NRL Fantasy 2019 Part 18

White Lightning wrote:

Trading in 1 gun & 1 cow is fine. Just go Lawrie & Gillett/Bateman.

I've only got 78k ITB after the garrick to lawrie trade. meaning i really can't upgrade holland to anyone just yet with that cash. So with, this thinking of doing kahu to host. Who gains more cash out of kahu or host.

Who would you go out of Host or Bird? Bird probably better job security long term and probably more chance to post a high score through some tries. Host cheaper and low BE but not sure about his job security. Would love to keep Hollan for one more week but i just see Doggies getting owned again and him not doing much. Holland to Lawrie for some cash then Garrick to Host/Bird for some flow.

I think Bateman will settle around 45-50 and will be a good trade before round 17 for the final team. These two trades will give me some bank (Host more than Bird) and hopefully allow me to settle on trades for a couple weeks with the cash flow.

Pain wrote:

Wondering how Batemans body will hold up in the NRL.

He will be fine mate, he's durable and will play hurt anyway

I would expect to see him move to and edge though at some point

churg wrote:
I've only got 78k ITB after the garrick to lawrie trade. meaning i really can't upgrade holland to anyone just yet with that cash. So with, this thinking of doing kahu to host. Who gains more cash out of kahu or host.

Host will

StormTrooper96 wrote:Who would you go out of Host or Bird? Bird probably better job security long term and probably more chance to post a high score through some tries. Host cheaper and low BE but not sure about his job security. Would love to keep Hollan for one more week but i just see Doggies getting owned again and him not doing much. Holland to Lawrie for some cash then Garrick to Host/Bird for some flow.

I think Bateman will settle around 45-50 and will be a good trade before round 17 for the final team. These two trades will give me some bank (Host more than Bird) and hopefully allow me to settle on trades for a couple weeks with the cash flow.

Bird for sure. Actually looked the goods fantasy wise and Host and his 38 tackles more of an anomaly I reckon!

Trades for the week.

Napa to Lawrie locked in.

What I do with Holland not so much.
A) Trade to Bateman. 27k left over.
B) Downgrade Holland to some cheapie. Shift Bird from EMG to CTR and bank the cash for a rainy day.
C) Just hold him and hope for the best.

Welshy wrote:

Bird for sure. Actually looked the goods fantasy wise and Host and his 38 tackles more of an anomaly I reckon!

Thanks for the input mate, i think you have swayed me.

StormTrooper96 wrote:Who would you go out of Host or Bird? Bird probably better job security long term and probably more chance to post a high score through some tries. Host cheaper and low BE but not sure about his job security. Would love to keep Hollan for one more week but i just see Doggies getting owned again and him not doing much. Holland to Lawrie for some cash then Garrick to Host/Bird for some flow.

I think Bateman will settle around 45-50 and will be a good trade before round 17 for the final team. These two trades will give me some bank (Host more than Bird) and hopefully allow me to settle on trades for a couple weeks with the cash flow.

I would go Bird for sure. Tactically it's also a good move due to Bird's 39.7% ownership.

Welshy wrote:

If you want Bateman find another way to get him in. Arrow is a gun. and underpriced for his projected output as well

Bateman has played 1 NRL game, if he had scored 45 would you be classing him as potential for 2RF gun then?

you are a top fantasy player and didn't think this sort of move would be in your MO mate

Thanks for the compliment

My MO is to fix my pre-season team early. If you'd given me the option pre-season of having the top scoring centre (so let's say Mitchell, although now Bateman has emerged as that) plus Crichton versus Capewell and Arrow then I'd have taken option A by a mile. An Arrow to Bateman trade allows me to probably have that by week 4.

If there was a viable non-Arrow route then I'd take it, but there isn't (there's a route involving Cook but that's even nuttier). I notice Steve Nicholls in his Renegades article is pretty much recommending trading Arrow, and he's a better fantasy player than me.

Welshy wrote:

SI wrote:
I think it was a joke at Channel 9’s expense 

But I tried to do a funny

I’m the slow one, sorry mate 

Welshy wrote:

Hi Archer

Does it look like i was right again with an incoming overseas international and not putting him my team to start.

Does this make you feel better?

Sadly no. My Croker love got in the way and I didn't feel comfortable having two raiders in my ctrs. Mistakes were made.

Pain wrote:Also tempted by Tamou,  take his ~50 points each week and ride his cash rise for next couple of weeks until we've a better idea on starting 13's

At first I scoffed at this. But then I thought about it. Easily has it in him to get 50's playing big minutes for the next two weeks until Kikau comes in and changes the rotations, but by then he will have gone up $100k and provide a 750k launching pad to pretty much any gun you want. I still am not going to do it, but it's actually a pretty good idea.

Actually Re Arranged my trades

Holland - Lawrie
Garrick - Host

Cook (C)
Fif (VC) Marty
Arrow Murray Lane
Morgan Keighran
Bird Nikora
Burns Edwards CNK

Capewell Garner Lawrie Host
Brown Kahu Rav Sele

Leaves me with 246k ITB for possible trades or improvements next week. Feel as though now I have all the cashies now to generate the maximum cash. Rate the team.

Johnny B Goode wrote:Trades for the week.

Napa to Lawrie locked in.  

What I do with Holland not so much.  
A) Trade to Bateman. 27k left over.  
B) Downgrade Holland to some cheapie. Shift Bird from EMG to CTR and bank the cash for a rainy day.  
C) Just hold him and hope for the best.  

I'm holding him. He is undervalued probably won't score that low again all year.

rhinoceroo wrote:

Thanks for the compliment

My MO is to fix my pre-season team early. If you'd given me the option pre-season of having the top scoring centre (so let's say Mitchell, although now Bateman has emerged as that) plus Crichton versus Capewell and Arrow then I'd have taken option A by a mile. An Arrow to Bateman trade allows me to probably have that by week 4.

If there was a viable non-Arrow route then I'd take it, but there isn't (there's a route involving Cook but that's even nuttier). I notice Steve Nicholls in his Renegades article is pretty much recommending trading Arrow, and he's a better fantasy player than me.

Would you trade Arrow if he scored 55?

Welshy wrote:

If you want Bateman find another way to get him in. Arrow is a gun. and underpriced for his projected output as well

Bateman has played 1 NRL game, if he had scored 45 would you be classing him as potential for 2RF gun then?

you are a top fantasy player and didn't think this sort of move would be in your MO mate

and you do have the penchant for saying you got swung by the majority, thats based on 1 score of Tlolo vs Arrow. If you wanted Lolo should of got him but the price difference I bet allowed you to get someone else you prefferred in as well. Tlolo isn't going to have 2 clean LBs and the attacking stats like that everyweek. his tackle count was horrid. again all based on a 1 round score

Fair point on Tolo though. If I had him I'd have lost Surgess to Tolman, which isn't huge but I prefer Surgess.

The part that shits me is I was right on what the Raiders pack would look like AND I knew bato would be a good pickup for us IRL, I just chickened out on his fantasy scores after I did a bit more research and wondered whether some of our other pack might steal some points off him.

Welshy wrote:

Would you trade Arrow if he scored 55?

No, I'd probably wait a week because the cash differential wouldn't be expanding. But he didn't and it is.

As said, I'm 50/50 on the trade. Maybe 60/40 now I've written it down.

churg wrote:Actually Re Arranged my trades

Holland - Lawrie
Garrick - Host

Cook (C)
Fif (VC) Marty
Arrow Murray Lane
Morgan Keighran
Bird Nikora
Burns Edwards CNK

Capewell Garner Lawrie Host
Brown Kahu Rav Sele

Leaves me with 246k ITB for possible trades or improvements next week. Feel as though now I have all the cashies now to generate the maximum cash. Rate the team.

Very solid. Nice bro.

Just on Holland, and my thoughts to justify his trading.

Still have 100% bonafide Dutch van der Linde worthy FAITH that he will be a centre gun this year. But the problem is I need him to do it right now, and I am not that confident that he will. The start of the year is too important to get on the right cows and have your team value increasing, and there are too many other options in his position which are going up in value.

Sure he might score a try and find 50+ points this week, making me feel like a goose- but I will still be worried about the 20 around the corner the week after. Players like Nikora, Capewell and Bateman are not going to make these stop-start price rises like him, they are going straight up with meat and potato tackle points. As silly as I would feel watching him beast it over the next few weeks while his replacement scored similarly, I would feel even worse watching him get another string of 20's while all those popular players got away from him in price and overall points. For me it is just too risky NOT to sell him.

tl;dr- we are told not to sell guns, but I fear he might take too long to become one while his shit team figures out how to play