NRL Fantasy 2020 Part 5

my tv broke wrote:

I have seen a few comments over the past month about how good Jacob is going in pre-season.

When they first came onto the scene I thought he looked the better all round player, interesting to see if he can get back to playing NRL consistently.

Yeah last year was a wasted year for him. Hoping he can kick on and bend the line more like Daniel did last year than we would have a much more damaging forward pack with Klem, the twins and Herman. The club is looking for a gun second rower for next year too

Knight & Best (thumbs up)

Or

Molo & Burns (thumbs down)

Some comments around Milford from the asst coach, its nearly a 'training the house down' moment, but some things relate to Croft.

“He is certainly the fittest he has been at the club,” said Richards of Milford, who joined the Broncos from Canberra at the start of 2015.

“He has spoken about his skin folds, but he will obviously be judged on what he does out on the park.

“There’s plenty to expect from Anthony and being with someone like Brodie Croft (halfback recruit from the Storm) will suit him well.

“Anthony isn’t one to game-manage a team and get them around the park and focus on his sets on the last play. He now has ‘Crofty’ who can do that job and he can sit back and keep his eyes on the opposition and pull the trigger when he needs to.

“I am pretty excited to see that combination blossom between him and Crofty.”

Richards admits he has seen an attitude shift in Milford, who is primed to fire in this year’s NRL Nines after some below-par displays in a format that is tailor-made for his attacking style.

“He has gone to a few Nines competitions and he will say himself he didn’t fire a shot in those tournaments,” Richards said.

“My role with him is working on his kicking game and I have noticed a big change in him.

“He has put a lot of time and effort into it like he did back in 2018 and I think he will reap the rewards at the back of the season.

“I’m pretty excited for what he will bring this year because of what he can do.”

~

I'm not sure exactly what the second comment means, but I would assume he is talking about his short kicks in attacking territory?

Chewie wrote:Knight & Best (thumbs up)

Or

Molo & Burns (thumbs down)

I asked the same question last night but with Tetevano instead of Molo and the responses were in favour of Burns option

I don’t even think I’ve made a draft with an expensive CTR so it feels weird

re McInnes

“At the moment I’m not too sure how it’s going to work because Cam’s an 80-minute player, but whether Mary wants to use Bully in there and put Cam into lock forward then we’ll see how it goes.

“I think (McInnes) would be fine (at lock). He’s really determined, he’ll run hard, he’s got good feet. I think he’d be a similar mould to someone like Cam Murray. Like he’s not the biggest guy, but he’s really hungry and play the ball quick.”

my tv broke wrote:

I have seen a few comments over the past month about how good Jacob is going in pre-season.

When they first came onto the scene I thought he looked the better all round player, interesting to see if he can get back to playing NRL consistently.

I agree re J. Saifiti he did look the goods in his debut season & I thought he would crack on & be one of the best players in the nrl but then whatever happened he sort of went backwards. D. Saifiti just kept his head down & worked hard now he's done better than his bro. I hope Jacob gets back to fulfilling that potential this year but there's a few players in front of him.

Camo123 wrote:

I asked the same question last night but with Tetevano instead of Molo and the responses were in favour of Burns option

I don’t even think I’ve made a draft with an expensive CTR so it feels weird

Yeah, Burns is a season keeper in the CTR especially with Bateman and Nikora not available in that position.
Knight could lift to become a keeper this season, but may not end up in my final 17 with Haas, Taupau and Klemmer ahead of him.

I'm keen on Burns, but I can't see why I'd spend the money on him when Capewell is 100k cheaper and likely to average right on about 40 himself.*

*pending TLT obviously, but its looking likely the edge spot is his. The hammy strain is annoying though.

2nd FRF Discussion (More a plea for info :L)

MoFo - What's the big argument for his value increase? Looking at his stats, he shows promise but with a relatively similar pack to last season when James was out, I am predicting a marginal increase in average, 3-5 points.

Mikaele - If he can get the minutes I would argue Mikaele is the best prospect. Major issue is there are a lot of forwards in this squad vying for minutes. Anything over 30 min should see him gain in value. Major risk is minutes. If he can get them though, easily 10 points under valued.

Merrin - Bit of a gamble here since you have Lawrie who was damn consistent and reliable for Dragons last year. You also have the likes of KSims around potentially pinching forward minutes. My prediction is KSims and Lawrie are negatively affected. It's Merrin. He's and ex-Aussie & ex-SOO player. By all reports he's fit and motivated. If anyone knows where to find Super League player stats I'd thank you and thumbs Up 3 of your posts (Reputation whore lol).

Knight - With Clint Eastwood seemingly giving the nod to Knight, he'll be hard to look past. Best security for minutes in that pack compared to other non-gun forwards. If he gets DPP he'll be a sure thing

Out-of-the-box Picks:

Napa- Biggest bopper there. Bulldogs lack decent props. Tolman is Mr Reliable but any real go forward is from Napa. Before his syndemosis injury he looked like a really good prospect. I would guess, his output wasn't as good following (I had a similar injury and it still affects me 6 years later). Risky option, butbif he scores well round one and my pick busts, I'll consider him. Other downside is Origin

Ese'ese - Always has the potential. Bit of a wait and see with the new coach.

I know people will pick apart my comments, I appreciate it all the same still learning

The worry with Capewell is the same as with Aubbs. Even if they start round 1 in the 2nd row, where will they be in round 2 or round 6?

Aubbs isn't called the black widow because he reliably does the same thing every week. He tempts you in with dreams of excellence, and then breaks your heart. But still we come back for more next year

Rapture_NRL wrote:2nd FRF Discussion (More a plea for info :L)

Agree with everything you said really. Mikaele definitely an option if you could be confident of his minutes.

my tv broke wrote:I'm keen on Burns, but I can't see why I'd spend the money on him when Capewell is 100k cheaper and likely to average right on about 40 himself.*

*pending TLT obviously, but its looking likely the edge spot is his. The hammy strain is annoying though.

My current iteration has both. Takes away the headache there and I shouldn't waste trades early season trying to fix them. But Capewell over Burns if I could only pick one purely for price and DPP. Risk of shifting to Centre if injuries occur

Rapture_NRL wrote:2nd FRF Discussion (More a plea for info :L)

If anyone knows where to find Super League player stats I'd thank you and thumbs Up 3 of your posts (Reputation whore lol).

https://www.superleague.co.uk/stats/player-stats

Doesn't have minutes played (or kick metres if you want to look at George Williams) but has an idea of workload

Rapture_NRL wrote:2nd FRF Discussion (More a plea for info :L)

MoFo - What's the big argument for his value increase? Looking at his stats, he shows promise but with a relatively similar pack to last season when James was out, I am predicting a marginal increase in average, 3-5 points.

Mikaele - If he can get the minutes I would argue Mikaele is the best prospect. Major issue is there are a lot of forwards in this squad vying for minutes. Anything over 30 min should see him gain in value. Major risk is minutes. If he can get them though, easily 10 points under valued.

Merrin - Bit of a gamble here since you have Lawrie who was damn consistent and reliable for Dragons last year. You also have the likes of KSims around potentially pinching forward minutes. My prediction is KSims and Lawrie are negatively affected. It's Merrin. He's and ex-Aussie & ex-SOO player. By all reports he's fit and motivated. If anyone knows where to find Super League player stats I'd thank you and thumbs Up 3 of your posts (Reputation whore lol).

Knight - With Clint Eastwood seemingly giving the nod to Knight, he'll be hard to look past. Best security for minutes in that pack compared to other non-gun forwards. If he gets DPP he'll be a sure thing

Out-of-the-box Picks:

Napa- Biggest bopper there. Bulldogs lack decent props. Tolman is Mr Reliable but any real go forward is from Napa. Before his syndemosis injury he looked like a really good prospect. I would guess, his output wasn't as good following (I had a similar injury and it still affects me 6 years later). Risky option, butbif he scores well round one and my pick busts, I'll consider him. Other downside is Origin

Ese'ese - Always has the potential. Bit of a wait and see with the new coach.

I know people will pick apart my comments, I appreciate it all the same still learning

If Knight starts at lock he's the clear cut best 2nd frf & he should get dpp as well & plays round 12

White Lightning wrote:

If Knight starts at lock he's the clear cut best 2nd frf & he should get dpp as well & plays round 12

Yeah bro. He's my 2nd FRF atm. Keen to see how Merrin and Mikaele go though

The problem with Mikaele's minutes is that the Tigers have the same middle forwards that they did last year.


If anything there is more competition with Packer around.

Is he improving enough with a season under his belt to get more game time? Possibly, but even as a starter he had been getting big minutes

If Knight starts at lock would it improve him that much?
He'd probably be an early sub for an edge forward to get Murray into lock, and then come back on in prop rotation.

I admit I'd still grab him, but there is a bit oc history of players moving to lock and seeing no real fantasy benefits (mostly Warriors players)

Merrin's Super League stats are pretty reasonable..

Played 27 games
(avg per game in brackets)

902 tackles (33 tackles)
86 tbs (3.18 tbs)
2917 metres (108m)
60 offloads (2.2)

That's a pretty good base, there are obviously errors, missed tackles, and penalties that can pull that back a little. He scored 4 tries. 3 try assists, and made 3 line breaks, which goes a way to evening out the negatives.

Milchcow wrote:
The worry with Capewell is the same as with Aubbs. Even if they start round 1 in the 2nd row, where will they be in round 2 or round 6?

Aubbs isn't called the black widow because he reliably does the same thing every week. He tempts you in with dreams of excellence, and then breaks your heart. But still we come back for more next year

At least with Capewell it is a new team and coach. He is unlikely to have moved without some assurances of what they see his role being, and it being different to his role at the Sharks.

You would rather be competing with Yeo for a spot than competing with Angus.

my tv broke wrote:Merrin's Super League stats are pretty reasonable..

Played 27 games
(avg per game in brackets)

902 tackles (33 tackles)
86 tbs (3.18 tbs)
2917 metres (108m)
60 offloads (2.2)

That's a pretty good base, there are obviously errors, missed tackles, and penalties that can pull that back a little. He scored 4 tries. 3 try assists, and made 3 line breaks, which goes a way to evening out the negatives.

So that's 56 without tries, TAs, and LBs?