NRL Fantasy 2019 Part 12

rhinoceroo wrote:

I have him, but it feels like a gamble. Average when he was an edge player was not great, but he's a different player now. Think he'll see some time in the middle but not sure he'll play 80 with Scott/McLean/McGuire/Cooper/Hess to accomodate, and even if he does he won't be taking 2 or 3 hit ups a set like he did in 2017. But the prospect of him running over halfbacks is delicious.

I feel it's less of a gamble going with someone like Taumololo than trying to pick two midrangers that may go well. I'm trying to tailor my side to players that break tackles because it's such a favourable statistic for fantasy.

Fifita, Taupau, Taumololo. Looks good. Maybe might try find some room for Tapine too.

Why is it a downside for Matterson if he is moving to a team not as good the the Roosters.

Jake Trbojevic, Martin Taupau, Nathan Brown, Robbie Farah were all in the top 10 averaging forwards last year and all missed the 8.
Of the 11-20th ranked forwards,only Tohu Harris played finals.

Elliott Whitehead, Gavin Cooper, Lachlan Fitzgibbon, Shaun Lane all scored a lot of tries as 2nd rowers last year and all missed the 8.

So if you say that Ryan Matterson has moved to a weaker team, my only question is "So what?"

if anything being a better forward in a weaker pack would lead to more fantasy output, not less.


11-20 were Ryan James, Rhys Martin, Daniel Alvaro, Manase Fainu, Jai Arrow, Lachlan Fitzgibbon, Tohu Harris, Aiden Guerra, Josh Papalii, Joseph Tapine

Finally have a team i am happy with!

Watch the teamlists ruin that

My 2RF currently sits at Arrow, Murray, Garner

It feels light though. Missing out on guys like Matterson, TPJ, Lane, Whitehead feels significant for some reason.

As the pre season has gone on my team has evolved from a lot of midrangers to a Gun/Cow team.

My only players between $341K and $571K is Holland at centre and Mahoney at hooker.

Iron Mike wrote:

No, in the financial industry so love the numbers side of it, but feel I understand the game well and have a good eye. It's all about minimizing risk really. I mean I could go get I Papali'i and Niukore for the price of Taumololo and Sele, but I save myself 1 trade for starters and Sele probably makes just as much money as the other two collectively.

Sele will play a few games until Kikau is back and that is if he is even there come TLT. Papalii is a busy young hungry forward who will see 50 minutes at lock or close to 80 on an edge. Mid ranger who will push 50’s. Niukore will see a lot longer on the edge with Mau out long term compared to Kikau. Plus terepo being stood down; he and lane will see big minutes. I think these two have a greater chance to score more and make more than Tolo and Sele IMO

Milchy wrote:
Why is it a downside for Matterson if he is moving to a team not as good the the Roosters.

Jake Trbojevic, Martin Taupau, Nathan Brown, Robbie Farah were all in the top 10 averaging forwards last year and all missed the 8.
Of the 11-20th ranked forwards,only Tohu Harris played finals.

Elliott Whitehead, Gavin Cooper, Lachlan Fitzgibbon, Shaun Lane all scored a lot of tries as 2nd rowers last year and all missed the 8.

So if you say that Ryan Matterson has moved to a weaker team, my only question is "So what?"

if anything being a better forward in a weaker pack would lead to more fantasy output, not less.


11-20 were Ryan James, Rhys Martin, Daniel Alvaro, Manase Fainu, Jai Arrow, Lachlan Fitzgibbon, Tohu Harris, Aiden Guerra, Josh Papalii, Joseph Tapine

When we filter out Matterson's scores in the 2nd row last year to only look at games where he played more than 70 minutes, his average jumps up to almost 55.
If Matterson is moving to a team with a weaker forward pack, he would (you would think) be more likely to be asked to play those big minutes, and have less pressure coming off the bench to sub him. I don't think the Tiger's switch will hurt him either.

EDIT: His average as starting 2RF playing 70+ minutes is 59. His average playing 60+ minutes is 54.

Matterson will play 80 more often than not, i have no real doubts about that. Would love to pick him, can't really fit him in. Heart is set on Arrow + Murray there.

Milchy wrote:
Why is it a downside for Matterson if he is moving to a team not as good the the Roosters.

Jake Trbojevic, Martin Taupau, Nathan Brown, Robbie Farah were all in the top 10 averaging forwards last year and all missed the 8.
Of the 11-20th ranked forwards,only Tohu Harris played finals.

Elliott Whitehead, Gavin Cooper, Lachlan Fitzgibbon, Shaun Lane all scored a lot of tries as 2nd rowers last year and all missed the 8.

So if you say that Ryan Matterson has moved to a weaker team, my only question is "So what?"

if anything being a better forward in a weaker pack would lead to more fantasy output, not less.


11-20 were Ryan James, Rhys Martin, Daniel Alvaro, Manase Fainu, Jai Arrow, Lachlan Fitzgibbon, Tohu Harris, Aiden Guerra, Josh Papalii, Joseph Tapine

Good point, I will take that on the chin, maybe I was meaning the cronk-less factor. I feel the clunky-ness of the Tigers halves will present less opportunities potentially. Other than not, not the worse pick, just feel a lot of 80 min edge second rowers struggle to get an average much more than 50. So at a price of 46, I don't see as much upside as others. Add HIA issues, the fact that everyone should have Garner, and he won't spend anytime in the middle I would imagine I am avoiding at this stage.

I'm more worried about Matterson taking months to come back from being hit in the head by a football than I am by his scores over 70+ minutes, tbh.

I remember wanting to buy Niukore last year but didn't do it.

I regretted that hugely

rhinoceroo wrote:I'm more worried about Matterson taking months to come back from being hit in the head by a football than I am by his scores over 70+ minutes, tbh.

That is a concern.

Torn on wether Munster is worth it??

Does Morgan/Brown + 455k beat out Munster/Morgan??

Liverpool_Bulldog wrote:Torn on wether Munster is worth it??

Does Morgan/Brown + 455k beat out Munster/Morgan??

I'd only get Munster if you think he is a keeper.
If you think he is, he's cheep for a keeper.

Liverpool_Bulldog wrote:Torn on wether Munster is worth it??

Does Morgan/Brown + 455k beat out Munster/Morgan??

You'll have Morgan + Brown in your squad anyway

So who would you have instead of Munster in the first option?

t's the 2019 NRL league ladder predictor competition. List where you think teams will finish on the ladder at the end of round 26 from 1 - 16. You score 1 point for every ladder position your selection is out by. eg. You select Rooster's at 1, but Uncle Nick loses his cheque book and Moley finds it. They finish 16 due to salary cap rorting then you score 15 points. Picking the ladder would result in a perfect score of 0. So it's the lowest score that wins. As with all NRL FF competitions no expense has been spared on prizes or in this case prize. It's winner takes all, first past the post, 2nd is just another name for the 1st loser. This year as is every year's grand prize, will be a bi-line under your avatar stating you are the reigning champion. For the last 3 years (it's starting to weird me out) the winner has taken the honours with a score of 48. Can you beat it ?


https://www.nrlfantasyfanatics.com/t827-2019-ladder-predictor

Vanish wrote:

When we filter out Matterson's scores in the 2nd row last year to only look at games where he played more than 70 minutes, his average jumps up to almost 55.
If Matterson is moving to a team with a weaker forward pack, he would (you would think) be more likely to be asked to play those big minutes, and have less pressure coming off the bench to sub him. I don't think the Tiger's switch will hurt him either.

EDIT: His average playing 70+ minutes is 59. His average playing 60+ minutes is 54.

So what you are telling me is that he is pretty much as good as Angus Chricton. Case closed. Good luck.

how long is cnk going to last...will he be left out of the 17 when rapana returns??

Papali'i stood down for the Warriors for Round 1 for unknown reasons.