 if you want to get a Matterson type guy for 16 as well.

    Sivo to SJ (round 16 cost $25k)
    AFB to Matterson (round 16 $80k)
    Havili to cash out (round 16 -$200k)


    Simple change is to go Twal instead of Matterson. similar points for $85k less.

    I think SJ is a must at his price to cover the halves. $200k less than all the other top halves.

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