by Rippin and Tearin Wed Jun 26, 2019 8:03 am
Before we trade next week we will absolutely need to come up with a 2 week plan IMO. I’ve had a bit of a play today, and Im going round in circles a bit to be honest – would love to see how others see this going, although perhaps its better to wait a week. For what its worth though:
We have taken a massive hit on cash making of late so here’s my revised weekly update of where I see our team could go. I’m assuming we go CNK to RTS this round which ill leave 7 Trades and $216k.
At a minimum the guys we will presumably trade out:
Sivo (Round 16 - 525k),
Havili (Round 16 - 445k)
Xerri (535k - round 17)
Watson (700k round 17)
Trading those guys out means we need to pick up a WFB or Half prior to round 17 and Im assuming we will definitely want Cook.
The key decision therefore becomes, who do we get in as that WFB/Half ? Do you go SJ for a cheap option who plays 16, or do you stump up the cash for a TTrbo/Munster type guy? Or both.
The numbers (historical averages vs current price) suggest SJ would be the way to go so I’ll roll with that for now. The trouble is that basically forces you into three trades in 16 if you want to get a Matterson type guy for 16 as well.
Sivo to SJ (round 16 cost $25k)
AFB to Matterson (round 16 $80k)
Havili to cash out (round 16 -$200k)
Leaves ~$310k in the bank prior to 17.
Watson to Cook (round 17 cost $135k)
Leaves ~$170k, 3 trades left and no half/wfb back up. Team would be:
Cook
Fifita Haas
Murray, Lolo, Matterson
Milford, SJ
Nikora, Bateman
Teddy, RTS, Ponga
CS9, CM9, SST, Taupau
Xerri, Staggs, cash out, Brittain
I guess at that point you re-evaluate SJ and see what makes sense. Trouble is, Xerri + $170k doesn’t get you TTrbo/JTrbo/Munster – rather it gets you ARey/Cleary/Klemmer type guys.
TLDR – we are in a tough spot – probably best to just do the one trade this week (CNK to RTS?), but then seriously figure out a 2 week plan to make sure we get things right when we trade in round 16!