NRL Fantasy 2019 Part 18

Chewie wrote:

Yeah Wolfie go with your gut!
There's some great advice on here, but not always the right advice for everyone's team. Good luck in getting into the elite this season!

Iron Mike wrote:As you were, if you are listening, for the 50th time, Lawrie>Host, job security, points, everything, no questions asked.
At full strength Lawrie could stay at Lock with Sims on bench and Friz on edge, Host may not even make bench over Leilua. Lawrie will always at least play 40 on bench.

https://www.nrl.com/news/2019/03/19/throwback-forward-the-coffee-invitation-driving-st-george-illawarras-blake-lawrie/

Iron Mike wrote:As you were, if you are listening, for the 50th time, Lawrie>Host, job security, points, everything, no questions asked.
At full strength Lawrie could stay at Lock with Sims on bench and Friz on edge, Host may not even make bench over Leilua. Lawrie will always at least play 40 on bench.

/

CubanMafiaSandSlugs wrote:I wouldn't be surprised to see Meaney come in at fullback for Dogs and Hoppa move back to centre to firm things up a bit. Montoya was awful and caught out numerous times, but admittedly so was Holland. I think 3 out of his 5 missed tackles was RTS shimmying and leaving him in his dust, to set up a try!
Holland is a definite hold though. And maybe RTS score was overstated due to the ease in which he scored his points.

I'm not surprised to see the various ludicrous annual pre-round-2 trades being thrown around as people jostle and knee-jerk after 1 round and not much context. Re-shuffling entire team and sacrificing guns to bring in relatively unknown players who've hit a good score.  

There are a couple of obvious trade ins and outs. But aside that, I think we all need to remember it's round 1 where almost every game was played in the pouring rain. One score isn't enough to make season long decisions off. We need at least 3-4 weeks to see how things pan out.

In saying that, it's vitally important to make quick cash early on to progress your team towards 18/19 guns as quickly as possible ready for the run in. So there is a balance which needs to be met.

Anyway, my two bobs.

Crazy trade out suggestions I've seen IMO:  Edwards, Arrow, Taupau, Cherry Evans, Johnson, Tedesco, Burns, Lane, Holland.

Breathe everyone. It's round 1.

Dttragic2016 wrote:My two cents on the host v Lawrie debate.
Their team when ksims and friz are back should be
Tsims and Friz on the edges, ksims at lock.
Lawrie Latimore Dufty leilua/host on the bench.

If Lawrie is part of the middle rotation, he's fighting for mins with Vaughan Graham ksims and latimore.
If there are 240 mins to go around here, he should be able to nab around 40 mins and therefore closer to 35 points long term as he's shown a great ppm so far.

On top of that you get atleast a week if not a few more by friz missing in the fwd rotation of some potential 40 plus scores too.

Host had 38 tackles on the weekend on the edge and from memory that's a massive outlier. He is cheaper, DPP and has more security of a starting spot but leilua did play well in the finals series and host historically hasn't been a high workrate player.

TLDR, Lawrie over Host based on workrate/reliability

Camo123 wrote:Who are people starting in the Keighran v Brown roulette this week (Brown v Dogs & Keighran v Tigers)

Keighran obviously has GK bonus but it might be a tight game, whereas if Dogs defence is as non-existent as it was last week, Brown being the running half might lead to a good score

Chewie wrote:I feel like the fantasy Force is on my side after this weekend
After the Tigers game on the weekend I decided to drop Kahu, so I could get Garner's score of 58 (55 after updates). I brought in Josh Kerr as a bottom dollar non-player, and moved Dylan Brown into my EMG.
This resulted in getting 55 points instead of DBrowns 30 points, not getting Kahu's average score, and after Frizz's injury likely having Josh Kerr playing this week.

wolfking wrote:My team;

Macca
Fifita Taupau
Murray Arrow Radley
Morgan Brown
Nikora Holland
Borris CNK Edwards

Mahoney Capewell Burns Garner

Keighan Garrick Sivo Rava

I'm going to try and take a different approach this year.  I've never done that well in fantasy.  Last year I ranked 700 odd and the two years before that hovered around 500 odd.  I never seem to hit that elite level.  Since I don't have too much time this year with work commitments, I will try the approach of gut instincts and rolling with my initial thoughts.  This forum is brilliant and I love coming here every day, it's a perfect escape from this mortal coil, but I have been the victim of going with the crowd so many times.  This is not intended to have a go at the forum or anyone here.  A lot of the time it works, other times it doesn't.  I'll happily accept any feedback with my team and trades but going to try and limit asking for opinions, unless I'm genuinely stuck.  Granted most trades will probably be on the level and same thinking as everyone else, but I want to try and avoid that last minute change of players by persuasion unless it's my own.

This week I have enough to go;

Garrick to Bird/Host/Lawrie
Radley to Bateman.  

I'm thinking Bird but should go a forward since I have so many backs.  I have faith in Holland and Edwards but Radley was one I just didn't feel right about starting with.  Bateman was one I wanted to take a punt on but wussed out and he looked the goods.

In relation to the Dragons debate, I think Host is probably a safer option even though he's a shittier player and scorer.  Sims back you would think would take the lock position moving Lawrie to the bench.  Host is obviously a edge forward and Lawrie a middle forward, so Lawrie seems riskier.  I don't see JDB coming back anytime soon and who knows with Friz.  Host does seem to have a coulple more weeks in him, but Leilua scares me also, but he's been pretty shit from what he's been doing IMO.  But also, who knows, if Friz comes back early both might be moved to the bench and Sims starts at lock and Friz back on a edge, who knows.  Bird seems like the best option for me as he's got job security and if last week is anything to go by, could be playable enough with great money making potential.

Chewie wrote:I feel like the fantasy Force is on my side after this weekend
After the Tigers game on the weekend I decided to drop Kahu, so I could get Garner's score of 58 (55 after updates). I brought in Josh Kerr as a bottom dollar non-player, and moved Dylan Brown into my EMG.
This resulted in getting 55 points instead of DBrowns 30 points, not getting Kahu's average score, and after Frizz's injury likely having Josh Kerr playing this week.

Ponga Yeo the Mann wrote:

You owe the friz a testicle mate

Rapture_NRL wrote:

Me neither Wolfie. Only cracked sub 1000 once lol who am I to give advice

Dttragic2016 wrote:My two cents on the host v Lawrie debate.
Their team when ksims and friz are back should be
Tsims and Friz on the edges, ksims at lock.
Lawrie Latimore Dufty leilua/host on the bench.

If Lawrie is part of the middle rotation, he's fighting for mins with Vaughan Graham ksims and latimore.
If there are 240 mins to go around here, he should be able to nab around 40 mins and therefore closer to 35 points long term as he's shown a great ppm so far.

On top of that you get atleast a week if not a few more by friz missing in the fwd rotation of some potential 40 plus scores too.

Host had 38 tackles on the weekend on the edge and from memory that's a massive outlier. He is cheaper, DPP and has more security of a starting spot but leilua did play well in the finals series and host historically hasn't been a high workrate player.

TLDR, Lawrie over Host based on workrate/reliability

GreenMachine wrote:
Ride the wave Chewbacca because there’s always one around the corner in this game to dunk and tumble you to near drowning point. That one hit Rabs last week I think!