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Iron Mike wrote:
If Holland starts and kicks (no Martin), will he be a better choice than an 80 minute Capewell? Form from the back end of the year quite often does not translate to good scores the following year.
Bulldogs start with Warriors (A), Eels and Tigers (A) so not a bad opening draw.
Iron Mike wrote:Since goal kickers seem to get the rave around here I wanted to have a look at halves that are now kicking for their team but didn't for the majority of the year last year. I could only come up with two.
Ash Taylor and potentially Jake Clifford.
Come to think of it if Michael Gordon ain't at fullback and given the Titans hopefully will have less injuries this year maybe Ash Taylor can rise to near keeper status.
For some reason Michael Morgan ain't filling me with much confidence.
mattnz wrote:
He ranks poorly, with a 13, despite giving him a 9 point head start on his current price point, assuming he averages 35 on the wing.
The key things that count against him in my ranking system are:
1. Doesn't play the first bye
2. Won't be a keeper, so would require a trade at some point
3. Place in the side isn't guaranteed. Ryan Hall is highly rated and could take his spot when back from injury
4. Relies on form change, not increased minutes
5. Not dual position
I did give him a bonus point for playing in the Roosters vs last year at Dogs.
Highly owned players that scored poorly in my ranking system that I won't be playing this season:
Morgan (+9 undervalued, scored 13) - Origin player so no byes, not a keeper, relies on form change, not dual position
Gillett (+12 undervalued, scored 13) - Uncertain minutes to start the season, not a keeper at 2RF even at 50 points, Origin Player so no byes, not dual position,coming back from a serious injury
Bird (+14 undervalued, scored 13) - Relies on form change, not a keeper even at 35 points, not dual, doesn't play Bye 1. This is on the assumption he gets back to scoring like he did in 2016 (35 average, that I have valued him at) and 2017 (33 average) vs 2018 form (21 average).
Iron Mike wrote:
If Holland starts and kicks (no Martin), will he be a better choice than an 80 minute Capewell? Form from the back end of the year quite often does not translate to good scores the following year.
Bulldogs start with Warriors (A), Eels and Tigers (A) so not a bad opening draw.
Milchy wrote:
Corey Allen named at fullback in Souths trial team
Its pretty much a reserve grade team, which would suggest he is not being considered as a first grade starter at this point
https://wwos.nine.com.au/nrl/nrl-wayne-bennett-south-sydney-rabbitohs-trial-team-revealed/9e39a5a9-63a4-4c49-9203-8fb9cf0e29af
1. Corey Allan
2. Mawene Hiroti
3. Campbell Graham
4. Jacob Gagan
5. Cory Denniss
6. Dean Hawkins
7. Connor Tracey
8. Junior Tatolo
9. Billy Brittain
10. Kurt Dillon
11. Jack Johns
12. Bayley Sironen
13. Lucky Tavale
Bench
14. Rhys Kennedy
15. Trent Peoples
16. Keaon Koloamatangi
17. Tarquin Butler
18. Kye Rodwell
No shock on Wighton, was first picked in my team. His comments about defence is part of the reason. The papa stuff is a bit surprising, I guess though there was some article recently that said tarps would be in the middle this year so that lines up with that.bluetige wrote:Some Raiders news going about this morning on NRL.com and Foxsports
Papali says "I’ve been training on the left and the right [edges] and at lock as well. You never know with Sticky [coach Ricky Stuart] – I might end up on the wing.
and in a different article
Jack Wighton has confirmed he’ll be partnering Aidan Sezer in the halves for the Green Machine in 2019.
The Raiders long-term fullback will switch to five-eighth, with Ricky Stuart hoping his dangerous running game will complement Sezer’s game management.
Archer wrote:
No shock on Wighton, was first picked in my team. His comments about defence is part of the reason. The papa stuff is a bit surprising, I guess though there was some article recently that said tarps would be in the middle this year so that lines up with that.
Assuming left edge papa, that would put him back with Croker and Cotric, with I guess Smelly joining leipana again (or leifield/oldlua for the first half of the year) and bato at lock perhaps. Could get on board with that.
Archer wrote:The papa stuff is a bit surprising, I guess though there was some article recently that said tarps would be in the middle this year so that lines up with that.
Verbal Kint wrote:
Tarquin? Those parents are cruel
Milchy wrote:
Corey Allen named at fullback in Souths trial team
Its pretty much a reserve grade team, which would suggest he is not being considered as a first grade starter at this point
https://wwos.nine.com.au/nrl/nrl-wayne-bennett-south-sydney-rabbitohs-trial-team-revealed/9e39a5a9-63a4-4c49-9203-8fb9cf0e29af
1. Corey Allan
2. Mawene Hiroti
3. Campbell Graham
4. Jacob Gagan
5. Cory Denniss
6. Dean Hawkins
7. Connor Tracey
8. Junior Tatolo
9. Billy Brittain
10. Kurt Dillon
11. Jack Johns
12. Bayley Sironen
13. Lucky Tavale
Bench
14. Rhys Kennedy
15. Trent Peoples
16. Keaon Koloamatangi
17. Tarquin Butler
18. Kye Rodwell
Rapture_NRL wrote:
Doesn't Bird and Morgan make the cut simply for money making? Literally the whole point of the first half of the season. If Bird scores 35+ he'll peak at $230k worth of price rises
Milchy wrote:
Goalkicking Holland probably a bit better than Capewell.
He has form going back 3 years, its only some low minute interchange games that have him cheap this year.
Capewell is also tempting, but has Aubbs like job security. Might lose his spot (if he even gets it to start with) when Graham returns, but that is far enough into the season not to be a major concern. If it does happen ideally can just switch to Mitchell/Marsters/gun option
Haha cheers, I'll find a new one as procrastination between job searches then.Mulvy wrote:
Archer mate, you've worn that long enough.
Chewie wrote:How many keepers do you have in your team? What do you see as a good ration betweeen keepers and cows?
mattnz wrote:
Not for me. I have another starting half that I see as better value, despite less points differential. One of the hard things to do is to spend all your cash on the right guns that have upside potential and you can keep them all year. In round 12 the gun that is starting gets an extra 50 points that Morgan doesn't, making up an extra 4 points average over the first 12 rounds. On that basis they are more undervalued than Morgan is.
Morgan also costs a trade to upgrade ahead of round 12.
In Birds position I can get the same points differential with less risk and have keepers for the season, not relying on form change, just continuation of the form shown previously.
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